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Matthew Collier - RotoBaller

20 articles

Pitcher analyst who leans heavily on a self-developed FaBIO (Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes evaluation system, which as of 2022 is applied to MLB, all affiliated MiLB leagues, NCAA D1 and D2, and select collegiate summer leagues. Professional background involves research and development of arthritic knee replacements.

Articles

Gavin Stone - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Spotlight on MLB Spring Training Pitcher Fundamentals

If ever there was a time to ignore runs and hits and shift attention more directly onto pitching fundamentals at the core level, MLB spring training just might be it. Blinding sun and skies and stadium-unobstructed winds can turn sure outs into hits. Arizona infield surfaces tend to play rock-hard relative to Florida ones. Minor […]

8 months ago

Jacob deGrom - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS Picks

Top 300 MLB Starting Pitcher Rankings: Fundamentals-Based Ratings

In this exercise, I project the 2024 MLB pitching fundamentals of 300 pitchers who have prior MLB experience and would be in line to start for a club at some point in the season, if not for injury or other extenuating factors. To maximize certainty of the forecasts and keep the process more straightforward, we […]

8 months ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects

Getting to Know Yamamoto, Imanaga, Matsui, and Other NPB Pitchers New to MLB

Perhaps never before have so many pitchers made the leap from Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB) to MLB as this offseason. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (now with Los Angeles Dodgers) and Shota Imanaga (now with Chicago Cubs) were the big fish, but they were hardly alone as MLB clubs in general seem increasingly eager to sign foreign league […]

8 months ago

Reviewing Recent Cy Young Finalists (AL Edition) - Starting Pitcher Outlooks for 2024

Our three 2023 AL Cy Young finalists were Gerrit Cole of the Yankees, Kevin Gausman of the Blue Jays, and Sonny Gray of the Twins. In 2022, Justin Verlander returned from an entire missed season to claim the award, while Dylan Cease and Alek Manoah were the runners-up. In this article, I will break down […]

8 months ago

Logan Webb - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Starting Pitchers, Draft Sleepers

Reviewing Recent Cy Young Finalists (NL Edition) - Starting Pitcher Outlooks for 2024

The three 2023 NL Cy Young finalists were Blake Snell of the Padres, Logan Webb of the Giants, and Zac Gallen of the Diamondbacks. In 2022, Sandy Alcantara took home the trophy, while Max Fried and Julio Urias were the runners-up. In this article, I will break down the seasons of each finalist in the […]

8 months ago

Cody Morris - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects News

Top Starting Pitcher Prospects - Impact Fantasy Baseball Rookies for 2023 (AL Central)

The American League Central is the focus of the third installment of a six-part series focused on pitching fantasy baseball prospects who are better positioned from a developmental standpoint to contribute meaningfully in 2023 MLB games. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation model. Let us begin with individual […]

2 years ago

fantasy baseball prospects MLB prospects rookies call-ups

Top Starting Pitcher Prospects - Impact Fantasy Baseball Rookies for 2023 (NL Central)

The National League Central is the focus of the fourth installment of a six-part series focused on pitching fantasy baseball prospects who are better positioned from a developmental standpoint to contribute meaningfully in 2023 MLB games. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation model. Let us begin with individual […]

2 years ago

Jared Shuster - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, MLB Fantasy News

Top Starting Pitcher Prospects - Impact Fantasy Baseball Rookies for 2023 (NL East)

The National League East is the focus of the second installment of a six-part series focused on pitching fantasy baseball prospects who are better positioned from a developmental standpoint to contribute meaningfully in 2023 MLB games. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation model. Let us begin with individual […]

2 years ago

Grayson Rodriguez fantasy baseball prospects rookies draft sleepers starting pitchers

Top Starting Pitcher Prospects - Impact Fantasy Baseball Rookies for 2023 (AL East)

The American League East is the focus of the first installment of a six-part series focused on pitching fantasy baseball prospects who are better positioned from a developmental standpoint to contribute meaningfully in 2023 MLB games. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation model. Let us begin with individual […]

2 years ago

Ryan Feltner - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (NL West)

In the sixth and final installment of a 6-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the 2022 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select National League West pitchers have evolved and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes […]

2 years ago

Nick Lodolo - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (NL Central)

In the fifth installment of a 6-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the '22 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select National League Central pitchers have evolved and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher […]

2 years ago

Spencer Strider fantasy baseball rankings waiver wire pickups draft sleepers starting pitchers

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (NL East)

In the fourth installment of a six-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the 2022 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select 2023 National League East pitchers have evolved and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) […]

2 years ago

George Kirby - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (AL West)

In the third installment of a 6-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the 2022 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select American League West pitchers have evolved and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher […]

2 years ago

Jhoan Duran fantasy baseball rankings closers saves draft sleepers

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (AL Central)

In the second installment of a six-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the 2022 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select 2023 American League Central pitchers have evolved over time and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent […]

2 years ago

Brayan Bello - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (AL East)

In the first installment of a 6-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the '22 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select '22 American League East pitchers have evolved over time and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent […]

