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Adam Hall - RotoBaller

22 articles

fantasy football expert who writes for Rotoballer, and footballdiehards.com. I also host the "fantasymetrics football" podcast. I have been playing fantasy for five years and have averaged an 85% playoff conversion rate during that time, and have won a league every year for the last four. I have degrees in neuroscience, and psychology, and this heavy statistical background helps me devise unique models that help me in my writing and in my fantasy game. I'm a big believer that sports can often be broken down into component parts and analyzed. This analysis can help us understand the trends that lead to success. Let me help you find your way to the top!

Articles

2018 ADP Throwdown - Joe Mixon vs. Jordan Howard

Fantasy football draft season is upon us and RotoBaller is here to help! In this series, we will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in […]

7 years ago

Lamar Jackson Doesn't Throw 49 MPH, It's Much Faster Than You Think...

There have been few quarterbacks to come out of college since the year 2000 who are as electric and polarizing as Heisman trophy-winning quarterback Lamar Jackson. Jackson's draft stock has risen into the first round as of late, but the off-season hasn’t been a slam dunk for him. The myriad question marks surrounding the QB culminated […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Rounds 3 and 4

We continue with our early mock draft series into rounds three and four.  If you missed the first couple of articles, you can read round one here and round two here.  There are still top end players on the board and players are starting to get a feel for how their teams are starting to shape up. This […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 2

This is the second installment in our way-too-early dynasty startup mock draft series.  The first round of any draft is crucial to get a player who can act as the foundation of your team, mess that up and you’ll be playing from behind the curve for the first year if not longer. If the first […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 1

Here at Rotoballer, it’s never too early for a football mock draft! Free agency and the NFL draft will change the composition of the league, but the accompanying hype can skew how we feel about players and lead to overdrafting mistakes (can anyone say Terrelle Pryor?). Dynasty football never ends, so we’re here to provide you […]

7 years ago

Josh Gordon - Stash Now Before It's Too Late

That which is dead will never die, Josh Gordon returns. Buy now before it's too late! Some fantasy owners have been carrying a torch for Gordon ever since his breakout season in 2013, hoping for a return to glory. Gordon has had a lot of demons to exorcise and a lot of doubters to prove wrong […]

7 years ago

Sunken Costs - How to Deal with Waiver Wire Busts

Sunk costs sink seasons. No one likes to admit when they’re wrong, but in fantasy football obstinance leads to losses.  It’s okay to cast off those players that you once thought would bring you to the promise land, but have since only served to hold you back. Don’t fall prey to what are called “Sunk Costs”, […]

7 years ago

Don’t Call It a Comeback - Second Half Rebound Candidates

Regardless of expert consensus, every year there are a slew of top ranked players that underperform.  The question half way through the year is, who’s going to rebound, and who’s going to fall flat? Paint me optimistic today, but there’s a lot of the season left, and opportunities abound. I expect many of the following […]

7 years ago

Looking at Defensive Opportunities Heading to Week 6

With nearly a third of the fantasy season behind us, we should take a look around to see who is excelling, and who has failed to live up to expectations. Fantasy football is a game built on opportunity, and those who see the patterns being laid down are more likely to end up on top.  […]

7 years ago

Air Yards and Target Share Analysis - Buy Candidates

When it comes to fantasy football there are the people that stand by the community’s consensus of value, and there are those that look a bit deeper to find where the true value lies.  One of the many secrets to success is using the inside information that is available at your fingertips to find value […]

8 years ago

What To Do with Cam Newton? Bench or Start?

Cam Newton is a bit more than a year removed from one of the best year-long performances by any fantasy player ever. Cam scored over 425 points in standard leagues that year, logging 35 touchdowns through the air and 10 on the ground. For the first four years of his career, Cam Newton showed himself […]

8 years ago

Todd Gurley - Top Fantasy RB in the Land?

