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Matthew Collier - RotoBaller

20 articles

Pitcher analyst who leans heavily on a self-developed FaBIO (Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes evaluation system, which as of 2022 is applied to MLB, all affiliated MiLB leagues, NCAA D1 and D2, and select collegiate summer leagues. Professional background involves research and development of arthritic knee replacements.

Articles

Gavin Stone - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Spotlight on MLB Spring Training Pitcher Fundamentals

If ever there was a time to ignore runs and hits and shift attention more directly onto pitching fundamentals at the core level, MLB spring training just might be it. Blinding sun and skies and stadium-unobstructed winds can turn sure outs into hits. Arizona infield surfaces tend to play rock-hard relative to Florida ones. Minor […]

12 months ago

Jacob deGrom - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS Picks

Top 300 MLB Starting Pitcher Rankings: Fundamentals-Based Ratings

In this exercise, I project the 2024 MLB pitching fundamentals of 300 pitchers who have prior MLB experience and would be in line to start for a club at some point in the season, if not for injury or other extenuating factors. To maximize certainty of the forecasts and keep the process more straightforward, we […]

12 months ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects

Getting to Know Yamamoto, Imanaga, Matsui, and Other NPB Pitchers New to MLB

Perhaps never before have so many pitchers made the leap from Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB) to MLB as this offseason. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (now with Los Angeles Dodgers) and Shota Imanaga (now with Chicago Cubs) were the big fish, but they were hardly alone as MLB clubs in general seem increasingly eager to sign foreign league […]

12 months ago

Reviewing Recent Cy Young Finalists (AL Edition) - Starting Pitcher Outlooks for 2024

Our three 2023 AL Cy Young finalists were Gerrit Cole of the Yankees, Kevin Gausman of the Blue Jays, and Sonny Gray of the Twins. In 2022, Justin Verlander returned from an entire missed season to claim the award, while Dylan Cease and Alek Manoah were the runners-up. In this article, I will break down […]

12 months ago

Logan Webb - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Starting Pitchers, Draft Sleepers

Reviewing Recent Cy Young Finalists (NL Edition) - Starting Pitcher Outlooks for 2024

The three 2023 NL Cy Young finalists were Blake Snell of the Padres, Logan Webb of the Giants, and Zac Gallen of the Diamondbacks. In 2022, Sandy Alcantara took home the trophy, while Max Fried and Julio Urias were the runners-up. In this article, I will break down the seasons of each finalist in the […]

12 months ago

Cody Morris - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects News

Top Starting Pitcher Prospects - Impact Fantasy Baseball Rookies for 2023 (AL Central)

The American League Central is the focus of the third installment of a six-part series focused on pitching fantasy baseball prospects who are better positioned from a developmental standpoint to contribute meaningfully in 2023 MLB games. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation model. Let us begin with individual […]

2 years ago

fantasy baseball prospects MLB prospects rookies call-ups

Top Starting Pitcher Prospects - Impact Fantasy Baseball Rookies for 2023 (NL Central)

The National League Central is the focus of the fourth installment of a six-part series focused on pitching fantasy baseball prospects who are better positioned from a developmental standpoint to contribute meaningfully in 2023 MLB games. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation model. Let us begin with individual […]

2 years ago

Jared Shuster - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, MLB Fantasy News

Top Starting Pitcher Prospects - Impact Fantasy Baseball Rookies for 2023 (NL East)

The National League East is the focus of the second installment of a six-part series focused on pitching fantasy baseball prospects who are better positioned from a developmental standpoint to contribute meaningfully in 2023 MLB games. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation model. Let us begin with individual […]

2 years ago

Grayson Rodriguez fantasy baseball prospects rookies draft sleepers starting pitchers

Top Starting Pitcher Prospects - Impact Fantasy Baseball Rookies for 2023 (AL East)

The American League East is the focus of the first installment of a six-part series focused on pitching fantasy baseball prospects who are better positioned from a developmental standpoint to contribute meaningfully in 2023 MLB games. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation model. Let us begin with individual […]

2 years ago

Ryan Feltner - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (NL West)

In the sixth and final installment of a 6-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the 2022 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select National League West pitchers have evolved and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes […]

2 years ago

Nick Lodolo - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (NL Central)

In the fifth installment of a 6-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the '22 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select National League Central pitchers have evolved and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher […]

2 years ago

Spencer Strider fantasy baseball rankings waiver wire pickups draft sleepers starting pitchers

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (NL East)

In the fourth installment of a six-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the 2022 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select 2023 National League East pitchers have evolved and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) […]

2 years ago

George Kirby - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (AL West)

In the third installment of a 6-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the 2022 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select American League West pitchers have evolved and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher […]

2 years ago

Jhoan Duran fantasy baseball rankings closers saves draft sleepers

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (AL Central)

In the second installment of a six-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the 2022 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select 2023 American League Central pitchers have evolved over time and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent […]

2 years ago

Brayan Bello - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

MLB Pitcher Prospect Graduates - Sophomore Fantasy Baseball Outlooks (AL East)

In the first installment of a 6-part series focused on pitchers who exhausted rookie eligibility during the '22 MLB season, I review how the pitching fundamentals of select '22 American League East pitchers have evolved over time and use that information to forecast their MLB futures. Fundamentals will be quantified using my Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent […]

2 years ago

Bobby Miller - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Bobby Miller: MLB Prospects Dynasty Pitcher Analysis for Fantasy Baseball

Welcome back RotoBallers to my deep dive on Bobby Miller. In this Dynasty Pitcher Fantasy Baseball Prospects series, I will focus on key pitching fundamentals as quantified by my FaBIO (Fielding and Ballpark Independent Outcomes) evaluation system (my RotoBaller debut article more fully explains the FaBIO methodology). Every plate appearance is sorted into one of […]

