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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, January 15th, 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Dolphins @ Bills
The Dolphins take on the Bills on Sunday, January 15th at Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins (9-8) vs. Buffalo Bills (13-3)
- Date: Sunday, January 15th, 2023
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Dolphins @ Bills
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Miami Dolphins - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Dolphins will look to keep things rolling after picking up an 11-6 win over their division rival, the New York Jets. Miami also picked up an ATS win, with a point spread of -4.0. With an over-under betting line of 37, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 17. On their way to picking up a 5-point win, Miami held a 3-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 6-3. Through 17 games, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 9-8. So far, they have an over-under record of 8-9. This week's betting total of 44.5 is right in line with their previous games.
As the Dolphins prepare to take on Buffalo, they have played well on offense, ranking 11th in points per game at 23.5. The team will need to be on top of their game vs the 2nd ranked scoring defense. This season, Miami has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 265.4 yards per game through the air. On the ground, is just the 25th ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
Buffalo Bills - NFL Betting Analysis
Going back to last week, the Bills picked up a win in the AFC East, as they defeated the Bills by a score of 35-23. This win was paired with an ATS victory, as they went into the game by -8.0 point favorites. The teams combined for a total of 58 points, which surpassed the over-under betting line of 44. On their way to picking up a 12-point win, Buffalo held a 11-point lead heading into the 4th quarter at 28-17. Through 16 games, the Bills have an ATS record of 7-8-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 6-10. This week's betting total of 44.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Bills offense is averaging 28.4 points per game, placing them 2nd in the NFL. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Dolphins defense that is ranked 24th in points per game. Throughout the game, Buffalo should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 7th-ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. A key matchup to watch through the game is if Buffalo will be able to run the ball with their usual effectiveness. For the season, the team averaged 139.5 yards per contest.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Dolphins vs. Bills
Over the last 3 matchups between Miami and Buffalo, the Bills have won 2 of the last 3 games. The two teams have combined to average 46.0 points per game in their last 3 meetings. In the two meetings between Miami and Buffalo, the Bills picked up 2 wins by scores of 26-11 and 35-0.
The Miami Dolphins have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. On average, the Dolphins have averaged 20.3 points per game in the past 3 head-to-head matchups, compared to Buffalo at 25.7.
Through their 3 most recent regular season matchups, the Dolphins have gone 1-2. Like their straight up record, Miami struggled vs the spread, going 2-1. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 1-2.
Although Miami has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last 3 road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-1. The team averaged 22.3 points per game in these games.
Through their last 3 games, the Bills have a record of 3-0. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 3-0
When looking at their past 3 home matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 29.0 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Bills -10.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 44.5
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