2 years ago

Bobby Miller - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Bobby Miller: MLB Prospects Dynasty Pitcher Analysis for Fantasy Baseball

Welcome back RotoBallers to my deep dive on Bobby Miller. In this Dynasty Pitcher Fantasy Baseball Prospects series, I will focus on key pitching fundamentals as quantified by my FaBIO (Fielding and Ballpark Independent Outcomes) evaluation system (my RotoBaller debut article more fully explains the FaBIO methodology). Every plate appearance is sorted into one of […]

2 years ago

fantasy baseball prospects MLB prospects rookies call-ups

Jack Leiter: MLB Prospects Dynasty Pitcher Analysis for Fantasy Baseball

Welcome back RotoBallers to my deep dive on Jack Leiter. In this Dynasty Pitcher Fantasy Baseball Prospects series, I will focus on key pitching fundamentals as quantified by my FaBIO (Fielding and Ballpark Independent Outcomes) evaluation system (my RotoBaller debut article more fully explains the FaBIO methodology). Every plate appearance is sorted into one of […]

2 years ago

nathan eovaldi fantasy baseball rankings pitchers draft sleepers MLB injury news

FaBIO Analysis: Spring Training Starting Pitcher Fundamentals

My Rotoballer debut article more fully explains the FaBIO methodology. Every plate appearance is sorted into one of 12 event type bins (BB+HBP, K, IFFB, Pull OFFB, Center OFFB, Oppo OFFB, Pull LD, Center LD, Oppo LD, Pull GB, Center GB, Oppo GB) and the pitcher is charged with league's average runs value for that […]

3 years ago

Reid Detmers fantasy baseball rankings MLB prospects

FaBIO Analysis: Flyballer Starting Pitcher Prospects, Left-Handed Edition

In the opener of this pitcher prospect twinbill we introduced FaBIO and presented data from its application to flyballer righthanded starting pitcher prospects. Now let's do the same for flyballer lefthanded starting pitcher prospects. I'll keep the summary of FaBIO short here as the prior RHSP article more fully explains the FaBIO methodology. Every plate […]

3 years ago

Joe Ryan - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB DFS Picks, Betting Picks

FaBIO Analysis: Flyballer Starting Pitcher Prospects, Right-Handed Edition

I developed the Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation system circa 2013 as a tool for quantifying non-batted-ball and batted-ball fundamentals of individual pro pitchers versus batters of both and either handedness type. Since the model was first applied to affiliated 2013 MiLB play, its reach has been extended to MLB, NCAA Division 1, […]

3 years ago

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Chris Sale7 hours ago

Wins National League Cy Young Award
Tarik Skubal7 hours ago

Wins 2024 American League Cy Young Award
Paul George7 hours ago

Exits Game On Wednesday, Hyperextends Left Knee Again
Scoot Henderson8 hours ago

Leaves Game On Wednesday, Won't Return
Jalen Johnson8 hours ago

Active On Wednesday Night
Zach Collins9 hours ago

Uncertain To Play On Thursday
Austin Eckroat9 hours ago

Heads To The RSM Classic After Win
Harris English9 hours ago

Finding Form Heading To The RSM Classic
Ben Griffin9 hours ago

Continues Playing Well Heading To The RSM Classic
Denny McCarthy9 hours ago

Returns to The RSM Classic
Patrick Williams9 hours ago

Likely To Miss At Least One Week
Kyle Anderson9 hours ago

Available For Matchup With Hawks
Victor Wembanyama9 hours ago

Out Again On Thursday
Jusuf Nurkic9 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Stephen Curry9 hours ago

Will Play Against Atlanta
De'Anthony Melton9 hours ago

To Undergo Season-Ending ACL Surgery
Tre Mann10 hours ago

Probable For Thursday Night Matchup Against Detroit
Mike Conley10 hours ago

Appears On Injury Report For Thursday With Toe Injury
Donte DiVincenzo10 hours ago

Questionable Heading Into Thursday
Josh Jacobs10 hours ago

Limited With Multiple Injuries
DeVonta Smith10 hours ago

Misses Practice On Wednesday
Isaiah Hartenstein10 hours ago

To Make Season Debut On Wednesday
Tyrese Maxey10 hours ago

Active On Wednesday
Jarace Walker10 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Ben Sheppard10 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday
Myles Turner11 hours ago

To Play On Wednesday
Jalen Green11 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Vince Williams Jr.11 hours ago

Out Versus 76ers
Wendell Carter Jr.12 hours ago

Unavailable Versus Clippers
Seth Jones12 hours ago

Expected To Miss Four Weeks
Sam Darnold12 hours ago

Limited With Foot Injury
Max Domi12 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Jalen Hurts12 hours ago

Limited On Wednesday
Connor Ingram12 hours ago

Out Day-To-Day With An Upper-Body Injury
Jake Ferguson12 hours ago

Picks Up A DNP On Wednesday
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen12 hours ago