Todd Gurley was the 10th overall pick in the 2015 NFL draft. At the time, Gurley was hailed as the best back to come out of college since Adrian Peterson. Gurley was drafted to be an every-down, featured back, and is one of the few backs in the NFL to live up to that designation. […]

8 years ago

Monday Night Football Matchup Analysis (Week 2)

Week 2 of the 2017 NFL season concludes with a matchup between Eli Manning’s New York Giants, and Matthew Stafford’s Detroit Lions.  Both teams are likely to lean on a passing attack, as each team’s ability to run the ball effectively is suspect. This article aims to preview the Monday night matchups from a fantasy […]

8 years ago

2017 NFL Team Outlook - Kansas City Chiefs

In the fantasy football world, the 2016 Chiefs were known for one player, Tyreek Hill, the speedy rookie wide receiver burst onto the scene with 860 yards from scrimmage and nine total touchdowns, nearly all of which were in the second half of the season. Hill invigorated the offense and led to a better offensive […]

8 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 6 - Rookie Rankings

In the final installment of this series, I’ll describe what the numbers say about the rookie class of 2017, along with quarterbacks that have a substantial amount of potential. This holistic view will be helpful in cultivating a flushed-out opinion about each player. Through viewing the scores of each of these players according to the […]

8 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 5 - Review and Numbers

In part four of this ongoing series, (which can be viewed here), I described what are called trend characteristics.  These are all signs of success.  Those quarterbacks with these characteristics in abundance are far more likely to succeed compared to those who lack the same abilities. In the fifth part of the series we will […]

8 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 4 - Trend Characteristics

In part three of this series, I described what I called “Success standards.” These are thresholds where if a quarterback were able to hit them, they are substantially more likely to be a success in the NFL. In part four, the final piece of the puzzle is explained. This piece acts partly as a review […]

8 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 3 - Success Standards

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part two of this series, I described what I called “death knell stats.” These are characteristics that if a quarterback fails […]

8 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 2 - Death Knell Stats

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part one of this series, I described the reality of the growing prominence of the fantasy quarterback and explained the shell […]

8 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB - Introduction

The NFL is a passing league: this mantra has been repeated with increasing intensity ever since the middle of the last decade.  The fantasy quarterback has continuously grown as the foundation by which many championship rosters are built.  Instead of being an afterthought to running backs and wide receivers, quarterbacks have increased in prominence with […]

8 years ago

Tyrod Taylor (QB, BUF) - 2017 Fantasy Football Sleeper

How much time do you spend thinking about Tyrod Taylor? You don’t? Well, today I’m here to change that, because Tyrod Taylor is primed for a breakout season whether you realize it or not. Tyrod Taylor is the QB1 that no one is talking about. Sure, Buffalo is a run-heavy team with many question marks […]

8 years ago

Let the Kids Play - Why You Should Pick Rookie RBs Over Vets in 2017

The 2017 NFL Draft’s running back class was one of the most highly touted in recent memory. With eight players being drafted in the first three rounds, this class has a robust investment and is very likely to generate a number of immediate impact players. My aim in this article is to convince you that […]

8 years ago

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tanner Bibee7 hours ago

Throws 5 2/3 Shutout Frames
Daniel Schneemann7 hours ago

Homers, Draws Three Walks
Wilyer Abreu7 hours ago

Draws Three Walks
Aaron Judge7 hours ago

Goes Deep Again
Isaiah Hartenstein7 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday
Jaylin Williams7 hours ago

Could Miss Monday's Game
Jazz Chisholm Jr.7 hours ago

Jazz Chisholm Blasts Two More Homers
Chet Holmgren7 hours ago

Uncertain For Monday
Jonathan India7 hours ago

Hit In Head By Pitch
Jonathan Kuminga8 hours ago

Won't Return On Sunday
LeBron James8 hours ago

Expected To Suit Up Monday
Zach Wilson9 hours ago

Still Views Himself As A Starter
New York Giants9 hours ago

Victor Dimukeje Signs With Giants
Dallas Cowboys9 hours ago

Brian Schottenheimer Optimistic About Deal With Micah Parsons
Tyler Soderstrom10 hours ago

