X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship

Keegan Bradley - PGA DFS Picks, Golf Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy Golf

Golf betting is so tilting. Adam Scott had two rounds of golf where he shot -7 and -5, for a total of -12, which is the score he ended his week on. The winner of the tournament finished at -20. Had he managed to shoot -4 in each of the other two rounds, he would have been in a playoff. What is even more gross, is the fact that he decided not to play the 3M Open, despite sitting outside the top-70 in FedEx Cup points, finished T7 last week and ended the year 72nd, missing the playoffs for the first time in their 17-year existence. Not good.

What makes golf betting even more difficult, is choosing which information to adapt to rapidly, and which information to be patient about. Lucas Glover switched his putter to a broomstick recently which saw him have his second-best putting performance of the year. He also had the best approach week of his season, gaining 9 strokes on approach the week he has his second-best putting performance. Betting on this game can make you want to pull your hair out... But congratulations to Lucas who is a very deserving winner on the PGA Tour after some dark times with the putter over the years.

For those of you who are new to the article, Breaking $100 is a comprehensive PGA betting guide on how to squeeze every cent out of your $100. We will be breaking $100 into a betting card of outrights, first-round leaders, placings, and a "farewell fiver," all in an attempt to turn a structured betting strategy into a profitable and entertaining Sunday sweat. $100 is easily divided or multiplied, so please only bet amounts that you can afford to lose. You can find me on Twitter an unhealthy amount of the time @TheModelManiac, if you have any questions, compliments, or insults for me.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Outrights ($15)

We went a little light on the card last week, so we will go back to $15 on the outright market this week with four golfers who have what it takes to win at TPC Southwind. This approach leaves in the 7X return range, but after betting $10 last week, we are averaging around 8X usually.

Patrick Cantlay ($7.13 @ +1700 on Bet365)

This golf course demands accuracy off the tee and a well round game to deal with below average green in regulation rates, which Patrick Cantlay has. It is not often that somebody who is top 20 in driving distance finds themselves top 10 in driving accuracy, but Patrick Cantlay is indeed one of those freaks off the tee. A combination of distance and precision see him grade out as the third best driver of the ball in this field behind World No. 1 and 2, Scottie and Rory.

Once the first domino falls off the tee in the right direction, Cantlay will have to rely on his short game to get the job done, as his iron play has not necessarily been all that impressive this year. However, he had his best approach week at the Travellers Championship, gaining just shy of 8 strokes, which is also a very wedge and mid-iron friendly track where he finished T4.

From a comp course perspective, add phenomenal finishes at Harbour Town to his T4 three starts ago. Cantlay will be looking to lean on that putter that can go scorched earth at any given moment and a short game that has served him well many years on tour. He is due for a win this year and now that the playoffs are rolling through town, expect Playoff Patty Ice to freeze the field and claim yet another playoff victory.

Viktor Hovland ($2.64 @ +4500 on BetRivers)

Viktor Hovland is second in weighted good shot percentage, which means that at this course, from these specific proximities, he should afford himself the second most birdie chances by gaining over half a stroke on a single approach shot. Off the tee, his superhero ball striking remains as glorious as his iron play, ranking 4th OTT in his last 24 rounds. On shorter courses he has the accuracy needed to still rank inside the top-10 in this field when course yardage falls below 7,200.

Hovland has now won on US soil, which was the only criteria holding him back from a Hovlander photoshop, which, if you are fan of the show "The Boys", may not seem like the character profile Hovland would embody, but it makes for a cool looking graphic. A trait that used to be toxic and tumultuous, is his around the green play, which is now top 30 over the last 24 rounds. MUCH better than the 54th ranking he owns for the season as his chipping has held him back from immense glory many times in the past, but now that it is fixed, that cape will be fluttering fearlessly behind him on route to his second big-time victory this year.

Keegan Bradley ($2.38 @ +9000 on BetMGM)

We mentioned that we liked the Travellers as a comp course for this week, and Keegan Bradley just won at the Travellers only three starts ago. He has the best proximity numbers from 125-150 in this field and now that he is a top 10 putter over the last two-dozen rounds, he seems to have all the tools needed for success.

Bradley's driver ranks 31st in distance and 36th in accuracy, which translates to him gaining the 20th most strokes off the tee on these shorter courses. We have written Bradley up countless times in the past, yet danced around his two wins this season. Despite his two wins, Bradley has not guaranteed a Ryder Cup spot, which, I think, will be another motivating factor for him to perform well this week as he desperately wants to be on the team to win their first Ryder Cup on European soil in almost 3 decades.

