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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Saturday, December 17th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Dolphins @ Bills
The Dolphins take on the Bills on Saturday, December 17th at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins (8-5) vs. Buffalo Bills (10-3)
- Date: Saturday, December 17th, 2022
- Time: 8:15 PM ET
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Dolphins @ Bills
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Miami Dolphins - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 15, the Dolphins will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 23-17 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. Miami lost the game, even though they entered the game as -3.0 point favorites. With an over-under betting line of 54, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 40. In the game, Miami trailed the Chargers by a score of 20-14 heading into the 4th quarter. Through 13 games, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 6-7. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-7. This week's betting total of 42.0 is lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Dolphins prepare to take on Buffalo, they have played well on offense, ranking 9th in points per game at 24.3. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 2nd ranked defense, look for Miami to continue their strong offensive play. This season, Miami has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 277.9 yards per game through the air. Although the Bills' defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Miami should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass. On the ground, Miami is just the 29th-ranked team in rush yards per game at 89.9.
Buffalo Bills - NFL Betting Analysis
Going back to last week, the Bills picked up a win in the AFC East, as they defeated the Bills by a score of 20-12. Although the team came with the win, they were not able to cover the spread. Heading into the game, they were -10.0 point favorites. With an over-under betting line of 43, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 32. In their win over New York, the Bills held a 10-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 17-7. However, their 8-point win was not enough to cover the point spread. Through 13 games, the Bills have an ATS record of 5-7-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 3-10. This week's betting total of 42.0 is lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Bills prepare to take on Miami, they have played well on offense, ranking 4th in points per game at 27.2. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Dolphins defense that is ranked 22nd in points per game. Throughout the game, Buffalo should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 6th-ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. A key matchup to watch through the game is if Buffalo will be able to run the ball with their usual effectiveness. Even though they are averaging 133.7 yards per game on the ground, look for them to struggle against a defense that can be tough to run against.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Dolphins vs. Bills
Looking back at the recent matchups between Miami and Buffalo, the Bills have taken 4 of the last 5 contests. The two teams have combined to average 50.6 points per game in their last 5 meetings. Heading into the second meeting of the season between these two teams, the Dolphins already have a win over the Bills. In the previous matchup, Miami won by a score of 21-19. Not only did the Dolphins come out on top in the win column, but they also covered the spread as +7.5 point underdogs. When looking back to last year's matchups between Buffalo and Miami, the Bills won both games by scores of 26-11 and 35-0.
The Buffalo Bills have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 3-2-0. The Dolphins' offense has averaged 17.2 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Buffalo, compared to the Bills at 33.4.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Dolphins have gone 1-2 straight up. In these games, they have gone just 1-2 vs the spread while posting an over-under mark of 1-2.
Although Miami has a straight-up record of 1-2 in their last 3 road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 0-3. The team averaged 23.0 points per game in these games.
Through their last 3 games, the Bills have a record of 3-0. In these games, they have a 1-2 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 0-3.
When looking at their past 3 home matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 0-2-1 while averaging 27.0 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bills -7.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 42.0
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