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Nick Mariano - RotoBaller

2410 articles

Lead MLB/NFL Fantasy Analyst, Forecaster, and Editor here at RotoBaller, where I've been since 2015. I also spent two seasons writing for MLB.com's Fantasy411 Department. --- Consistent top FantasyPros accuracy finishes, including No. 1 (2018) and No. 2 (2023) in MLB and four-time top-15 ranker in their fantasy football weekly accuracy competition as well. --- NY born and raised, but now you can find me in Boston with my awesome Star Baker of a wife. Addicted to apples, peanut butter, learning about cognitive biases, and baseball cards. Lots of baseball cards... Reach out on Twitter or ride with me on Peloton: @NMariano53

Articles

Updated Catcher Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Mixed Leagues (July)

With Opening Day of the 2020 MLB season just a few weeks away, we have a new batch of updated fantasy baseball rankings for you here at RotoBaller. The unpredictable effects of COVID-19 and the implementation of the 60-game season will make the upcoming fantasy campaign the most unique we have ever seen. Not only […]

5 years ago

Mariano's Saves+Holds Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Relief Pitchers

To any reader who thinks they don't have a voice here at RotoBaller, let it be known that this article came from a simple Reddit comment about how those seeking Saves+Holds reliever ranks were often overlooked. Poof, and here we are. Allow me, Nick Mariano, 2018's most accurate draft expert and sharer of names with […]

5 years ago

Nick Mariano's 2020 Draft Sleepers List (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Sleeper has become a polarizing term in fantasy sports, becoming an SEO must for articles despite no real consensus on what it means. So let's get my definition out of the way first. Sleepers are not necessarily meant to be names that no one else […]

PREMIUM 5 years ago

Nick Mariano's Auction Draft Strategies and Tips (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Congratulations to you and your leaguemates for electing to play in the vastly superior format that is auction-based fantasy baseball. I'm not here to wax poetic about basic how-to's, rather I want help you go from the foundation to the very top. Especially with […]

PREMIUM 5 years ago

Nick Mariano's 2020 Early-Round Overvalued List (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Fantasy baseball drafts (and their articles) are almost all about finding the next superstar and unearthing talent late, but we can't forget that surrendering value by over-drafting can be just as crucial. In order to evaluate overvalued players here, we're going to utilize Average […]

PREMIUM 5 years ago

Adam Eaton (OF, WAS) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 175 CURRENT ADP: ~200 overall ANALYSIS: After two injury-plagued seasons in 2017 and ‘18, Adam Eaton turned in 656 PAs over 151 games last season for a career-high 103 runs, 15 homers, and 15 steals. His average slipped to .279 after hitting .297 and .301 in the past two respective […]

5 years ago

Marcell Ozuna (OF, ATL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 80 CURRENT ADP: ~95 overall ANALYSIS: Marcell Ozuna is a fresh face on a new squad in 2020; yet, his draft stock remains modest despite the upgrade in surroundings. After five years as a Marlin and two as a Cardinal, Ozuna is Atlanta’s likely cleanup hitter just as their youth […]

5 years ago

Byron Buxton (OF, MIN) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 100 CURRENT ADP: ~145 overall ANALYSIS: Look, the injury woes are baked into the projection here. “The market” may have additional trepidation, but 10 HR/14 SB in only 87 games (295 PAs) last year underscores Byron Buxton's potential. That's without even considering his place in a stacked Minnesota lineup. Systems […]

5 years ago

Khris Davis (UT, OAK) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 100 CURRENT ADP: ~180 overall ANALYSIS: Khrush Davis is being written off in 2020. Hindsight is likely to kick many asses as a result, given how Davis was on pace for his traditional 40-homer season in 2019 until a wrist injury suffered in the outfield derailed his campaign. He collided with […]

5 years ago

Matt Olson (1B, OAK) - Fantasy Baseball Undervalued Target

BALLER MOVE: Yahoo Only: Target ~ 50-60 CURRENT ADP: Yahoo ADP of 68 overall ANALYSIS: Price check on power? If I told you Matt Olson hit 36 homers with 91 RBI last season, you’d probably think that adds up with a fifth/sixth-round pick. If I told you he did so in just 127 games after suffering […]

