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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Green Bay Packers vs. Buffalo Bills, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, October 30th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Packers @ Bills
The Packers take on the Bills on Sunday, October 30th at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Green Bay Packers (3-4) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-1)
- Date: Sunday, October 30th, 2022
- Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Packers @ Bills
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Green Bay Packers - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Packers fell by a score of 23-21 to the Washington Commanders, giving them a loss in the NFC standings. Heading into the game, the Packers were expected to win as -4.0 point favorites. This outcome resulted in both a straight-up and ATS loss. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 44 points, surpassing the betting line of 41. In the game, Green Bay trailed the Commanders by a score of 20-14 heading into the 4th quarter. Through 7 games, the Packers have an ATS record of 2-5. So far, they have an over-under record of 3-4. This week's betting total of 47.5 is higher than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Packers' offense is averaging 18.29 points per game, placing them 23rd in the NFL. This week, the team is matched up against the league's 1st ranked defense, look for Green Bay to have a below-average performance compared to their usual offensive output. This week, look for the Packers to struggle in the passing game, as not only have they struggled to move the ball through the air, but they are facing a secondary ranked 2nd in passer rating allowed. On the ground, Green Bay figure to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 18th-ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
Buffalo Bills - NFL Betting Analysis
The Bills head into week 6, looking for another win, as they picked up 4 point victory over the Kansas City Chiefs (24-20). Not only did Buffalo walk home with the win, but they also covered the spread as -2.5 point favorites. The team's combined scoring of 44 points, fell below the posted betting line of 54. In the 4 point win, the Bills entered the 4th quarter in a 17-17 tie. However, they outscored the Chiefs by 4 points to come home with the win and cover the spread. Through 6 games, the Bills have an ATS record of 4-2. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-5. This week's betting total of 47.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Bills prepare to take on Green Bay, they have played well on offense, ranking 2nd in points per game at 29.33. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Packers defense that is ranked 17th in points per game. Throughout the game, Buffalo should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 1st ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, our projections show that the Packers' offense will have its problems. Even though they have a decent matchup against a Green Bay, look for Buffalo to come up with fewer rush yards than their season average of 117.83.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Packers vs. Bills
When looking back at the recent matchups between Green Bay and Buffalo, the Packers have won 2 of the last 3 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 0-3, with the average scoring total coming in at 32.33 points. Green Bay and Buffalo did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The Green Bay Packers have gone 2-1 vs the spread in these games. The Packers' offense has averaged 23.0 points per game over the 3 most recent meetings with Buffalo, compared to the Bills at 9.33.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Packers have gone 0-3. In these games they have gone just 0-3 vs the spread, while posting an over-under mark of 2-1.
Through their last 3 road games, Green Bay has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 14.0 points per game.
Through their last 3 games, the Bills have a record of 3-0. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 0-3
Buffalo has played well in their previous 3 home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 42.0 points per game while allowing 9.0. The team's also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bills -10.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 47.5
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