Adam Schenk ($0.58 @ +25000 on DraftKings)

"If you have never watched the movie Bridesmaids, please, do it! It's hilarious. Almost as hilarious as Adam Schenk's ability to shimmy into that unflattering hot pink dress 5 separate occasions recently. He has two 2nd-place finishes this year, along with a 4th and two 7ths. Four of those finishes have taken place in his last seven starts, either missing the cut or finishing no worse than 7th. The guy either shuts down the dance floor at the wedding or blacks out before dinner is served - which, for an outright, is exactly what we are looking for." - Wyndham Championship.

I said on my podcast this week that if you liked somebody last week at Sedgefield Country Club, I think you should follow through with them this week, as this course requires a similar skill set that starts with accuracy off the tee and stellar wedges and mid irons. Schenk also went from 75-1 last week, to 250-1 this week, which is a long enough number to round out the card with. Scores may not get as low as we saw a week ago, but he has been sporadic with his results lately, and after two poor outings it is time to bounce back and get back in the heat of the battle at the top of the leaderboard.

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription? Like what you read today? You can show your support for Byron by using the discount code MANIAC when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, models, projections and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry.

Placings ($50)

Last Week's Placements: -$1.53

10 bets placed and we landed up basically where we started, losing only -$1.53, with Dylan Wu two shots out of a T40 +200 potentially getting us into the $20 profit range. All good.

  • Sungjae Im $8 T20 +130: +$10.40
  • Denny McCarthy $8 T20 +160: -$8
  • Aaron Rai $8 T20 +200: -$8
  • Adam Scott $8 T20 +210: $16.80
  • Adam Hadwin $8 T20 +250: -$8
  • Brandon Wu $8 T20 +360: -$8
  • Stephan Jaeger $8 T40 -110: $7.27
  • Eric Cole $8 T40 +150: +$12
  • Kevin Yu T40 +175 (the model loves him but he breaks it each week): -$8
  • Dylan Wu $8 T40 +200: -$8

This Week's Placements

We are going full maniac mode this week as my model struggles to find value in smaller field events. We are betting on all four of our outrights to finish top-10 with two top-20 candidates at even money.

  • Patrick Cantlay $10 T10 +150
  • Viktor Hovland $10 T10 +190
  • Keegan Bradley $5 T10 +500
  • Adam Schenk $5 T10 +1000
  • Rickie Fowler $10 T20 +100
  • Tommy Fleetwood $10 T20 +100

Matchups ($30)

Matchups are my favorite golf bet to place, as it is one of the safer bets as you can still cash in on a matchup even if our guy misses the cut (no cut this week). This week we are fading the Matthews!

  • Rickie Fowler $16 -140 over Matthew Fitzpatrick - Fowler has just been playing exceptional golf for a while now, while Fitz has lost strokes off the tee in four consecutive tournaments.
  • Sam Ryder $14 -122 over Matthew NeSmith - Ryder has found some form with his irons recently while Matthew NeSmith's putting stats look like an episode of Dexter. A red, bloody, mess.

The Farewell Fiver ($5)

Scottie Scheffler $5 +150 Top 5

At a venue where you can lean on ball striking to get it done, why not lean on somebody who is rivaling Tiger for one of the best tee-to-green seasons of our generation. Good luck this week, and as always, may the odds be ever in your favor!!!

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

MacKenzie Gore2 hours ago

Named Opening Day Starter
Jack Leiter2 hours ago

Allows Two Runs Across Four Frames
Gleyber Torres2 hours ago

Returns To The Lineup Monday
Agustin Ramirez2 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Brandon Nimmo2 hours ago

Will Start In The Outfield Monday
Zebby Matthews2 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
David Festa2 hours ago

Sent To Triple-A
Brandon Pfaadt2 hours ago

Strikes Out Seven In Spring Training Start
Kevin Alcántara3 hours ago

Kevin Alcantara Sent To Triple-A Iowa
Jace Jung3 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Chris Sale3 hours ago

Gets Opening Day Start For The Atlanta Braves
Mookie Betts12 hours ago

Won't Play In Tokyo Series Against Cubs
Michael Tonkin16 hours ago

Will Open Season On Injured List
Michel Otañez16 hours ago

Michel Otanez Shut Down From Throwing
Brandon Marsh17 hours ago

Exits Early Sunday
Royce Lewis17 hours ago

Expected To Begin 2025 On Injured List
Bailey Falter19 hours ago

Ready To Go For Monday
Yu Darvish19 hours ago

Dealing With Fatigue
Clarke Schmidt19 hours ago

Won't Start On Monday
Mark Leiter Jr.19 hours ago

Should Be Ready For Opening Day
David Bednar20 hours ago

Not Officially Named Closer
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP
10
9
11
10
12
19
13
22
14
24
15
25
16
33
17
40
18
41
19
42

