
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 250
CURRENT ADP: ~277 overall
ANALYSIS: After coming up through Boston's farm system as a third baseman, Dalbec now projects to be the Opening Day first baseman for the Red Sox with Rafael Devers manning the hot corner. Dalbec slugged his way through the upper levels of the minors, hitting 32 home runs with 109 RBI in 2018 and 27 home runs with 73 RBI in 2019. But that power comes with a high strikeout rate, as he sports a 29.8 percent strikeout rate over four seasons in the minors.
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That high strikeout rate showed up in his stint with Boston this season, with a whopping 42.4 percent strikeout rate while his 21.2 percent swinging strike rate was his second-highest mark of his professional career. But what also showed up was his power, as he was one of four players that debuted in 2020 to hit eight or more home runs — and he was the only one to do so in fewer than 100 plate appearances.
Don't expect much better than a .250 average from Dalbec as .257 is his best mark in full-season ball, but for where he is currently going in drafts he's one of the top options for managers playing catch-up in home runs.
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