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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Dallas Cowboys vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Monday, January 16th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Cowboys @ Buccaneers
The Cowboys take on the Buccaneers on Monday, January 16th at Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Dallas Cowboys (12-5) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-9)
- Date: Monday, January 16th, 2023
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Venue: Raymond James Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Cowboys @ Buccaneers
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Dallas Cowboys - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 18, the Dallas Cowboys dropped their NFC East matchup against the Commanders by a score of 26-6. With the loss, Dallas failed to cover the spread, as they had a -7.5 advantage on the spread. With an over-under betting line of 40, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 32. In the game, Dallas trailed the Commanders by a score of 20-6 heading into the 4th quarter. Through 17 games, the Cowboys have an ATS record of 10-7. So far, they have an over-under record of 9-8. This week's betting total of 45.5 is right in line with their previous games.
As the Cowboys prepare to take on Tampa Bay, they have played well on offense, ranking 4th in points per game at 27.5. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Buccaneers defense ranked 13th in points per game. Although the Cowboys come into the game ranked just 14th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Tampa Bay secondary that is vulnerable through the air. On the ground, the Cowboys should be in line for a good performance, as they are one of the better-rushing teams in the league and are facing a defense that has its problem stopping the run.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 18, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers dropped their NFC South matchup against the Falcons by a score of 30-17. In terms of betting, Tampa Bay not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as 6.0 point underdogs. Going into the game, the over-under total was set at 40 points, which the teams surpassed. The Buccaneers were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Atlanta by a score of 20-17 heading into the final quarter. Through 17 games, the Buccaneers have an ATS record of 4-12-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-11. This week's betting total of 45.5 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Buccaneers' offense is averaging 18.4 points per game, placing them 25th in the NFL. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 6th-ranked defense, look for Tampa Bay to put together an above-average offensive performance. On the ground, the Buccaneers come into the game averaging just 76.9 yards per game. Overall, they had a yards per-rush total of 3.4 yards (32nd).
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Cowboys vs. Buccaneers
Looking back at the recent matchups between Dallas and Tampa Bay, the Buccaneers have taken 3 of the last 5 contests. The two teams have combined to average 38.2 points per game in their last 5 meetings. In game 1 of this year's series between the two teams, the Buccaneers came away with a 3-19 win over the Cowboys. In addition to picking up the win, the Buccaneers covered the spread as +2.5 point favorites. Going into last year's only matchup between the two teams, the over-under line was set at 52.5 points. Tampa Bay came away with a 31-29 win but did not cover the point spread.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 3-1-1. On average, the Cowboys have averaged 18.2 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Tampa Bay at 20.0.
Dallas has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2
In their last 3 games away from home, the Cowboys have a straight-up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team averaged 22.3 points per game in this stretch.
Through their last 3 games, the Buccaneers have a record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 1-2 while posting a 2-1 over-under mark.
Tampa Bay has played well in their previous 3 home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 23.3 points per game while allowing 24.7. The team's also performed well vs the spread at 1-2.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Cowboys -2.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 45.5
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