5 years ago

Paul DeJong (SS, STL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~175-185 CURRENT ADP: ~198 overall ANALYSIS: Paul DeJong had his first full MLB season in 2019, and it yielded 30 homers, 175 R+RBI, and nine steals for fortunate fantasy owners. You’re getting a nice speed contribution on top of stellar R+RBI stats given his position within the order at a spot […]

5 years ago

Josh Donaldson (3B, MIN) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~70-80 CURRENT ADP: ~88 overall ANALYSIS: Josh Donaldson is ready to feast within a monstrous Minnesota offense, and he comes with greater power numbers than a premium third-base target like Anthony Rendon. Of course, you trade roughly 50 points of batting average for the 70-pick discount on Donaldson, but the added […]

5 years ago

Charlie Morton (SP, TB) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Target

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~40 CURRENT ADP: ~50 overall ANALYSIS: Morton’s price may rise as more top-end starting pitchers succumb to injury or potential COVID shutdown, but his current discount is nearly a full round in most formats. That’s plenty of room for profit given his elite turnaround since adding velocity at the end of […]

5 years ago

Man vs. Machine: Nick Mariano and ATC's Over/Undervalued Players

Welcome to Round 2 of Man vs. Machine, where one fantasy analyst goes toe-to-toe with one projection system for ranking supremacy. We here at RotoBaller are fortunate enough to have FantasyPros’ Most Accurate Fantasy Baseball Draft Ranker from both 2018 and 2019 on our roster in Nick Mariano and Ariel Cohen, respectively. Ariel also created […]

5 years ago

Finding Over/Undervalued Outfielders Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four outfielders and our site projections for them. Stay tuned over the next […]

5 years ago

Finding Over/Undervalued Shortstops Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four shortstops and our site projections for them. Stay tuned over the next […]

5 years ago

Finding Over/Undervalued Third Basemen Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four third basemen and our site projections for them. Stay tuned over the […]

5 years ago

Sean Doolittle (RP, WAS) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~140 CURRENT ADP: ~160 overall ANALYSIS: Doolittle had a tumultuous 2019, proving effective but suffering from overuse before rebounding in the playoffs. Doolittle had a 2.72 ERA with a 51/11 K/BB ratio over 43 innings through July 24, when he notched the save in each game of a doubleheader. That speaks […]

5 years ago

Yahoo ADP Comparison - Overpriced / Underpriced Players

Average Draft Position (ADP) is a must-have piece of information when it comes to drafting. While every league is different and may have a particularly aggressive or conservative group of owners when it comes to certain players, it’s the best tool we have when analyzing players’ value. Now, instead of just talking about total ADP […]

5 years ago

Finding Over/Undervalued Second Basemen Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "power" hitters, as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the […]

5 years ago

Niko Goodrum (1B/2B/SS/OF, DET) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~260-270 CURRENT ADP: ~284 overall ANALYSIS: Niko Goodrum is on pace to start the year as Detroit’s everyday shortstop, but has insane versatility that allows him to fill in wherever needed. Goodrum delivered a 12 home run/12 stolen base season in just 112 games last year, with 15/15 available on the cheap […]

5 years ago

ESPN ADP Comparison - Overpriced / Underpriced Players

Average Draft Position (ADP) is a must-have piece of information when it comes to drafting. While every league is different and may have a particularly aggressive or conservative group of owners when it comes to certain players, it’s the best tool we have when analyzing players’ value. Now, instead of just talking about total ADP […]

5 years ago

Finding Over/Undervalued First Basemen Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "power" hitters, as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the […]

5 years ago

Using Expected Draft Values to Find Over and Undervalued Speed Hitters

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "speed" players as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the […]

5 years ago

Nelson Cruz (UT, MIN) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Target ~40s CURRENT ADP: ~86 overall ANALYSIS: Many people let Nelson Cruz fall in drafts because he can only slot into the UTIL spot, but you can make DH-only work when it’s Cruz. His Statcast profile is painted red from wall to wall, with 99th percentile exit velocity and the best xSLG of […]

5 years ago

Finding Over/Undervalued Power Hitters Using Expected Draft Values

A couple weeks ago, we introduced our Expected Draft Values and explained how they would help us identify both over and undervalued players of all types. Power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, with pitchers as well. Today, we'll look at four "power" hitters, as identified by our site projections. Stay tuned over the […]

