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BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 310
CURRENT ADP: ~336 overall
ANALYSIS: Recently re-signing with the Indians will likely lead to Hernandez leading off every day for them yet again in 2021. The Indians aren’t typically shy about letting players run but Hernandez did not even attempt a stolen base in 2020. This was after stealing at least 15 over four seasons (from 2016-2018) and nine in 2019. There is little reason to believe in a repeat. In a full season, he could go back to running and grab at least a handful of stolen bases considering this team isn’t exactly strong on offense and may need to manufacture runs. With a career.352 OBP, and what should be everyday at-bats leading off, the opportunity should be there.
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The plate discipline continues to be as solid as ever with two-straight seasons of improving the Z-Contact%. Each of the last two years, he has had a Z-Contact rate of at least 90.5%. With the great contact rate should come with a solid batting average. Not to mention he has shown to be capable of double-digit home runs as he has posted at least 14 in the two seasons prior to 2020. This coincides with two seasons of his highest launch angles (11.5 degrees in 2018 and 9.5 degrees in 2019 respectively). With Hernandez, you know what you are getting. He is not exciting but will provide you runs, batting average and should at least provide a little power and speed as well. Hard to ask more of a player going as late as he is.
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