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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Thursday, September 22nd, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Steelers @ Browns
The Steelers take on the Browns on Thursday, September 22nd at FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers (1-1) vs. Cleveland Browns (1-1)
- Date: Thursday, September 22nd, 2022
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Steelers @ Browns
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Pittsburgh Steelers - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 3, the Steelers will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 17-14 loss to the New England Patriots. In terms of the spread, Pittsburgh and Cleveland matched the 3.0 point spread, resulting in a push. The two teams combined point total of 31 remained below the betting line of 40. The Steelers were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed New England by a score of 17-6 heading into the final quarter.
Compared to last year, where the Steelers averaged 20.18 points per game, the team's 14 was a disappointing performance. For the game, Pittsburgh ran the ball 22 times, finishing with 91 rushing yards. The team's leading rusher was Najee Harris, who finished with just 49 yards and a per attempt average of 3.3.
At the quarterback position, Mitch Trubisky ended the game with a passer rating of 73.8 on 168 yards through the air. Trubisky ended the game by throwing for 1 touchdown. Leading the team's passing attack was Diontae Johnson, who finished with 57 yards, including a yards per reception figure of 9.5. Overall, Pittsburgh is the 28th ranked team in pass yards per game, with an average of 172.0. Currently, 67.45% of their yards come through the air, ranking them 17th in the NFL.
As a defensive unit, the Steelers currently rank 25th in overall yards allowed. So far, the team's defense has allowed 3 scores through the air and 1 on the ground. Overall, opposing QB's have a passer rating of 67.0 vs the defense.
Cleveland Browns - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 2, the Cleveland Browns dropped their AFC matchup against the Jets by a score of 31-30. Going into the game, the oddsmakers had Browns as the -6.5 favorite. The over-under total was set at 38 points, which the teams surpassed. This was a difficult loss for Cleveland, as they held 3 point lead heading into the 4th quarter.
With their 30 points, Cleveland had an above average game compared to last year's season average of 20.53 points per game. For the game, Cleveland ran the ball 37 times, finishing with 184 rushing yards. Nick Chubb was able to find the endzone 3 times, along with his 87 yards.
On his way to throwing for 229 passing yards, Jacoby Brissett finished with a passer rating of 98.92. To finish the game, Brissett had 1 passing touchdown. Leading the way in the passing game was Amari Cooper, as he accumulated 101 yards and hauled in a touchdown. Cleveland is the 23rd ranked team in passing attempts per game, with an average of 30.5. This season, 43.88% of the team's offensive plays have come through the pass, placing them 29th in the NFL.
As a defensive unit, the Browns currently rank 15th in overall yards allowed. So far, the team's defense has allowed 5 scores through the air and 2 on the ground. This season, the Browns have struggled to get off the field in 3rd down situations, allowing opponents to convert at a rate of 46.2%.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Steelers vs. Browns
Pittsburgh comes into the game looking to continue their recent success over Cleveland, as they have a record of 3-2 over the last 5 meetings. The two teams have combined to average 48.2 points per game in their last 5 meetings. When looking back to last year's matchups between Pittsburgh and Cleveland, the Steelers won both games by scores of 26-14 and 15-10.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. The Steelers' offense has averaged 27.6 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Cleveland, compared to the Browns at 20.6.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Steelers have a straight up record of just 1-2. In addition, the team has not done well vs the spread, going 1-1-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2.
Across their last 3 road contests, Pittsburgh has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 20.0 points per game.
Cleveland has put together a record of 2-1 over their past 3 games. This also includes going 1-2 ATS and an over-under mark of 2-1
Although Cleveland has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last 3 home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 21.67 points per game in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Browns -4.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 38.5
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