Welcome to our Broncos vs. Bears fantasy football start 'em, sit' em matchups analysis article for Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season.
Read our matchups analysis, player breakdowns, and lineup recommendations for the matchup and set those winning lineups. Good luck RotoBallers!
Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears
Spread: Broncos -3.5
Implied Total: Broncos (25) vs. Bears (21.5)
Pace: Broncos (14th) vs. Bears (10th)
Broncos Off. DVOA: 16.3% Pass (16th), -9.0% Rush (18th)
Bears Off. DVOA: -39.7% Pass (32nd), -11.2% Rush (23rd)
Broncos Def. DVOA: 61.4% Pass (32nd), 16.8% Rush (30th)
Bears Def. DVOA: 53.8% Pass (31st), -10.8% Rush (16th)
Matchups We Love
Broncos WRs
Nothing like a pair of 0-3 teams meeting each other in an effort to get back on track. It's a game that someone has to win, but it could be sloppy. Of all the offensive pieces on both sides, it's this group that has the combination of role, talent, and matchup.
The concentration of targets continues to go to Jerry Jeudy and Courtland Sutton, who combined for 18 targets. The production also followed this week with 13 catches for 172 yards and a score. It's a fantastic matchup for both receivers, who are in the top 24.
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Marvin Mims Jr. continues to make explosive plays with another long reception of 38 yards and a 99-yard kickoff return touchdown. He's still playing fewer snaps than Brandon Johnson, but his five targets were the highest so far. He's a boom-bust flex option.
Matchups We Hate
None
Other Matchups
Javonte Williams (RB, DEN)
The game script forced the Broncos to air it out almost immediately. It was okay for Williams because he received three targets, but he has a stronger stranglehold on the rushing workload, where he accounted for 11 of the 19 (58%) backfield carries. It's worth mentioning that Jaleel McLaughlin is taking over as the backup, at least on the ground. The matchup is great, landing Williams around the top 24 with a greater touchdown upside.
Russell Wilson (QB, DEN)
Because the defense is giving up so many points, the offense is being forced to throw a lot. Wilson is 10th in passing attempts, eighth in passing yards, and tied for fifth with Justin Herbert in passing touchdowns. It feels counterintuitive to trust him in your lineup but based on their passing rate and his matchup against Chicago, he's a decent streaming option this week.
Justin Fields (QB, CHI)
Fields and the offense struggled immensely in Arrowhead. Losing was expected. Even a blowout was expected. Trailing 41-0 in the third quarter is in the Denver category of embarrassment. It's difficult to stay optimistic about Fields because of his inadequacies as a passer, despite his incredible talent as a rusher. The matchup is great, so he's still a streamer, but the floor is very low.
DJ Moore (WR, CHI)
When your quarterback completes 11 passes, you're going to have a bad day. Thankfully, for those who started Moore, he did find the end zone. Similar to Fields, it's risky to put your faith in this offense, even though he's emerged as the clear No. 1 the way we all projected him to, especially against Patrick Surtain II. He lands in the top 36 range.
Bears RBs
Roschon Johnson played just five fewer snaps than Khalil Herbert, who had a fumble. Yet, he handled one more carry and earned one more target. The negative game script likely favors Johnson, although it'll be a much more competitive outing this week. Neither is someone to force into your lineup, but they're both upside flex options because of the matchup with Johnson possessing the higher ceiling.
Notable Injuries
Greg Dulcich (leg)
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