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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 25th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Packers @ Buccaneers
The Packers take on the Buccaneers on Sunday, September 25th at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Green Bay Packers (1-1) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0)
- Date: Sunday, September 25th, 2022
- Time: 4:25 PM ET
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Packers @ Buccaneers
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Green Bay Packers - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Packers will look to keep things rolling after picking up a 27-10 win over their division rival, the Chicago Bears. Not only did Green Bay walk away with the win, but they also covered the spread as -10.5 point favorites. The team's combined scoring of 37 points, fell below the posted betting line of 42. On their way to picking up a 17 point win, Green Bay held a 14 point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 24-10.
The Packers 27 points was right in line with last year's season average of 26.47 points per game. Throughout the game, Green Bay relied on the ground attack, finishing with 203 on 38 carries. Aaron Jones had a big individual game, finding the endzone 1 time, in addition to his 132 rush yards.
On his way to throwing for 234 passing yards, Aaron Rodgers finished with a passer rating of 131.08. Rodgers ended the game by finding the endzone 2 times through the air. Although Sammy Watkins did not come up with a touchdown grab through the air, he was still productive with 93 yards. Green Bay has thrown the ball an average of 32.0 times per game, placing them in 21st. Thus far, 58.24% of their yards through the air, which is 26 in the NFL.
Currently, the Packers defense is ranked just 10th in overall yards allowed. So far, the team's defense has allowed 2 scores through the air and 1 on the ground. The Packers will look to continue to perform well on 3rd downs, as they are allowing opponents to convert at a rate of just 25.0%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Buccaneers picked up a game in the NFC South, as they took down the Saints by a score of 20-10. Tampa Bay also picked up an ATS win, with a point spread of -2.5. The team's combined scoring of 30 points fell below the posted betting line of 43. In the 10 point win, the Buccaneers entered the 4th quarter in a 3-3 tie. However, they outscored the Saints by 10 points to come home with the win and cover the spread.
Compared to last year, where the Buccaneers averaged 30.06 points per game, the team's 20 was a disappointing performance. For the game, Tampa Bay ran the ball 30 times, finishing with 72 rushing yards. Leonard Fournette led the team with 65 rush yards and did not find the endzone.
At the quarterback position, Tom Brady ended the game with a passer rating of 79.29 on 190 yards through the air. Brady was able to find the endzone 1 time through the air. Leading the team's passing attack was Mike Evans, who finished with 61 yards, including a yards per reception figure of 20.3. In terms of pass yards per game, on average, Tampa Bay is the 23rd ranked team in the NFL. Thus far, 63.1% of their yards through the air, which is 22 in the NFL.
As a defensive unit, the Buccaneers currently rank 5th in overall yards allowed. Heading into this week's action, Tampa Bay has yet to give up a touchdown on the ground. Through the air, the group has allowed 1 score. The Buccaneers will look to continue to perform well on 3rd downs, as they are allowing opponents to convert at a rate of just 25.0%.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Packers vs. Buccaneers
Looking back at the recent matchups between Green Bay and Tampa Bay, the Buccaneers have taken 2 of the last 3 contests. The two teams have combined to average 50.34 points per game in their last 3 meetings. Green Bay and Tampa Bay did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone 2-1 vs the spread in these games. On average, the Packers have averaged 20.67 points per game in the past 3 head-to-head matchups, compared to Tampa Bay at 29.67.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Packers have gone 1-2 straight up. In a similar fashion, the team's record vs the spread in these games was just 1-2. Their over-under record in this span was 0-3.
In their last 3 games away from home, the Packers have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team averaged 22.67 points per game in this stretch.
Through their last 3 games, the Buccaneers have a record of 2-1. This also includes going 2-1 ATS and an over-under mark of 1-2
In their last 3 home games, Tampa Bay has averaged 33.0 points per game while allowing 20.67. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Buccaneers -2.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 41.0
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