5 years ago

Austin Hays (OF, BAL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers

BALLER MOVE: Target ~240s CURRENT ADP: ~268 overall ANALYSIS: Austin Hays has been a name on fantasy players’ radars since he had a brief debut with the Orioles in 2017, but, despite the major league club not being relatively competitive, the organization chose to delay his call-up after injuries waylaid his ‘18 and ‘19 campaigns. […]

5 years ago

fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

Dylan Cease (SP, CHW) - Fantasy Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~250 (around Adrian Houser, Anthony DeSclafani, Sandy Alcantara) CURRENT ADP: ~283 overall ANALYSIS: The White Sox have a few young arms of intrigue in Cease, Michael Kopech and Reynaldo Lopez. However, Cease may have the most upside for 2020. He has elite stuff, with a curveball that seemed electric last season and, according to […]

5 years ago

fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

Ian Happ (OF/2B, CHC) - Fantasy Baseball Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~280 CURRENT ADP: ~323 overall ANALYSIS: Ian Happ burst onto the scene in 2017, hitting 24 home runs in 115 games, and many people were ready to anoint him as a long-time legitimate fantasy asset. Then his swing-and-miss tendencies got the better of him in 2018,  he wound up in the […]

5 years ago

Introducing EDV - Expected Draft Values for Fantasy Baseball

Last March at RotoBaller, we kicked off a cool fantasy baseball research project, exploring what we're calling Expected Draft Values. This offseason, we’ve refined the approach and our research, and taken things a step forward. We're sharing this concept with the fantasy baseball world now, and hope it's as helpful to you as it's been […]

5 years ago

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Daniel Suarez16 mins ago

Looking to Continue Magic at Atlanta
Bobby Miller21 mins ago

Still Experiencing Headaches
Christopher Bell21 mins ago

An Obvious DFS Pick at Atlanta
Denny Hamlin28 mins ago

Is One of the Top DFS Options Of The Week For Atlanta Lineups
Carmen Mlodzinski30 mins ago

Building Up To Starter's Workload
Joey Logano35 mins ago

Is One Of The Favorites To Win At Atlanta
Prelander Berroa38 mins ago

Exits Saturday's Contest With Elbow Discomfort
Kyle Busch39 mins ago

Expect Kyle Busch To Compete For The Win At Atlanta
Shohei Ohtani46 mins ago

Touches 95 MPH In Bullpen Session
Ty Gibbs49 mins ago

Should Not Be Overlooked For Atlanta DFS Lineups
Tyler Reddick54 mins ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Tyler Reddick At Atlanta This Week?
Brandon Woodruff56 mins ago

Throws Live BP
Alex Bowman1 hour ago

Is Alex Bowman Worth Rostering For DFS Lineups At Atlanta?
Shane Van Gisbergen1 hour ago

May Be A Sneaky DFS Value Option For Atlanta
Juuse Saros1 hour ago

Stands Tall On Saturday
John Hunter Nemechek1 hour ago

Should John Hunter Nemechek Be Considered For Atlanta DFS Lineups?
Kirill Kaprizov1 hour ago

Expected To Miss Longer Period Of Time
Carson Hocevar2 hours ago

Is A Fantastic Value Option For Atlanta DFS Lineups
Alex Tuch2 hours ago

Sustains Undisclosed Injury
Noah Gragson2 hours ago

Is A DFS Fade For Atlanta Lineups
Tom Wilson2 hours ago

Could Miss Sunday's Contest
John Gibson2 hours ago

Exits Early With Upper-Body Injury
Corey Lajoie2 hours ago

Corey LaJoie Is One Of The Top Value Plays For Atlanta
Andrew Copp2 hours ago

Doubtful For Sunday
NASCAR2 hours ago

Should DFS Players Roster A.J. Allmendinger At Atlanta?
Austin Dillon2 hours ago

Atlanta History Does Not Inspire Confidence For DFS Lineups
NASCAR4 hours ago

Despite Bubba Wallace's Drafting Record, He's Been Surprisingly Mediocre at Atlanta
Chris Buescher4 hours ago

Not Dominant Enough at Atlanta to Maximize DFS Value
Brad Keselowski4 hours ago

Could Contend for Atlanta Win, but Will Likely Play Second Fiddle to Penske
Chase Briscoe4 hours ago