3 years ago

fantasy baseball prospects MLB prospects rookies call-ups

Jack Leiter: MLB Prospects Dynasty Pitcher Analysis for Fantasy Baseball

Welcome back RotoBallers to my deep dive on Jack Leiter. In this Dynasty Pitcher Fantasy Baseball Prospects series, I will focus on key pitching fundamentals as quantified by my FaBIO (Fielding and Ballpark Independent Outcomes) evaluation system (my RotoBaller debut article more fully explains the FaBIO methodology). Every plate appearance is sorted into one of […]

3 years ago

nathan eovaldi fantasy baseball rankings pitchers draft sleepers MLB injury news

FaBIO Analysis: Spring Training Starting Pitcher Fundamentals

My Rotoballer debut article more fully explains the FaBIO methodology. Every plate appearance is sorted into one of 12 event type bins (BB+HBP, K, IFFB, Pull OFFB, Center OFFB, Oppo OFFB, Pull LD, Center LD, Oppo LD, Pull GB, Center GB, Oppo GB) and the pitcher is charged with league's average runs value for that […]

3 years ago

Reid Detmers fantasy baseball rankings MLB prospects

FaBIO Analysis: Flyballer Starting Pitcher Prospects, Left-Handed Edition

In the opener of this pitcher prospect twinbill we introduced FaBIO and presented data from its application to flyballer righthanded starting pitcher prospects. Now let's do the same for flyballer lefthanded starting pitcher prospects. I'll keep the summary of FaBIO short here as the prior RHSP article more fully explains the FaBIO methodology. Every plate […]

3 years ago

Joe Ryan - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB DFS Picks, Betting Picks

FaBIO Analysis: Flyballer Starting Pitcher Prospects, Right-Handed Edition

I developed the Fielding- and Ballpark-Independent Outcomes (FaBIO) pitcher evaluation system circa 2013 as a tool for quantifying non-batted-ball and batted-ball fundamentals of individual pro pitchers versus batters of both and either handedness type. Since the model was first applied to affiliated 2013 MiLB play, its reach has been extended to MLB, NCAA Division 1, […]

3 years ago

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NASCAR2 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Wrecked at Las Vegas, but Showed Promising Speed
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Won Stage 1, but Loose Wheel Foiled Victory Bid
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Lost Las Vegas Race on Strategy, but Still Expanded Points Lead
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Earned Best Career Non-Drafting Oval Finish at Las Vegas
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Returning On Monday
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Returns To Action Against Bucks
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Available Against OKC
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Exits Early Sunday
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Ryan Stonehouse Signs With Dolphins
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Could Opt Out After One Season
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Remains In Rangers Crease Sunday
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Still Out On Sunday
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Returns For Utah Sunday
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Questionable For Sunday
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In Concussion Protocol
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Out On Sunday
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A Game-Time Call Sunday
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Ready To Go For Monday
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Could Win Bullpen Job
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Exits Early On Sunday
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Signs With Saints
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Should Contend For Another Win At Las Vegas
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Once Again The Chalk DFS Pick At Las Vegas
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Fastest In Practice At Las Vegas
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Has Sneaky Upside This Weekend
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Scores In Sixth Straight Contest
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May Be A Sneaky DFS Option For Las Vegas Lineups
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Extends Point Streak To Eight Games
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Shuts The Door On Flyers On Saturday
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Expect William Byron To Compete For The Win At Las Vegas
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Is One Of The Top DFS Options For Las Vegas
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Strikes Twice On Saturday
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Could Denny Hamlin Be A Quality Driver For DFS At Las Vegas?
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Scores Goal, Adds Assist In Victory
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Scores Twice On Saturday
NASCAR24 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Could Be A Solid DFS Option For Las Vegas
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Qualifies Deep In The Field For Las Vegas
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Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering At Las Vegas This Week?
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Should Fantasy Managers Roster Daniel Suarez At Las Vegas?
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Showcases Speed And Can Be Worth Rostering At Las Vegas
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Is Ryan Preece A DFS Fade For Las Vegas Lineups?
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Likely To Lead At Las Vegas, But Will He Lead Enough For DFS Consideration?
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Vikings Acquire Jordan Mason From 49ers, Sign Him To Two-Year Deal
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Sticking With Dolphins
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Returning To Chiefs
Tennessee Titans1 day ago

Chidobe Awuzie Released By Titans
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Headed To Dallas
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Sustains An Upper-Body Injury Saturday
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Set To Return Against Blackhawks
Nikita Kucherov1 day ago

Good To Go Against Bruins
Yegor Chinakhov1 day ago

Rejoins Blue Jackets Lineup Saturday
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Expected To Return On Saturday
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Available Saturday
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Ready To Rejoin Rangers Lineup
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Patrick Johnson Rejoins Philadelphia
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Larrell Murchison Back With The Rams
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Scores Twice In Victory
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Looks For His Third Win In A Row
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Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
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Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
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A Favorite At UFC Vegas 104
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Searching For Second UFC Win On Saturday
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Set To Make His UFC Debut
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Use Caution For Jacob Bridgeman At TPC Sawgrass
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Looks To Stay Consistent Heading Into PLAYERS Championship
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A Sneaky Play At TPC Sawgrass
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A Shaky Play Heading Into PLAYERS
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Eyeing Three-Peat At TPC Sawgrass
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A Risky Play At TPC Sawgrass
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Looks To Keep Building Momentum At The PLAYERS
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Looks To Continue Solid Play At TPC Sawgrass
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Poised For Another Strong Performance At TPC Sawgrass
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A Risky Play With Upside At The PLAYERS Championship
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Avoid Cameron Young At The PLAYERS Championship
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Continues Incredible Form Ahead Of The PLAYERS Championship
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