X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Champ or Chump: Logan Forsythe and Justin Turner

I read something the other day referring to the Yankees as possible "AL Dodgers" due to their ability to spend. I thought LA's limitless payroll made them the NL's Yankees, but apparently the team is the new "Evil Empire."

Regardless of their reputation, the team has kept its offseason under control. Balking at Minnesota's asking price for Brian Dozier, the team acquired Logan Forsythe from Tampa Bay to fill their hole at second base. They also resigned Justin Turner, keeping the 2016 team together instead of looking for flash.

While fantasy owners need not care about the reasons, they do want to know if LA's latest additions can help them to a fantasy title. Let's find out.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2017 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. It's already loaded up with tons of great rankings articles and draft analysis. Aside from our tiered staff rankings for every position, we also go deep on MLB prospect rankings, impact rookies for 2017, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well. Bookmark the page, and win your drafts.

 

The Fantasy Jury Has Spoken

Logan Forsythe (2B, LAD) ADP: 267.5

Toiling in the relative obscurity of Tampa Bay, Forsythe compiled a .264/.332/.444 line with 20 bombs and six swipes last season. The speed will almost certainly not repeat, as his 50% success rate should earn him a red light from an analytical organization like the Dodgers.This leaves a slightly plus average and plus power for fantasy owners to consider.

On the batting average side, Forsythe ran a .314 BABIP thanks in part to cutting his FB% (40.6% in 2015 to 35.2% last year). Flies have the lowest BABIP of any batted ball type, so hitting less of them is a sustainable way to raise BABIP. His 22.8% LD% seems high, but it matches his career average perfectly. His path to that career average is full of peaks (28.7% in 2012) and valleys (19.3% in 2014), but there is a chance he can sustain an elevated figure. All of Forsythe's batted balls performed reasonably close to his career averages, so a plus BABIP can be reasonably expected moving forward.

Of course, a low FB% is detrimental to a player's power. Forsythe's HR/FB jumped to 14.7% last season after sitting at 9.7% the year prior, masking the effects of his ground ball approach. He pulled fewer of his flies (16.9% vs. 18.2% career), however, leaving me skeptical that he can repeat the elevated mark. I'd expect 15ish homers from him in 2017.

That may be just fine if the Dodgers keep Forsythe in his customary lead off role. While he won't offer speed, his eye (22.1% O-Swing%) and low SwStr% (8.2%) make him a viable option at the top of the order. He struck out too much last year (22.7% K%), but the aforementioned advanced metrics suggest a rebound is forthcoming. The Dodgers are also good enough that their lead off man should make a run at 100 runs scored, though batting after the pitcher could cost a few RBI. Even if Forsythe stinks, the Dodgers lead off role alone is probably worth his current ADP.

Verdict: Champ

 

Justin Turner (3B, LAD) ADP: 129.5

The one-time utility infielder turned into a fantasy star on the back of 27 big flies and a .275/.339/.493 triple slash line in 2016. Better yet, all of his advanced metrics are trending in the right direction.

His newfound power was not the result of an inflated HR/FB like his new teammate's, as his 14.8% mark last year was effectively the same as his breakout 13.9% figure from 2015. Instead, his FB% hit the magical 40% plateau from 36.2% the year before. Sluggers strive to hit 40% of their batted balls in the air, and Turner has accomplished the feat.

His batting average also seems to have room to grow. His .293 BABIP seems normal, and even problematic if you do not trust his 23.9% LD% to repeat. Turner is a proven liner machine with a 24.1% career LD% though, so it says here he will keep doing what he has always done. Turner's career BABIP on grounders is just .221, and I can't figure out why. His superlative defensive metrics suggest that he is at least an adequate athlete, and he torches the shift for a .490 career average. Should he start beating out more ground balls, a .300+ average is possible. His fly balls were also a tad off their usual BABIP (.115 vs. .156 career), so a few more base hits could come from them as well.

Turner has a strong eye (24.4% O-Swing% last year) that could lead to more walks as pitchers are forced to respect his power. He also boasts great contact skills, sporting a 17.2% K% and 7.1% SwStr% last season. He spent most of last year in the third spot, and the Dodgers have not done anything that figures to jeopardize Turner's counting stat opportunities there. Turner combines a solid floor with top 50 upside, making him well worth investing in at his current price.