Lost Considerable Speed After Daytona Penalty
Josh Berry4 hours ago

Despite Strong Qualifying Run, Josh Berry Likely Won't Contend at Atlanta
Ryan Preece4 hours ago

After Daytona Flip, Ryan Preece Likely to Focus on Finishing at Atlanta
Mark Andrews9 hours ago

A Potential Salary Cap Casualty?
Norman Powell9 hours ago

On The Injury Report For Sunday
Kawhi Leonard10 hours ago

Could Miss Sunday's Game
P.J. Washington10 hours ago

Questionable Against The Warriors
Mark Canha10 hours ago

Joins Brewers On Minor-League Deal
Josh Hart10 hours ago

May Miss Another Game On Sunday
OG Anunoby10 hours ago

Questionable Against Boston
Aaron Gordon13 hours ago

Set To Play Against The Lakers
LeBron James13 hours ago

Available Versus Denver
Luka Dončić13 hours ago

Luka Doncic Cleared For Saturday Night
Hyeseong Kim13 hours ago

To See Work In Center Field
Nolan Arenado13 hours ago

Astros Rekindle Talks For Nolan Arenado
Michael Kopech13 hours ago

Throws Off The Mound
Brayan Bello14 hours ago

Still Not Throwing Bullpens
Blake Mitchell14 hours ago

Suffers Broken Hamate Bone
Andrés Muñoz14 hours ago

Andres Munoz Working On Changeup
Dante Fabbro15 hours ago

Back For Blue Jackets Saturday
Sean Durzi15 hours ago

Returns From 52-Game Absence
Matthew Tkachuk15 hours ago

Will Not Play Against Kraken
Jordan Eberle15 hours ago

Back In Action Saturday
Boone Jenner16 hours ago

Ready For Season Debut Against Blackhawks
Nico Hischier16 hours ago

Returns To Devils Lineup Saturday
Mika Zibanejad16 hours ago

Available Against Sabres
Igor Shesterkin16 hours ago

Good To Go Saturday
Lucas Sims18 hours ago

Set To Throw Batting Practice On Sunday
J.B. Bukauskas18 hours ago

Suffers Significant Lat Injury
Wilyer Abreu18 hours ago

Still Battling Illness
Brandon Sproat19 hours ago

Tinkering With Sinker
Kutter Crawford19 hours ago

In Doubt For Opening Day
Jesús Sánchez19 hours ago

Jesus Sanchez Could Be Limited To DH Early In The Season
Blake Perkins19 hours ago

Suffers Shin Fracture
Connor Norby19 hours ago

Eyeing 30 Home Runs
Spencer Strider19 hours ago

Throws Curveball In Bullpen Session
Washington Commanders20 hours ago

Jonathan Allen Could Be Salary Cap Casualty
Treylon Burks20 hours ago

Could Use A Fresh Start Elsewhere
Tampa Bay Buccaneers20 hours ago

Jamel Dean A Cut Candidate For Buccaneers
Jarrett Allen20 hours ago

Set For An MRI, X-Rays Negative
Seattle Seahawks20 hours ago

Dre'Mont Jones' Cap Figure Is Untenable
Cam Thomas20 hours ago

Nearing A Return?
Pittsburgh Steelers20 hours ago

Steelers Could Be Looking To Replace Larry Ogunjobi
Philadelphia Eagles21 hours ago

