Chef's Special - NFL Best Bets for Week 5

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Last week the heater finally came to an end, but it was basically a break-even week going 5-5 with a pair of pushes on a total of 12 plays.  One of those losses was a low risk, high reward "chef's yolo parlay" so the 5-5 was more like a 5-4 with the total loss on the week being less than a half unit.  Obviously, we want to win every week, but I was happy to not cut into all of the progress and winnings from week 2 and week 3.

No damage was done, and now we turn to a fresh slate.  The NFL is on 'Rona alert so that definitely impacts how many games are available on the slate and how many games are "off the board" and unavailable to bet.  The featured cover photo theme for Week 5 is Any Given Sunday.  This movie has a lot of big names, and one of my favorite speeches comes from Al Pacino.

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• Dynasty fantasy football rankings

Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing.  Also, be sure to check out the betting tools and

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information than usual since it is Week 1.  Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units.  If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes.  For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor.  For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

• NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
• Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following:  22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
• Mr. Garage Guy would be the following:  22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
• Mr. Danny Boi would be the following:  22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

So, let's discuss the trend.  Everyone finished in the green.  However, Mr. Danny Boi being up 22.5U means something much more financially positive than Mr. Uncle Leo. With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 5 Betting Card

Here, I will post my Week 5 picks.  Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial.  Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+19.55u) 29-16 Total [1-0 on 4&5U plays]

• 0-1.5U Risk Record:  16-12
• 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record:  12-4
• 4-5U Risk Record:  1-0

A bit of a smaller card this week but more could be added so be sure to check back before kick-off.

• Seahawks -7 vs Vikings - Risk 1.1U to win 1
• Rams -7 vs Washington - Risk 1.1U to win 1
• Bengals +13 vs Ravens - Risk 1.1U to win 1
• Seahawks/Rams 6PT Teaser (SEA -1, LAR -1) - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Cowboys/Rams 7PT Teaser (DAL -1, RAMS PK) - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
• Cowboys/Seahawks 7PT Teaser (DAL -1, SEA PK) - Risk 2.6U to win 2U
• More could be added - typing this up earlier than usual this week

Chef's Yolo Parlay:  None for now - could add later

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