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
1
1
2
3
3
7
4
11
6
14
7
15
8
18
9
19
10
20

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Davante Adams - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL Free Agency Tracker - Updates On Every Free Agent Signing (2025)

The NFL offseason is starting to heat up, and the league's legal tampering period is set to begin on March 10 at noon Eastern. Free agents cannot officially sign until the new league year begins on March 12 at 4 p.m. Eastern, but deals will be agreed to, and news will be coming in quickly […]


Kaleb Johnson - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

2025 Fantasy Football Rookie Drafts: Best, Worst Picks In Rounds 1-4

You don't want to draft the below players, trust me. There are busts in every year's rookie class, and while some of them are tough to predict, others show clear signs that they aren't worth their capital. Many players have great fortune in college, playing on great teams that elevate their production and thus the […]


Matthew Golden - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Draft

2025 NFL Draft Wide Receiver Rankings: Top 5 Rookies

Last year’s wide receiver class was one of the best in recent history, totaling three top-10 picks and seven prospects coming off the board in the first round. Many have called this year’s class a massive downgrade compared to last year’s unit. Yet, the 2025 wide receiver draft class has several impressive prospects. There might […]


Brenton Strange - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire, TE Streamers, NFL DFS

Winners and Losers of 2025 NFL Free Agency in Fantasy Football

NFL Free Agency has been quite the frenzy. At RotoBaller, we track it all for you right here! It might not always feel like it, but there have been a ton of impactful moves. And with every move comes a fantasy football impact, right? This article takes a look at some of the top winners […]


Jaylen Wright - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Fantasy Football Breakouts: Running Back Sleepers For 2025

The running back position is in constant flux in Dynasty fantasy football, as depth charts are constantly shuffled around, teams often decide to move on from productive players and replace them with cheaper or younger options, and players have their first good seasons in their careers. We're mostly concerned with that last point -- RBs […]


Albert Haynesworth - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Worst NFL Free Agent Signings Of All Time

With the free agency period for the 2025 NFL season now underway, many big-name players will find new homes as teams compete to sign anyone and everyone they think they need to help their squad. While many signings end up being good moves, or at least help their teams fill holes at certain positions on […]


Cole Kmet - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL injury News

Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Targets and Avoids: Tight Ends to Buy or Sell (2025)

It's tough to find good tight ends in dynasty fantasy football. Unfortunately, it's also very easy to be stuck with one that sticks around in the doldrums of low production. Such is the case for many TEs, and even those who have good seasons here and there often lack consistency year over year. It's not […]


D'Andre Swift - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injuries

Dynasty Fantasy Football Trade Targets and Avoids: Running Backs to Buy or Sell (2025)

Running back volume and production is highly mercurial in the NFL. It can thus be difficult to know when to trade away and when to trade for tailbacks. There is constant competition for roles in certain backfields, and red-herring situations are abound due to injuries and plain luck. While some RBs are certainly safe in […]


Josh Downs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News Updates

2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Third-Year Breakouts

Patience can be tough, especially in fantasy football. We want instant production from rookies, but these players often take a while to get going. These youngsters need to adjust to the speed of the NFL and learn from their early struggles to break out fully. The third year in the NFL is oftentimes when things […]


Justin Fields - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

NFL Free Agency Winners and Losers - Fantasy Football Outlooks from Florio

Free Agency is the most fun week of the NFL offseason. Even when it is not the strongest class, there is never a shortage of excitement. Players changing teams at a rapid rate. It is a week filled with hope that your favorite team will add stars and that those under-the-radar players you love will […]


Josh Downs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News Updates

Josh Downs Fantasy Football Dynasty Outlook (2025)

The 2025 NFL Draft is quickly approaching. For the last few months, dynasty fantasy football gamers have been meticulously studying the incoming rookie class to gain any edge they can on their league mates. While we should be anxiously awaiting our rookie drafts, we must also take time and analyze how veteran players are valued […]


Tyron Smith Top Landing Spots: 2025 NFL Free Agency Outlook

New York Jets and former long-time Dallas Cowboys offensive tackle Tyron Smith was one of the best offensive linemen in the NFL for an extended period of time. He's made five All-Pro teams, two with the first team and two with the second team, been selected to eight Pro Bowls, and earned a spot on […]


Bills Defense - Von Miller IDP Rankings, D/ST Streamers, Fantasy Football Team Defense

Von Miller Top Landing Spots: 2025 NFL Free Agency Outlook

Buffalo Bills linebacker Von Miller, one of the greatest pass-rushers in NFL history, was released by his team on March 9, 2025. He had signed a six-year, $120 million deal with the team in 2022, but the soon-to-be 36-year-old wasn't able to make it to the end of that contract, so he's now looking for […]