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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday, September 8th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Pirates vs. Braves
The Pirates take on the Braves on Friday, September 8th 2023 at Truist Park, Atlanta. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Pirates (65-75) vs. Atlanta Braves (91-48)
- Date: Friday, September 8th 2023
- Time: 7:20 ET
- Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Pirates vs. Braves
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Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Atlanta, the Pirates have a record of just 65-75. This places the team 4th in the NL Central. Pittsburgh will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 31-38 away from home.
With an above .500 record against the runline, Pittsburgh has been favored 28 times in 140 games played so far. The team has an over/under record of 75-60, with an average betting line of 9.
Making the start for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, with a record of 11-8. Through 28 outings, Mitch Keller has an ERA sitting at 3.92. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .241. Opposing hitters have gone deep 20 times against Mitch Keller, who has a WOBA allowed of .305. Keller has a WHIP of 1.25, with 51 walks allowed.
On offense, Pittsburgh comes into the game averaging 4.2 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Through 140 games, the Pirates have the 21st-ranked batting average at .236. Things have been going slightly better in the power department, as Pittsburgh has gone deep 137 times, placing them 23rd in the league. Pittsburgh's offense currently sits 15th in OBP, coming in at .313.
Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Atlanta Braves host the Pittsburgh Pirates, they have a record of 91-48, placing them 1st in the NL East. So far, Atlanta has been tough at Truist Park, putting together a mark of 45-24.
Having been favored in 89.9% of their games, Atlanta has an above .500 record against the runline at 74-65. The team's over/under record comes in at 75-60 with an average betting line of 9.
Taking the mound for Atlanta is Bryce Elder. Heading into play, he has a mark of 11-4. So far, Bryce Elder has put together an ERA of 3.42 across his 27 outings. Currently, opponents are batting just .234 against the right-hander. Opposing hitters have gone deep 15 times against Bryce Elder, who has a WOBA allowed of .294. With a total of 53 walks, Elder has a WHIP of 1.22.
Atlanta comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 5.8 runs per game, good for 1st in the MLB. The Braves have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .275 ranks 1st in the league. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 270 home runs (1st). To date, Atlanta has the MLB's 1st best OBP at .344.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Pirates vs. Braves
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and the Pirates, the Braves are the heavy favorite at -211 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 67.85%. The MLB predictive model gives Atlanta enough of an edge to bet the Braves to cover the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Braves -1.5
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