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Booms or Busts? Alshon Jeffery, Dez Bryant, and T.Y. Hilton

When picking wide receivers in a fantasy football draft, one must look closely at specific facts in order to pick the right player who will separate himself from the rest. Some players may be bunched together in rankings, but who will be the one that takes the bar to new heights?

Conversely, there are players who are ranked too high and will not produce the way you might think. Listed below are three players that will either “boom” in your lineup, or “bust” in production.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including Draft Kit + DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through October. Premium DFS lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more - seven days a week. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

 

Alshon Jeffery: Boom

Ladies and gentlemen, Alshon Jeffery of the Chicago Bears is probably the most under-rated wide receiver based on his ranking. You might not think that is possible because he is ranked to go late second/early third round in this year’s fantasy football draft. If you look closely at his numbers from last year you might think the same thing.

Last season Alshon played in just nine games due to injury. In the games he did play, he produced monster numbers. In those games he produced 54 catches, 807 yards, and four touchdowns on 94 targets. If you break those numbers down per game, Jeffery averaged six catches, 89.66 yards, 10.4 targets, and a touchdown almost every other game. What skews the numbers a bit was that Alshon injured his hamstring in Week 15 against the Vikings, so really the numbers should be based on 8+ games.

A healthy Alshon Jeffery means an absolute beast wide receiver for Cutler to throw the ball to. Look for Jeffery’s numbers to climb considerably from last year to 90 catches, 1400 yards, and 10 touchdowns if he plays all games. He has potential WR1 status for your second or third round pick.

 

Dez Bryant: Bust

When you look at Dez Bryant and what you think he is capable of doing, it is hard to believe that he could be in the bust category. There are a couple of factors to take into consideration when analyzing Dez and the Dallas Cowboy’s situation.

No Tony Romo automatically means that his production will most certainly slide off  a little bit. Bryant and Romo gel very well together, and when Romo is not in the lineup, Bryant’s numbers fall. While everyone is enamored with the young Dak Prescott, it’s important to remember that it’s still only the preseason and he has yet to prove anything on the pro level. Defenses will blitz and growing pains may rear their ugly heads.

Bryant has caught the injury bug recently. Last year he only played in nine games. This year as of last week in practice, Bryant suffered a concussion and is still on the mend. It might be hard to trust him to play a full schedule.

When it is said that Dez Bryant is a “bust” it does not mean a complete and total failure. It means that he will simply not produce to what he is capable of and not up to par where he will be drafted. Dez is in line as a mid-second round pick. Expecting WR1 numbers from him just really doesn’t seem realistic. Look for him to produce more like a low-end WR2 given his situation.

 

T.Y. Hilton: Boom

When you look at last year’s statistics for Hilton you might think that he had a pretty average year for a guy that you would expect to better. You would be correct. He put up a modest 69 receptions, 1124 yards, and only five touchdowns. The numbers look like low-to-mid WR2 numbers. From T.Y. we expect more, and trust that this year you will most certainly get it.

The reason Hilton had a pedestrian year in 2015 was because Andrew Luck was injured for 9 out of 16 games. This one is pretty cut and dry. A healthy Luck means a thriving receiver in Hilton, as he is the go-to wide receiver on the Indianapolis Colts. Look for his numbers to skyrocket to the point of 100 catches, 1,300 yards, and look for Hilton to be throwing up the “T” and “Y” touchdown cheer 9-10 times.

It is also important to mention that Hilton’s draft position is very favorable. He is currently ranked to be drafted in the middle of the 4th round this year. You’ll be looking at WR1 type statistics with good value at that point.

 


Check out RotoBaller's famous fantasy football draft sleepers and waiver wire pickups list, updated regularly!




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