BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~105-120
CURRENT ADP: ~132 overall
ANALYSIS: Cavan Biggio was selected by Toronto in the fifth round of the 2016 Amateur Draft. In 2019, he looked stellar at Triple-A, slashing .312/.448/.514, earning a promotion to the majors in late May. The 24-year-old quickly moved from the bottom of the lineup to the second spot in the Blue Jays' batting order by the end of July.
Only three other players in baseball (minimum 400 plate appearances) boasted a higher walk rate than Biggio's 16.5%, and no batter swung at fewer pitches outside of the strike zone. Passivity came at a price, however, as he struck out in 28.6% of his trips to the plate despite an above-average 8.7% swinging-strike rate. As a result of that inflated strikeout rate, Biggio hit only .234, but he made a positive impact in all the counting stats with 16 HR, 14 SB, 66 R, and 48 RBI in 100 games.
He will need to be a bit more aggressive at the plate moving forward to reach his ceiling. If he can turn even a handful of those "caught looking" plate appearances into hits, he'll become a significantly more attractive fantasy asset. Expecting him to hit for average is probably too optimistic given the extreme fly ball tendencies in his batted ball profile, as well as the difficulties he had with off-speed pitches as a rookie.
Biggio is an above-average runner with good instincts on the base paths. He was successful on all 14 of his stolen base attempts as a rookie. His speed, pop, and prime position in the lineup give fantasy managers a lot to like in his fantasy outlook. Projection systems have him more or less repeating his debut performance across a larger sample of games. A 20/20 season is a real possibility, which is pretty appealing from a 132 ADP.
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