RADIO
As we dive into Week 4 of the fantasy football season, the landscape is shifting, and savvy managers are looking to make strategic moves. This is the perfect time to evaluate your roster and consider both buy-low and sell-high opportunities. By identifying underperforming players who still have upside and capitalizing on those experiencing unsustainable success, you can strengthen your lineup for the coming weeks.
Injuries, matchups, and changing team dynamics can lead to fluctuations in player performance. Some athletes may be in a slump, but their potential to bounce back makes them valuable trade targets. Conversely, others may be riding high on inflated stats that aren’t likely to hold. Recognizing these trends can help you make informed decisions that could turn the tide in your favor.
In this article, we’ll explore several players to target for a buy-low strategy and those who should be sold high before their production regresses. Let’s look at how you can maximize your roster’s potential and position yourself for success as the season unfolds.
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Fantasy Football Buy-Low Trade Targets
WR Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
After a stellar two-touchdown performance in Week 1, Mike Evans has struggled to maintain his fantasy momentum. Since then, he hasn’t found the end zone and has delivered subpar production, leaving many fantasy managers concerned about his future.
Despite these recent challenges, Evans still showcases the skills of a top-tier receiver. He recorded only three targets in his last game against the Broncos as the Bucs’ offense struggled to find its rhythm. However, his upcoming matchups against the Eagles and Falcons present an excellent opportunity for him to bounce back and reclaim his WR1 status.
WR1s vs Patrick Surtain in 2024:
Week 1: DK Metcalf - 4.4 fantasy points
Week 2: George Pickens - 3.9 fantasy points
Week 3: Mike Evans - 2.7 fantasy points
Week 4: Garrett Wilson - ??? pic.twitter.com/5JIYircVXT— Yahoo Fantasy Sports (@YahooFantasy) September 26, 2024
Throughout his impressive career, Evans has been remarkably consistent. It would be unusual for him to endure an extended stretch of poor performances at this stage. Even at 31, he remains a reliable option in fantasy football, having surpassed 1,000 receiving yards in each of his first ten seasons—a league record. Last year, he tied for the league lead with 13 touchdown receptions alongside Tyreek Hill.
As a potential WR2 on almost any fantasy roster, Evans is always a red-zone threat. This is a prime moment to buy low on him. If the owner in your league is panicking over his recent performances, especially with Chris Godwin’s strong start, now is the time to swoop in and secure a reliable asset like Evans.
TE Brock Bowers, Las Vegas Raiders
Entering Week 3, Brock Bowers had shown promise with solid performances and faced an ideal matchup. Unfortunately, the rookie tight end’s outing against the struggling Carolina Panthers fell flat, as he only managed to catch three passes in a disappointing loss.
Bowers recorded 41 yards on three receptions from four targets, experiencing his lowest route participation of the season at 59%. While this was a setback, it may present an opportunity for savvy fantasy managers. Although his current owner might not be overly concerned, the absence of a standout performance could help keep his trade value manageable.
Brock Bowers moves like a wide receiver - his change of direction skills are rare. The first-round pick out of Georgia already looks like a top five TE pic.twitter.com/P8I2xUz4rK
— Bobby Football (@Rob__Paul) September 22, 2024
This low-volume week was unexpected, especially considering Bowers’ impressive start to the season, where he ranked among the top tight ends in fantasy due to significant target volume. Despite the recent disappointment, don’t hesitate to pursue Bowers. He remains an elite talent at a position where consistent production can be hard to find.
Bowers still ranks second on the team in targets and is tied for the lead in receptions. Given the scarcity of reliable tight ends, he’s worth rolling out in your lineup weekly. This performance may be one of his least impressive outings of the season. If his current manager wants to trade for a more prominent name, seize the opportunity to acquire Bowers.
WR Jayden Reed, Green Bay Packers
With reports suggesting that Packers quarterback Jordan Love could return sooner than expected, now is the perfect time to trade for Jayden Reed before his value skyrockets. The Packers had to adjust their offensive approach during Love's absence, but his anticipated return makes all Green Bay wide receivers intriguing buy-low candidates.
In Week 3, Reed emerged as the team’s most targeted player, catching four of six passes for 50 yards, which accounted for a substantial 32% target share. He has quickly established himself as a favorite among fantasy managers, leading the team with a 21% target share this season.