Returns To Action Versus Kings
CeeDee Lamb12 hours ago

Listed As Limited, Dealing With Two Injuries
Alex Tuch12 hours ago

Available Wednesday
Tage Thompson13 hours ago

Remains Out On Wednesday
Sam LaPorta13 hours ago

Practicing In Full
Jordan Eberle13 hours ago

To Remain Out On Wednesday
George Kittle13 hours ago

Will Play In Week 12
Ludvig Aberg13 hours ago

Looks To Defend RSM Classic Title
Ladd McConkey13 hours ago

Does Not Practice On Wednesday
Si Woo Kim13 hours ago

An Intriguing Option At RSM Classic
Maverick McNealy13 hours ago

In Solid Form Ahead Of RSM Classic
Eric Cole13 hours ago

Chasing First Tour Victory At RSM Classic
San Francisco 49ers13 hours ago

Nick Bosa Does Not Practice On Wednesday
Christian McCaffrey14 hours ago

Does Not Practice On Wednesday
George Kittle14 hours ago

Limited During Wednesday's Practice
Brock Purdy14 hours ago

Limited On Wednesday
Alexander Mattison14 hours ago

Zamir White Not Practicing On Wednesday
Sam LaPorta15 hours ago

Trending Towards Playing In Week 12
Calvin Ridley16 hours ago

Out Wednesday With Illness
Isiah Pacheco17 hours ago

To Practice On Wednesday
D'Andre Swift17 hours ago

Won't Practice On Wednesday
Brandin Cooks18 hours ago

Cowboys Open Brandin Cooks' Practice Window
Mike Evans18 hours ago

Practicing Again On Wednesday
Connor Bedard21 hours ago

Ends Drought With Two Assists
Sam Reinhart21 hours ago

Pushes Point Streak To 11 Games
Mark Scheifele21 hours ago

Celebrates Ninth Career Hat Trick
Evan Bouchard21 hours ago

Rocks Senators With Three-Point Period
Connor McDavid22 hours ago

Nets Two Goals During Three-Point Night
TB22 hours ago

Nicholas Paul Exits Early With Injury Tuesday
Zach Hyman22 hours ago

Sits Out Third Period Versus Senators
1 day ago

Guardians' Stephen Vogt Named AL Manager Of The Year
Milwaukee Brewers1 day ago

Pat Murphy Named NL Manager Of The Year
Jonas Brodin1 day ago

Returns To Action
Joel Eriksson Ek1 day ago

Returns To Wild Lineup
1 day ago

Nick Pivetta Declines Boston's Qualifying Offer
Robert Thomas1 day ago

Back For Blues Tuesday
Jose Siri1 day ago

Mets Acquire Jose Siri From The Rays
Alexander Romanov2 days ago

Rejoins Islanders Lineup
Brayden Point2 days ago

Ready To Return Versus Penguins
Conor Garland2 days ago

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
J.T. Miller2 days ago

Takes Indefinite Leave For Personal Reasons
Jake Ferguson2 days ago

"Will Be Hard-Pressed" To Play In Week 12
2 days ago

Phillies To Meet With Juan Soto
2 days ago

Luis Severino Rejects Qualifying Offer From Mets
2 days ago

Willy Adames Declines Brewers Qualifying Offer
2 days ago

Teoscar Hernandez Declines Qualifying Offer From Dodgers
2 days ago

Juan Soto Declines Yankees' Qualifying Offer
Luis Gil2 days ago

Wins AL Rookie Of The Year Award
Paul Skenes2 days ago

Named 2024 NL Rookie Of The Year
Brady Singer3 days ago

Reds, Royals Discussing Jonathan India, Brady Singer
3 days ago

Sean Manaea To Reject Mets' Qualifying Offer
3 days ago

Braves Have Interest In Walker Buehler
3 days ago

Astros Interested In Willy Adames
Charles Oliveira3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Michael Chandler3 days ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 309
Karine Silva3 days ago

Suffers Her First UFC Loss
Viviane Araujo3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Mauricio Ruffy3 days ago

Extends His Win Streak To Six
Nick Martinez4 days ago

Signs Qualifying Offer With Reds
4 days ago

Luis Severino Likely To Decline Qualifying Offer From Mets
James Llontop4 days ago

Loses Clear-Cut Decision In Thrilling Fight At UFC 309
Paul Craig4 days ago

Loses Decision At UFC 309
Bo Nickal4 days ago

Remains Undefeated With Lackluster Performance At UFC 309
Stipe Miocic4 days ago

Retires After UFC 309 Loss
Jon Jones4 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC 309 To Defend Heavyweight Title
Grayson Rodriguez5 days ago

Orioles Optimistic Grayson Rodriguez Will Have A Full Spring Training
6 days ago

Red Sox Have Productive Meeting With Juan Soto
Michael Chandler6 days ago

Set For A Rematch At UFC 309
Charles Oliveira6 days ago

A Favorite At UFC 309
Viviane Araujo6 days ago

An Underdog At UFC 309
Karine Silva6 days ago

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Mauricio Ruffy6 days ago

Looks For His Second UFC Win

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