Hits Another Homer
Luke Jackson10 hours ago

Records Second Save
Jacob deGrom10 hours ago

Throws Five Scoreless Innings
Nathaniel Lowe10 hours ago

Collects Three Hits
Mitchell Parker10 hours ago

Has Strong Outing Against Phillies
Trea Turner10 hours ago

Likely Out Until Wednesday
J.T. Realmuto10 hours ago

Expected To Play On Monday
Lane Hutson11 hours ago

Continues Special Campaign With Hat Trick Of Assists
Trae Young11 hours ago

Playing Versus Milwaukee
Anfernee Simons11 hours ago

Cleared For Action Versus The Knicks
Giannis Antetokounmpo11 hours ago

Available On Sunday Night
Nick Suzuki11 hours ago

Notches Three Points In Sunday's Win
Robby Fabbri11 hours ago

Not Expected To Return This Season
Jacob Trouba12 hours ago

Could Be An Option Sunday
Jalen Brunson12 hours ago

Cleared For Basketball Activities
Jordan Staal12 hours ago

Will Not Play On Sunday
Manny Machado12 hours ago

Ready To Go On Sunday
Jerami Grant12 hours ago

Out Again On Sunday
Evgeni Malkin12 hours ago

Out Against Senators
Taj Bradley12 hours ago

Records Seven Strikeouts
Ryan Walker12 hours ago

Dealing With Back Issue
Camilo Doval12 hours ago

Notches Save On Sunday
Tobias Harris12 hours ago

Probable Versus Minnesota
Heliot Ramos12 hours ago

Blasts Homer In Win
Justin Fields12 hours ago

Aaron Glenn Thinks Justin Fields Is Ready To Break Out
Tomoyuki Sugano12 hours ago

Exits Due To Cramping
Michael Busch12 hours ago

Sitting Out On Sunday
Dennis Schröder13 hours ago

Dennis Schroder Expected To Face The Timberwolves
Cade Cunningham13 hours ago

Doubtful For Sunday Night
Mark Williams13 hours ago

Ruled Out Versus The Pels
Dak Prescott13 hours ago

"Doing Great" In Rehab From Hamstring Surgery
Jacksonville Jaguars13 hours ago

Fred Johnson Signs With Jacksonville
Tennessee Titans13 hours ago

Titans Still Entertaining Calls For No. 1 Overall Pick
Esteury Ruiz14 hours ago

Designated For Assignment
Karel Vejmelka14 hours ago

Makes 17th Consecutive Start Sunday
Arvid Soderblom14 hours ago

Tries To End Four-Game Skid Sunday
Alec Martinez14 hours ago

Misses Fourth Consecutive Game
Robert Bortuzzo15 hours ago

Activated From Injured Reserve
Olli Määttä15 hours ago

Olli Maatta Considered A Game-Time Call Sunday
Logan Thompson15 hours ago

Starts Against Sabres Sunday
Rasmus Dahlin15 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Sunday
Cameron Payne15 hours ago

Ruled Out On Sunday
Miles McBride15 hours ago

Remains Out On Sunday
Scoot Henderson15 hours ago

Out On Sunday
Brandon Aiyuk16 hours ago

Deadline Coming For Brandon Aiyuk
Anfernee Simons16 hours ago

May Miss Sunday's Game
Ty Jerome16 hours ago

Out Again On Sunday
Kawhi Leonard16 hours ago

Sitting On Sunday Afternoon
Josh Berry19 hours ago

Has Top-10 Upside At Martinsville
Joey Logano20 hours ago

Don't Overlook Joey Logano This Weekend
Ryan Preece20 hours ago

Could Get First Three-Race Top-10 Streak Of His Career
Chase Elliott20 hours ago

Looking To Continue Great Runs At Martinsville
Christopher Bell20 hours ago

Wins Pole At Martinsville, But Can He Stay Up There?
Ryan Blaney20 hours ago

Fast In Practice But Skeptical About Car
Leon Draisaitl21 hours ago

Leads The Way In Return
Artemi Panarin21 hours ago

Scores Twice On Saturday
Jake Oettinger21 hours ago

Earns Fifth Straight Victory
Mikko Rantanen21 hours ago

Tallies Three Points On Saturday
SJ21 hours ago

Jimmy Schuldt Injured On Saturday
Colton Sissons21 hours ago

Exits Early On Saturday
Denny Hamlin21 hours ago

New Crew Chief Has Terrible Martinsville Record
Austin Cindric21 hours ago

Martinsville Is Austin Cindric's Best Short Track
Kyle Busch21 hours ago

Short-Track Performance At Richard Childress Racing Is Pretty Dire
Brad Keselowski21 hours ago

If Brad Keselowski Has Any Speed Whatsoever, He's A Killer DFS Option
Noah Gragson22 hours ago

Teammates Will Likely Outrun Him On Sunday
Michael McDowell22 hours ago

Martinsville One Of Michael McDowell's Worst Tracks
Ricky Stenhouse Jr22 hours ago