Verdict: Champ


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Khris Middleton27 mins ago

Out Again Wednesday
Jordan Poole37 mins ago

Won't Play Wednesday Versus Philadelphia
Andrew Benintendi2 hours ago

Lands On 10-Day Injured List
Yoán Moncada2 hours ago

Yoan Moncada Returns From Thumb Injury
Andrew Benintendi2 hours ago

Still Out On Wednesday
Lane Thomas2 hours ago

Absent After Getting Injured On Tuesday
Jorge Polanco2 hours ago

Back In Lineup Against Astros
Jordan Westburg2 hours ago

Out With "Upper-Body Injury" On Wednesday
Cincinnati Bengals2 hours ago

Bengals Add Linebacker Joe Giles-Harris
Maverick McNealy2 hours ago

Looking For Success At Masters Debut
Trevor Lawrence2 hours ago

To Be Limited During OTAs
Freddie Freeman3 hours ago

Expected To Return On Friday
Jacksonville Jaguars3 hours ago

Jaguars Still Deciding On Devin Lloyd's Fifth-Year Option
Tyler Soderstrom3 hours ago

Starting On Wednesday
NFL3 hours ago

Defensive Tackle Prospect Omarr Norman-Lott Scheduled For Several Team Visits
Ryan Bliss3 hours ago

Placed On 10-Day Injured List
3 hours ago

Quinn Ewers Visiting With Colts
Jake Cronenworth3 hours ago

Not In Wednesday's Lineup
Fernando Tatis Jr.3 hours ago

Sitting On Wednesday
Wyatt Langford3 hours ago

Placed On 10-Day Injured List With Oblique Strain
NFL3 hours ago

Teams Concerned About Asante Samuel Jr.'s Medicals
Dallas Cowboys4 hours ago

Trevon Diggs Might Not Be Ready For Start Of Season
Dallas Cowboys4 hours ago

DeMarvion Overshown Could Return In Middle Of 2025 Season
4 hours ago

Packers To Visit With Matthew Golden
4 hours ago

Steelers Visiting With Omarion Hampton On Wednesday
Kyler Murray4 hours ago

Says He Wants To Run More
4 hours ago

Shedeur Sanders To Visit With Raiders Next Week
K'Andre Miller4 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision Wednesday
Jake Cronenworth4 hours ago

Suffering From Rib Cramping
Joe Mack4 hours ago

Hits First Home Run Of The Season
Gabriel Landeskog4 hours ago

Begins Conditioning Stint In AHL
Fernando Tatis Jr.5 hours ago

Dealing With Shoulder Injury
Joel Eriksson Ek5 hours ago

May Return To Wild Lineup Against Sharks
Tony Finau5 hours ago

Looks To Stay Consistent At Augusta
Braxton Fulford5 hours ago

Hits Home Run In Third Straight Game
Kirill Kaprizov5 hours ago

Could Be Back In Action Wednesday
CJ Abrams5 hours ago

Back In Action Against Dodgers
Colby Thomas5 hours ago

Swinging A Hot Bat At Triple-A
Jack Eichel5 hours ago

Out Day-To-Day
Ketel Marte5 hours ago

Diamondbacks Expect Ketel Marte To Miss "A Series Of Weeks"
Luis Gil5 hours ago

To Start A Throwing Program Soon
Alex Freeland5 hours ago

Posts Fourth Straight Multi-Hit Outing
Sam Bennett5 hours ago

Expected To Miss Rest Of Regular Season
Thomas Detry5 hours ago

A Shaky Play At Augusta
Sam Burns6 hours ago

Not In Good Form Ahead Of Masters
Will Zalatoris6 hours ago

Looks To Continue Great History At Augusta
Jaylen Wells7 hours ago

Suffers Broken Wrist Versus Hornets
Jakob Poeltl7 hours ago

Iffy For Wednesday's Action
Scottie Barnes7 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday
Andrew Wiggins7 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Wednesday
Anfernee Simons8 hours ago

May Miss Another Game Wednesday
Deni Avdija8 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday
Keegan Murray8 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing Third Straight Contest
Malik Monk8 hours ago

Out Against Nuggets
Fred VanVleet8 hours ago

Not Expected To Play Against Clippers
Jabari Smith Jr.8 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday
Alperen Sengün8 hours ago