The Packers struggled with Malik Willis at quarterback, a primarily rushing option, but Reed’s efficiency will likely rebound with Love back under center. Additionally, Reed's two rushing attempts per game add to his value, providing a solid floor for fantasy scoring.
Looking ahead, the Packers have a favorable schedule, facing the Vikings, Rams, and Cardinals in their next three games. With this advantageous slate and Love's return on the horizon, now is the time to invest in Reed before his performance takes off.
Fantasy Football Sell-High Trade Targets
RB Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints
Alvin Kamara is enjoying a standout 2024 season. He plays a pivotal role in the Saints' offense, which currently ranks second in the league for points scored. His efficiency and playmaking ability have returned, returning memories of his earlier dominance after a few seasons of diminished impact.
While it’s exciting to see Kamara performing at such a high level, I’m skeptical about the sustainability of his hot start. He has already matched his touchdown total (5) from the last two seasons combined. As we assess the performances after three games, it's clear that Kamara benefitted from facing two of the NFL's weakest rush defenses in his first two matchups.
He averaged impressive yards per carry—5.5 against the Panthers and 5.8 against the Cowboys—but this dropped to just 3.3 YPC against the Eagles. Given that Kamara has struggled to maintain 4.0 YPC or better in the past three seasons, it’s likely that the first two games were outliers rather than a new norm.
At 29 years old and nearing 2,000 career touches, Kamara carries an increased risk of injury. While I'm not entirely out on him, his current production and perceived fantasy value are at a peak. If you can capitalize on this moment, it might be wise to explore trade opportunities.
WR Amari Cooper, Cleveland Browns
Amari Cooper had his first positive fantasy outing of the season against the Giants, logging a season-high in all receiving categories and offering a glimmer of hope to fantasy managers after a rough start to 2024. However, trusting Deshaun Watson and the Cleveland offense to put Cooper in a position to succeed consistently remains a challenge.
Cooper struggled with drops, and Watson’s erratic throws left him without a single game over 20 receiving yards in the early weeks. Although he finally posted a multi-touchdown performance on Sunday, raising optimism among his fantasy managers, it's important to remain cautious.
#Browns WR Amari Cooper has officially begun his decline 📉
So far this year, the 30 yr old is 81st in SEPARATION & 94th in ROUTE WIN RATE (out of 103 qualifying WRs) 🤯
His 17 targets & 243 total air yards are impressive, but with Watson at QB I’m OUT!pic.twitter.com/iDnAZx1A5Z
— FANTASY UMPIRE (@FantasyUmpire) September 18, 2024
Looking ahead, Cooper’s fantasy production will likely mirror Cleveland’s offense’s inconsistent trajectory. Tight end David Njoku is set to return soon, and wide receiver Jerry Jeudy is developing a rapport with Watson, adding further uncertainty to Cooper’s target share. The potential return of star running back Nick Chubb complicates the offensive landscape.
If your team needs a more stable option, consider trading Cooper after his strong week. His recent performance might attract interest, allowing you to strengthen your lineup with a player who offers a higher fantasy floor.
TE Dallas Goedert, Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Goedert had a breakout performance in Week 3, likely delivering his best outing of the season. However, there are reasons to expect a regression to his typical output in the coming weeks. After posting just 31 and 38 yards in the first two games, Goedert’s impressive showing was partly due to injuries among other Eagles playmakers.
In that game, he enjoyed a 31% target share—his third highest over the past three seasons—largely because A.J. Brown was sidelined, and DeVonta Smith exited early. With Britain Covey also leaving the game, Goedert was the primary target, and Jalen Hurts looked to him often. He had big plays but didn't have the breakaway speed of his wide receiver teammates.
Jordan Mailata mic’d up during the Dallas Goedert catch and run:
“Unhook the trailer! Dallas you slow mother f—er! I’m sorry, I’m happy. I promise.” 😂pic.twitter.com/uUVL56HhxU
— SPORTSRADIO 94WIP (@SportsRadioWIP) September 24, 2024
The tight-end landscape is particularly challenging right now, with several top performers underwhelming and many injuries affecting the position. This presents a prime opportunity to leverage Goedert's recent success in trade discussions.
If he wasn’t even your starting tight end, now is the time to capitalize on his heightened value before Smith and Brown return to the lineup. Consider flipping Goedert while his stock is at its peak.
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