. Consistently Slow At Martinsville
Erik Jones22 hours ago

Has Worst Qualifying Run At A Track That Already Wasn't His Best
John Hunter Nemechek22 hours ago

Has Fastest Legacy Car, But That's Not Saying A Lot
Riley Herbst22 hours ago

Unlikely To Gain Enough Positions To Justify DFS Play
Cody Ware22 hours ago

Unlikely To Contend At Martinsville
Burt Myers22 hours ago

Southern Modified Legend Burt Myers Makes Cup Series Debut At Martinsville
NASCAR1 day ago

Bubba Wallace Has Speed At Martinsville This Weekend
Kyle Larson1 day ago

Should Kyle Larson Be Underestimated As A Favorite At Martinsville?
William Byron1 day ago

Is Likely To Place In The Top 10 At Martinsville
Dereck Lively II1 day ago

Ruled Out Versus Chicago
Chicago Bears1 day ago

Doug Kramer Jr. Re-Signs With Chicago
Washington Commanders1 day ago

Foster Sarell Inks One-Year Contract With Washington
Miami Dolphins1 day ago

Willie Gay Jr. Heading To Miami
Seattle Seahawks1 day ago

D'Anthony Bell Signs With Seattle
Nikita Zadorov1 day ago

Set To Rejoin Bruins Lineup Saturday
Chandler Stephenson1 day ago

A Game-Time Decision Saturday
Houston Texans2 days ago

Texans Sign E.J. Speed To One-Year Deal
Buffalo Bills2 days ago

Bills, Christian Benford Reach Agreement On Four-Year Extension
Detroit Lions2 days ago

Lions Re-Sign Kayode Awosika
Irvin Charles2 days ago

Jets Re-Sign Irvin Charles
Green Bay Packers2 days ago

Kristian Welch Signs With Green Bay
Pittsburgh Steelers2 days ago

Jeremiah Moon Heading To Pittsburgh
Teagan Quitoriano2 days ago

Falcons Sign Teagan Quitoriano
2 days ago

Tetairoa McMillan Scheduled To Visit With Panthers
Baltimore Ravens2 days ago

Ravens Reach Three-Year Contract Extension With John Harbaugh
Steve Erceg3 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno3 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres3 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Drew Dober3 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Mexico City
Joe Pyfer3 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kelvin Gastelum3 days ago

Set For Middleweight Matchup
Vince Morales3 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Raul Rosas Jr.3 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Saimon Oliveira3 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
David Martinez3 days ago

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Kevin Borjas3 days ago

Set To Open Up UFC Mexico City Main Card
Ronaldo Rodríguez3 days ago

Ronaldo Rodriguez Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Jhonattan Vegas4 days ago

Not A Good Play At Houston Open
Gary Woodland5 days ago

A Dark-Horse Candidate At Houston Open
Nick Taylor5 days ago

Keep An Eye On Nick Taylor At Houston Open
Mackenzie Hughes5 days ago

Avoid Mackenzie Hughes At Houston Open
Nicolai Hojgaard5 days ago

Looking To Rebound At Houston Open
Scottie Scheffler5 days ago

Returns To Houston Looking For Year's First Victory
Rory McIlroy5 days ago

Making Additional Start At Houston Open To Prepare For Augusta
Doug Ghim5 days ago

Looking For Iron Form In Houston
Aaron Rai5 days ago

Keep An Eye On Aaron Rai At Houston Open
Si Woo Kim5 days ago

Looks To Build On Recent History At Memorial Park
Harry Hall5 days ago

Looking For Consistency At Texas Children’s Houston Open
Harris English5 days ago

Looking To Build Off Solid Finish At The PLAYERS
Sahith Theegala5 days ago

A Risky Option At Texas Children’s Houston Open
Alex Smalley5 days ago

A Strong Play At Texas Children’s Houston Open
Michael Kim5 days ago

Bounces Back At Valspar Championship
PGA5 days ago

Sungjae Im Looking For Bounce-Back Performance At Texas Children’s Houston Open
Austin Eckroat5 days ago

A Player To Avoid At Texas Children's Houston Open
PGA5 days ago

Nico Echavarria A Volatile Option At Texas Children's Houston Open
Joe Highsmith5 days ago

Continues Post-Win Success And Is Looking For More In Houston
Adam Hadwin5 days ago

Far From Good Form As He Heads To Texas
Ben Griffin6 days ago

Looking For Consistency At Houston Open
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