Darius Slay Has Sixth-Highest Cap Hit For Eagles
Graham Gano21 hours ago

Could Be On His Way Out
Derek Carr21 hours ago

Saints Could Cut Derek Carr
Kendrick Bourne21 hours ago

Patriots To Move On From Kendrick Bourne?
Minnesota Vikings21 hours ago

Vikings Likely To Move On From Ed Ingram
Jason Sanders21 hours ago

Could Be A Cap Casualty
Cooper Kupp22 hours ago

Rams Could Cut Cooper Kupp
Los Angeles Chargers22 hours ago

Something Has To Give With Joey Bosa
EDM1 day ago

Matt Savoie Set To Make Team Debut
SEA1 day ago

Cale Fleury Promoted To NHL
Evander Kane1 day ago

Resumes Skating
Sidney Crosby1 day ago

A Game-Time Decision
Elias Pettersson1 day ago

Considered Day-To-Day
Quinn Hughes1 day ago

Not Expected To Play On Saturday
Jacksonville Jaguars1 day ago

Jaguars Hire James Gladstone As New General Manager
Donald Parham Jr.1 day ago

Steelers Sign Donald Parham Jr. To One-Year Deal
Philadelphia Eagles1 day ago

Nolan Smith Has Surgery For Torn Triceps Muscle
George Kittle1 day ago

Discussing Extension With 49ers
Matthew Stafford1 day ago

Rams Give Permission To Matthew Stafford's Agent To Talk To Other Teams
Patrick Williams2 days ago

To Miss At Least Two Weeks
Jarrett Allen2 days ago

Won't Return On Friday
Fred VanVleet2 days ago

Nearing Return
Josh Giddey2 days ago

Considered Probable For Saturday
Jalen Smith2 days ago

Unavailable Saturday
Jabari Smith Jr.2 days ago

Will Come Off The Bench On Friday
Nikola Vučević2 days ago

Nikola Vucevic Probable For Saturday
DaQuan Jeffries2 days ago

Remains Out On Saturday
Mike Conley2 days ago

Back In Action Friday
Mark Williams2 days ago

Removed From Injury Report
Rudy Gobert2 days ago

Will Not Play Against Rockets
Skyy Moore2 days ago

Could Be Salary Cap Casualty
Arizona Cardinals2 days ago

Cardinals Plan To Be Active In Free Agency
Henry Cejudo2 days ago

Set For Bantamweight Clash
Song Yadong2 days ago

Faces A Legend At UFC Seattle
Anthony Hernandez2 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Brendan Allen2 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Jean Matsumoto2 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Rob Font2 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Seattle
Melsik Baghdasaryan2 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Jean Silva2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Seattle
Alonzo Menifield2 days ago

Opens Up UFC Seattle Main Card
Julius Walker2 days ago

Makes His UFC Debut
Jeremy Lauzon3 days ago

Ruled Out For Rest Of Season
PGA4 days ago

Kris Ventura A Strong Value Pick At The Mexican Open
Sam Ryder4 days ago

A Player To Watch At The Mexican Open
Aldrich Potgieter4 days ago

An Intriguing Option At The Mexican Open
Mac Meissner4 days ago

Looking To Regain Form At The Mexican Open
PGA4 days ago

K.H. Lee A Player To Avoid At The Mexican Open
Stephan Jaeger4 days ago

Aims For Consistency At Mexican Open
Nicolai Hojgaard4 days ago

Poised For Strong Performance At Mexican Open
Joel Dahmen4 days ago

Difficult To Trust At Mexican Open
Michael Thorbjornsen4 days ago

Looks To Get Things Going In The Right Direction At Mexico Open
Davis Riley5 days ago

An Unlikely Candidate For Success At Mexico Open
Luke List5 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At Mexican Open
Carson Young5 days ago

A Volatile Option At Mexican Open
Ryan Fox5 days ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Play At Mexican Open
Alex Smalley5 days ago

A Solid Play At Mexican Open
Kevin Yu5 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At Mexican Open
Taylor Moore5 days ago

An Intriguing Option At Mexican Open
Rasmus Hojgaard5 days ago

Eyeing A Major Bounce-Back At Mexican Open
Michael Kim5 days ago

Looks To Keep Momentum Going At Mexican Open
Sam Stevens5 days ago

Continues His Excellent 2025 Season At Genesis Invitational
Patrick Rodgers5 days ago

Finishes Tied For Third At Genesis Invitational
Thorbjorn Olesen5 days ago

Makes First PGA Tour Start In 2025 At Mexico Open
Gregory Rodrigues6 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Vegas 102
Jared Cannonier6 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Nazim Sadykhov6 days ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Ismael Bonfim6 days ago

Suffers Fifth Career Loss At UFC Vegas 102
Rodolfo Vieira6 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 102
Andre Petroski6 days ago

Extends His Win Streak
Connor Matthews6 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 102
Jose Miguel Delgado6 days ago

Jose Delgado Gets Quick Win In Debut At UFC Vegas 102
Dylan Budka6 days ago

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss At UFC Vegas 102
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