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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Thursday, May 25th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Heat @ Celtics
The Heat take on the Celtics on Thursday, May 25th at TD Garden, Boston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Miami Heat (44-38) vs. Boston Celtics (57-25)
- Date: Thursday, May 25th
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: TD Garden
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Heat @ Celtics
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Heat & Celtics Key Injuries
Heat
- Victor Oladipo (Out) Knee
- Gabe Vincent (Questionable) Ankle
- Tyler Herro (Out) Hand
Celtics
- Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
Miami Heat - NBA Betting Analysis
In Miami's most recent game, Jimmy Butler led the team in scoring with 29 points, but the Heat fell to the Celtics by a score of 116-99 to the Celtics. Going into the game, Miami was a 1.5-point favorite, adding an ATS loss to their resume.
Now, the Heat's overall record sits at 44-38, placing them 8th in the Eastern Conference. The team's current record at home is 27-14 and 17-24 on the road. Miami's record against the spread is below .500 at 43-54.
The Heat come into today's game ranked just 34th in scoring at 109.5 points per contest. Across their last five games, the unit is averaging 111 points per game. So far this season, the Heat are ranked 39th in pace at 96.2 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, Miami has found success when stepping beyond the arc, ranking 10th in three-point shooting percentage. The team's overall field goal percentage of 46.0% is 27th in the NBA.
This season, the Heat have allowed an average of 105.6 points per game, good for 2nd in the league. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have knocked down 34.0% of their looks from beyond the arc (18th) and 44.8% of their overall field goal attempts. Miami's overall defensive numbers have been good despite the unit's struggles on the glass, sitting just 16th in defensive rebounds per game. The Heat are also a below-average group in forced turnovers, at just 12.8 per game.
Boston Celtics - NBA Betting Analysis
The Celtics enter today's game looking to build some momentum after a 116-99 win over the Heat. Jayson Tatum and his 33 led the way for the Celtics. Boston was the 1.5-point underdog heading into the game, giving them an ATS win.
With the win, the team has moved to 57-25, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far this season, they have gone 32-9 at home and 25-16 on the road. This season, Boston's ATS record sits at 53-44.
With an average of 117.9 points per game, the Celtics are ranked 6th in the NBA in scoring. Despite this, their recent performance has been below average, scoring just 110 points per game in their last five contests. Throughout the season, the Celtics have been among the top three-point shooting teams in the league, making 37.7% of their shots from beyond the arc (6th). Despite ranking 18th in pace with 99.3 possessions per game, their efficient three-point shooting has compensated. Their overall field goal percentage currently stands at 47.5% and is ranked 11th.
The Celtics enter today's game ranked 2nd in the league with an average of 105.6 points allowed per game. Opponents have a 34.0% success rate from three-point range and have an overall field goal percentage of 44.8%. However, Boston has shown some weaknesses on the boards, ranking 16th in defensive rebounds per game. They are also a below-average unit at forcing turnovers, at just 12.7 per game.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Heat vs. Celtics
Today's matchup will be the 8th game of the season between the Heat and Celtics. So far, the Heat have the leg up in the series 5-3. Looking back to the last game between the teams, they combined for 215 points which was below the over/under line of 216.5. The Heat went into the game as the 1.5-point favorites but lost the game straight-up by a score of 116-99, giving the Celtics both a straight-up and ATS win.
In the Heat's previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 4-1 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 2-1 ATS and 2-1 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 6-4 with an average of 222 points per contest.
Across Boston's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 3-2 straight-up. As the favorite, the Celtics are 0-3 straight up on an average scoring differential of 13 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 0-3. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 219 points per game and an over/under mark of 6-4.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: BOS -8
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 215.5
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