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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 16

I've already given my take on players who are "buy high" candidates for the second half, if you will. Those players have already been covered in this space previously, so I'll dig a little deeper for buy candidates since not much has changed over the past week in player values.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 16

Andrelton Simmons (SS, LAA) 61% owned

Remember Erick Aybar? He's still going strong in San Diego, although not quite to the level he showed when he was the Angels' starting shortstop. Between 2009-2014, Aybar averaged 18 steals, 83 runs, and an average in the 270s. Simmons is on pace to put up similar numbers, with 13 steals, 41 runs, 39 RBI and a .290 average in 338 at-bats this year. Known mainly for his defense, Simmons has shown the ability to help out in mixed leagues of 14 or more teams that require a MI spot. The ceiling is limited, but if you're trying to play it safe for the stretch run to protect a lead in the standings, he might give you the consistency you need.

Tommy Pham (OF, STL) 34% owned

OK, I'm only about two months late on this one, but Pham has finally made me a believer. When a player has a couple years of Major League experience under his belt and hasn't done anything whatsoever, I tend to be a big skeptic of hot streaks. This time, Pham has shown that he could legitimately finish with a 20/20 season that includes an average near .300. Sure, his .370 BABIP and 34.4% HR/FB are due for sharp drops and he's clearly playing over his head, but sometimes you just have to ride the wave and enjoy it while it lasts. Pham's magical season (for him) has picked right up where it left off after the break, with two hits and a steal on Friday. Pick him up already and keep him in your lineup until he shows that he's out of gas.

Carlos Rodon (SP, CWS) 50% owned

All of a sudden, Rodon went from a non-factor to the ace of the staff in Chicago. With the trade of Jose Quintana to the other side of town, Rodon suddenly takes the mantle for the White Sox as the leader of their rebuilding effort. In three starts, Rodon is 1-2 with a 4.32 ERA and 12 walks in 16 2/3 innings. Not encouraging, but it will take him a little time to round into game shape after missing three months with a biceps injury. Rodon has never been a WHIP-friendly pitcher, posting ratios of 1.44 and 1.39 in his first two Major League seasons, so his current 1.38 could be here to stay. He should provide an above-average K rate with a sub-4.00 ERA, though. He has more value in leagues that count quality starts rather than wins, but he figures to be a decent back-end rotation arm in most deeper mixed leagues down the stretch.

 

Overrated Players - Week 16

Ian Kinsler (2B, DET) 83% owned

Usually the model of consistency, Kinsler is just one of several veterans in Detroit having a disappointing season. Last year, he seemed to have a rebirth, slugging 28 home runs and scoring 117 runs at the age of 34. He's followed it up with a career-low .240 average and just nine homers over 71 games. The smart thing for the Tigers to do would be to sell, sell, sell before the deadline and go into rebuild mode. It's unclear whether that will happen, but Kinsler's immediate future is unclear. If he stays in Detroit but others go, he could see himself surrounded by inferior talent in the second half. He certainly has the talent and track record to rebound, but it isn't a given. Unfortunately, his trade value is pretty low in fantasy so you may be stuck with him if you're a Kinsler owner.

Hunter Pence (OF, SF) 40% owned

Pence's ownership has gradually fallen under the halfway mark, but it's still way too high. In his prime, Pence had a seven-year stretch of 20+ homers and has six seasons of double-digit steals under his belt. It's painfully obvious neither of those marks will be reached this year. He has a .660 OPS that is 142 points below his career average and below league-average for any outfielder. Not a lot has changed about his contact rates or plate discipline, it's just that he's hitting with less authority and has a paltry 11.1% LD% that is resulting in fewer base knocks. There is no hope at this point for the Giants, so it appears to be a lost season for all players not named Posey in that lineup. Take a chance on a young player like Clint Frazier or Bradley Zimmer instead.

AJ Ramos (RP, MIA) 84% owned

Hearing that the Marlins might be sellers at the trade deadline basically just means that it's July. Rumors don't always prove true, but unless the team comes out the gate on fire in the second half, there's a good chance Ramos and other bullpen pieces will be sold off. Ramos hasn't been great this year anyway, posting a 4.19 ERA and walking nearly five batters per nine innings. He imploded again in the first game after the break, allowing three runs and blowing a save. While owning him is a necessary in any league that counts saves, that could change if he's traded to become a setup man elsewhere. It's best for fantasy owners to trade him now ahead of the deadline. If nothing else, you'll be sparing your ratios by parting ways with him.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Connor McDavid

Totals Three Points In Game 3 Win
Johnathan Kovacevic

Exits Early Friday
Seth Lugo

Tosses Eight Shutout Innings In Friday's Win Over Houston
Sam Montembeault

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Friday
Logan Thompson

Exits Loss With Injury
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Will Throw A Bullpen On Sunday
Brandon Hagel

Suspended For Game 3
Griffin Conine

To Have Shoulder Surgery On Tuesday
Luke Keaschall

Twins Prospect Luke Keaschall Suffers Broken Forearm
Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
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Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
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