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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, December 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Dolphins @ Chargers
The Dolphins take on the Chargers on Sunday, December 11th at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins (8-4) vs. Los Angeles Chargers (6-6)
- Date: Sunday, December 11th, 2022
- Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Dolphins @ Chargers
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Miami Dolphins - NFL Betting Analysis
Coming off a 33-17 non-conference loss to the San Francisco 49ers, the Dolphins will look to get back in the win column vs Los Angeles. Not only did Miami lose the game, they also failed to cover the spread. Going into the game, the team was 5.5 point underdog. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 50 points, surpassing the betting line of 46. The Dolphins were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed San Francisco by a score of 23-10 heading into the final quarter. Through 12 games, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 6-6. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-6. This week's betting total of 52.0 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Dolphins prepare to take on Los Angeles, they have played well on offense, ranking 8th in points per game at 24.9. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Chargers defense ranked 28th in points per game. Throughout the game, Miami should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 2nd ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, our projections show that the Dolphins' offense will a good game on the ground, surpassing their season average of 89.67 as the Chargers are a below-average rush defense.
Los Angeles Chargers - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 14, the Chargers will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 27-20 loss to the Las Vegas Raiders. Not only did Los Angeles lose the game, but they also failed to cover the spread. Going into the game, the team was 2.5-point underdogs. The two teams combined point total of 47 remained below the betting line of 49. The Chargers were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Las Vegas by a score of 24-13 heading into the final quarter. Through 12 games, the Chargers have an ATS record of 7-5. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-6. This week's betting total of 52.0 is slightly higher than the line in their previous games.
As the Chargers prepare to take on Miami, they are ranked 14th in points per game at 22.7. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Dolphins defense giving up 24.1 points per game. Throughout the game, Los Angeles should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 6th-ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, Los Angeles figure to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 31st-ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Dolphins vs. Chargers
Looking back at the recent matchups between Miami and Los Angeles, the Chargers have taken 3 of the last 5 contests. The two teams have combined to average 45.0 points per game in their last 5 meetings. Last year, the Dolphins and Chargers did not play each other.
The Miami Dolphins have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-2. On average, the Dolphins have averaged 20.6 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Los Angeles at 24.4.
The Dolphins have posted a 2-1 record in their previous 3 games. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games.
Across their last 3 road contests, Miami has been good against the spread posting a mark of 1-2. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1 while averaging 27.67 points per game.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Chargers have a straight-up record of just 1-2. In addition, the team has not done well vs the spread, going 1-2. Their over-under record in these games was 2-1.
Although Los Angeles has a straight-up record of 1-2 in their last 3 home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 23.0 points per game in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Dolphins -3.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 52.0
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