Alperen Sengun Iffy For Wednesday
Quentin Grimes9 hours ago

May Miss Wednesday's Game
Jamal Murray9 hours ago

Considered Doubtful For Wednesday
Bam Adebayo9 hours ago

Returns To Heat Lineup Wednesday
Anthony Davis9 hours ago

Likely To Play Against Lakers
Mikhail Sergachev10 hours ago

Busy In Tuesday's Victory
Conor Garland10 hours ago

Dishes Out Three Helpers In Overtime Victory
Tristan Jarry10 hours ago

Shuts The Door On Blackhawks On Tuesday
David Pastrnak10 hours ago

Extends Point Streak To Seven Games In Victory
Nick Suzuki10 hours ago

Tallies Two Points On Tuesday
Ilya Sorokin10 hours ago

Exits On Tuesday With Injury
Rutger McGroarty11 hours ago

Exits Early On Tuesday
Rory McIlroy16 hours ago

2025 Is The Best Chance For Rory McIlroy To Complete Career Grand Slam
17 hours ago

Packers To Host Isaiah Bond For A Visit On Wednesday
18 hours ago

Matthew Golden To Visit With Cowboys On Thursday
Cleveland Browns18 hours ago

Winston Reid Signs Exclusive-Rights Tender
18 hours ago

Tyler Shough, Jalen Milroe Visit With Browns On Tuesday
James Cook18 hours ago

To Play For Bills In 2025
21 hours ago

Jaxson Dart Making His Rounds
Denver Broncos21 hours ago

Sam Franklin Heading To Denver
Cleveland Browns22 hours ago

Jalon Walker Visits With Cleveland
Jalen Brunson22 hours ago

Available For Tuesday's Meeting With Celtics
Pat Connaughton22 hours ago

Sidelined On Tuesday
22 hours ago

Pittsburgh Slated To Host Shedeur Sanders
Pascal Siakam22 hours ago

Slated To Suit Up Against Wizards
Nikola Vučević23 hours ago

Nikola Vucevic Out Of Action Versus Cavs
Joaquin Niemann1 day ago

Brings Strong Form Into Augusta
Scottie Scheffler1 day ago

Aims For Historic Third Green Jacket At Augusta
Jon Rahm1 day ago

A Strong Contender At Augusta
Hideki Matsuyama1 day ago

Aiming For Another Green Jacket At Augusta
Michael Kim1 day ago

Aims To Build On Strong Season At Augusta
PGA1 day ago

Victor Hovland A Solid Value Play At Augusta
Brian Harman1 day ago

A Risky Play At Augusta Despite Win At Valero
Matt Fitzpatrick1 day ago

A Volatile Play At The Masters
Bryson DeChambeau1 day ago

Looking To Translate LIV Success To Augusta
Xander Schauffele1 day ago

In A Questionably Optimistic Spot Ahead Of Augusta
Jordan Spieth1 day ago

Will Be An Interesting Commodity At Augusta
Sepp Straka1 day ago

Looking Solid Ahead Of Masters
Russell Henley1 day ago

Deserves Consideration At Augusta
Billy Horschel1 day ago

Boom Or Bust Heading Into Masters
Phil Mickelson1 day ago

Hopes To Roll Back The Clock At Augusta National
Matthew Coronato1 day ago

Scores In Second Straight Game
Joey Daccord1 day ago

Earns Victory Over Los Angeles
Lukas Dostal1 day ago

Stops 45 Shots In Victory
Connor Hellebuyck1 day ago

Earns Victory On Monday
Brayden Point1 day ago

Scores Twice, Adds Helper
Adrian Kempe1 day ago

Exits Early On Monday
Tanner Jeannot2 days ago

Deemed Week-To-Week
Shakir Mukhamadullin2 days ago

Done For The Year
Lerone Murphy2 days ago

Remains Undefeated
Josh Emmett2 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Vegas 105
Joanderson Brito2 days ago

Gets Outclassed At UFC Vegas 105
Pat Sabatini2 days ago

Beats Joanderson Brito By Unanimous Decision
Cortavious Romious2 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
ChangHo Lee2 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC Vegas 105
Gerald Meerschaert2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 105
Brad Tavares2 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Vegas 105
Luis Gurule2 days ago

Suffers His First Loss
Ode' Osbourne2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Robert Valentin2 days ago

Dominated At UFC Vegas 105
Denny Hamlin2 days ago

Has Luck On His Side This Time, Snatches Win At Darlington
Torrez Finney2 days ago

Dominates In His UFC Debut
Ryan Blaney2 days ago

Misses Out On Victory At Darlington
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

Gains A Top-Five Finish And Falls Short Of Winning Darlington
Chase Elliott2 days ago

Quietly Earns His Fifth Top-10 Finish Of 2025 At Darlington
Ty Gibbs2 days ago

Ends His Slump With First Top-10 Finish Since September 2024 At Darlington
Chris Buescher2 days ago

Consistency Continues With Sixth-Place Finish At Darlington
William Byron2 days ago

Attempt To Lead From Start To Finish Cost Him Darlington Race
Christopher Bell2 days ago

Struggles At Darlington Until Being Bailed Out By Pit Strategy
Kyle Larson2 days ago

Bookends Darlington Race With Crashes
Ross Chastain2 days ago

Recovers From Untimely Pit Stop To Finish Seventh
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Starts Third At Darlington, One Of His Top Tracks
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Will Start 15th At Darlington This Week
NASCAR3 days ago

Is Bubba Wallace Worth Rostering For Darlington This Week?
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Is One Of The Top Favorites To Win At Darlington
Joey Logano3 days ago

Increased Speed But Worse Results Make Darlington Outcome Unclear
Chase Briscoe3 days ago

Likely To Benefit From Toyota Speed At Darlington
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Is One Of The Best DFS Options
Carson Hocevar3 days ago

Still A Work In Progress
Chris Buescher3 days ago

Likely Motivated After Last Year's Darlington Near Miss
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Returns To Site Of Best Career Finish
Michael McDowell3 days ago

Probably Won't Overcome Darlington Mediocrity
Josh Emmett5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 105
Lerone Murphy5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 105
Pat Sabatini5 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Joanderson Brito5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Cortavious Romious5 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
ChangHo Lee5 days ago

Looks For His Second UFC Win
Brad Tavares5 days ago

Set For Middleweight Bout
Gerald Meerschaert5 days ago

Set For His 23rd UFC Bout
Luis Gurule5 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF