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Adam Hall - RotoBaller

22 articles

fantasy football expert who writes for Rotoballer, and footballdiehards.com. I also host the "fantasymetrics football" podcast. I have been playing fantasy for five years and have averaged an 85% playoff conversion rate during that time, and have won a league every year for the last four. I have degrees in neuroscience, and psychology, and this heavy statistical background helps me devise unique models that help me in my writing and in my fantasy game. I'm a big believer that sports can often be broken down into component parts and analyzed. This analysis can help us understand the trends that lead to success. Let me help you find your way to the top!

Articles

2018 ADP Throwdown - Joe Mixon vs. Jordan Howard

Fantasy football draft season is upon us and RotoBaller is here to help! In this series, we will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in […]

6 years ago

Lamar Jackson Doesn't Throw 49 MPH, It's Much Faster Than You Think...

There have been few quarterbacks to come out of college since the year 2000 who are as electric and polarizing as Heisman trophy-winning quarterback Lamar Jackson. Jackson's draft stock has risen into the first round as of late, but the off-season hasn’t been a slam dunk for him. The myriad question marks surrounding the QB culminated […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Rounds 3 and 4

We continue with our early mock draft series into rounds three and four.  If you missed the first couple of articles, you can read round one here and round two here.  There are still top end players on the board and players are starting to get a feel for how their teams are starting to shape up. This […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 2

This is the second installment in our way-too-early dynasty startup mock draft series.  The first round of any draft is crucial to get a player who can act as the foundation of your team, mess that up and you’ll be playing from behind the curve for the first year if not longer. If the first […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 1

Here at Rotoballer, it’s never too early for a football mock draft! Free agency and the NFL draft will change the composition of the league, but the accompanying hype can skew how we feel about players and lead to overdrafting mistakes (can anyone say Terrelle Pryor?). Dynasty football never ends, so we’re here to provide you […]

7 years ago

Josh Gordon - Stash Now Before It's Too Late

That which is dead will never die, Josh Gordon returns. Buy now before it's too late! Some fantasy owners have been carrying a torch for Gordon ever since his breakout season in 2013, hoping for a return to glory. Gordon has had a lot of demons to exorcise and a lot of doubters to prove wrong […]

7 years ago

Sunken Costs - How to Deal with Waiver Wire Busts

Sunk costs sink seasons. No one likes to admit when they’re wrong, but in fantasy football obstinance leads to losses.  It’s okay to cast off those players that you once thought would bring you to the promise land, but have since only served to hold you back. Don’t fall prey to what are called “Sunk Costs”, […]

7 years ago

Don’t Call It a Comeback - Second Half Rebound Candidates

Regardless of expert consensus, every year there are a slew of top ranked players that underperform.  The question half way through the year is, who’s going to rebound, and who’s going to fall flat? Paint me optimistic today, but there’s a lot of the season left, and opportunities abound. I expect many of the following […]

7 years ago

Looking at Defensive Opportunities Heading to Week 6

With nearly a third of the fantasy season behind us, we should take a look around to see who is excelling, and who has failed to live up to expectations. Fantasy football is a game built on opportunity, and those who see the patterns being laid down are more likely to end up on top.  […]

7 years ago

Air Yards and Target Share Analysis - Buy Candidates

When it comes to fantasy football there are the people that stand by the community’s consensus of value, and there are those that look a bit deeper to find where the true value lies.  One of the many secrets to success is using the inside information that is available at your fingertips to find value […]

7 years ago

What To Do with Cam Newton? Bench or Start?

Cam Newton is a bit more than a year removed from one of the best year-long performances by any fantasy player ever. Cam scored over 425 points in standard leagues that year, logging 35 touchdowns through the air and 10 on the ground. For the first four years of his career, Cam Newton showed himself […]

7 years ago

Todd Gurley - Top Fantasy RB in the Land?

Todd Gurley was the 10th overall pick in the 2015 NFL draft. At the time, Gurley was hailed as the best back to come out of college since Adrian Peterson. Gurley was drafted to be an every-down, featured back, and is one of the few backs in the NFL to live up to that designation. […]

7 years ago

Monday Night Football Matchup Analysis (Week 2)

Week 2 of the 2017 NFL season concludes with a matchup between Eli Manning’s New York Giants, and Matthew Stafford’s Detroit Lions.  Both teams are likely to lean on a passing attack, as each team’s ability to run the ball effectively is suspect. This article aims to preview the Monday night matchups from a fantasy […]

7 years ago

2017 NFL Team Outlook - Kansas City Chiefs

In the fantasy football world, the 2016 Chiefs were known for one player, Tyreek Hill, the speedy rookie wide receiver burst onto the scene with 860 yards from scrimmage and nine total touchdowns, nearly all of which were in the second half of the season. Hill invigorated the offense and led to a better offensive […]

7 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 6 - Rookie Rankings

In the final installment of this series, I’ll describe what the numbers say about the rookie class of 2017, along with quarterbacks that have a substantial amount of potential. This holistic view will be helpful in cultivating a flushed-out opinion about each player. Through viewing the scores of each of these players according to the […]

7 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 5 - Review and Numbers

In part four of this ongoing series, (which can be viewed here), I described what are called trend characteristics.  These are all signs of success.  Those quarterbacks with these characteristics in abundance are far more likely to succeed compared to those who lack the same abilities. In the fifth part of the series we will […]

7 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 4 - Trend Characteristics

In part three of this series, I described what I called “Success standards.” These are thresholds where if a quarterback were able to hit them, they are substantially more likely to be a success in the NFL. In part four, the final piece of the puzzle is explained. This piece acts partly as a review […]

7 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 3 - Success Standards

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part two of this series, I described what I called “death knell stats.” These are characteristics that if a quarterback fails […]

7 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 2 - Death Knell Stats

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part one of this series, I described the reality of the growing prominence of the fantasy quarterback and explained the shell […]

7 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB - Introduction

The NFL is a passing league: this mantra has been repeated with increasing intensity ever since the middle of the last decade.  The fantasy quarterback has continuously grown as the foundation by which many championship rosters are built.  Instead of being an afterthought to running backs and wide receivers, quarterbacks have increased in prominence with […]

7 years ago

Tyrod Taylor (QB, BUF) - 2017 Fantasy Football Sleeper

How much time do you spend thinking about Tyrod Taylor? You don’t? Well, today I’m here to change that, because Tyrod Taylor is primed for a breakout season whether you realize it or not. Tyrod Taylor is the QB1 that no one is talking about. Sure, Buffalo is a run-heavy team with many question marks […]

8 years ago

Let the Kids Play - Why You Should Pick Rookie RBs Over Vets in 2017

The 2017 NFL Draft’s running back class was one of the most highly touted in recent memory. With eight players being drafted in the first three rounds, this class has a robust investment and is very likely to generate a number of immediate impact players. My aim in this article is to convince you that […]

8 years ago

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Josh Hart2 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report For Monday Night
Dejounte Murray2 hours ago

Uncertain For Monday Night
Anthony Davis2 hours ago

Probable Versus The Hornets
LeBron James2 hours ago

Expected To Play Versus Charlotte
Larry Nance Jr.3 hours ago

May Miss Monday's Game
Zaccharie Risacher3 hours ago

Questionable Against Minnesota
De'Andre Hunter3 hours ago

May Miss Another Game
Trae Young3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Monday
Al Horford3 hours ago

Questionable Versus The Rockets
Derrick White3 hours ago

Questionable On Monday
Chicago Bears4 hours ago

Bears Hire Dennis Allen, Declan Doyle For Coordinator Roles
Ben Simmons4 hours ago

Uncertain To Suit Up Versus Sacramento
Cameron Johnson4 hours ago

Still Out On Monday Night
Goga Bitadze4 hours ago

Might Return On Monday
Jalen Suggs4 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report
Ryan Pressly4 hours ago

Traded To Cubs After Waiving No-Trade Clause
Seattle Seahawks5 hours ago

Seahawks Hiring Klint Kubiak As Offensive Coordinator
Spencer Knight6 hours ago

Starts For Florida Sunday
Adin Hill6 hours ago

Looks To Bounce Back Sunday
Eric Comrie6 hours ago

Faces The Flames
Petr Mrazek6 hours ago

In Blackhawks Crease Sunday
Dan Vladar6 hours ago

Takes On Jets Sunday
Tennesse Titans6 hours ago

Titans Hire Dave Ziegler As Assistant GM
Kiefer Sherwood6 hours ago

To Miss At Least One Game
Seth Jones7 hours ago

Returns To Action Sunday
Kevin Bahl7 hours ago

Out On Sunday
Dallas Cowboys8 hours ago

Mike Zimmer Likely Retiring From NFL
Aaron Rodgers12 hours ago

Has Interest In Returning To Jets
Carlos Correa15 hours ago

Fully Healthy Entering Spring Training
Cristian Javier16 hours ago

Targeting Return After All-Star Break
Cam Talbot16 hours ago

Leads The Way On Saturday
Casey DeSmith16 hours ago

Shuts The Door On Blues On Saturday
John Gibson16 hours ago

Exits Early On Saturday
Nico Hischier16 hours ago

Labeled As Day-To-Day Following Saturday's Exit
Ryan Pulock16 hours ago

Suffers Upper-Body Injury On Saturday
Sean Monahan16 hours ago

Not Expected To Return Until March
Bradley Beal1 day ago

Active Against Wizards
Anthony Davis1 day ago

Available Versus Warriors
Santi Aldama1 day ago

Will Not Play Against Jazz
Brice Sensabaugh1 day ago

Back In Action Saturday
Ja Morant1 day ago

Good To Go Saturday
Andre Drummond1 day ago

Remains Out Saturday
LeBron James1 day ago

Cleared To Play On Saturday
Alex Bregman1 day ago

A "Long Shot" To Return To Houston
Brandon Nimmo1 day ago

Still Dealing With Plantar Fasciitis
Lance McCullers Jr.1 day ago

Luis Garcia, Lance McCullers Jr. Will Not Be Ready For Opening Day
Denton Mateychuk1 day ago

Cleared To Play Saturday
Alex Laferriere1 day ago

Ready To Return Saturday
Evgeni Malkin1 day ago

Sustains A Lower-Body Injury Saturday
Ondrej Palat1 day ago

Expected To Return To Devils Lineup
Aaron Ekblad1 day ago

Back For Panthers Saturday
Josh Anderson1 day ago

A Game-Time Call Saturday
Jake Sanderson1 day ago

Returns To Senators Lineup
DK Metcalf1 day ago

Could Be On Trade Block
San Francisco 49ers1 day ago

Robert Saleh Officially Hired As 49ers Defensive Coordinator
Noah Schultz2 days ago

Invited To Spring Training
Max Scherzer2 days ago

Mets Have Interest In Reunion With Max Scherzer
Pete Alonso2 days ago

Meets With The Angels
Dallas Cowboys2 days ago

Cowboys Promote Brian Schottenheimer To Head Coach
Chicago Bears2 days ago

Antwaan Randle El Signed By Chicago
Chicago Bears2 days ago

Bears Bringing On Al Harris
Drew Thorpe2 days ago

Likely To Miss Start Of Spring Training
Kyren Williams2 days ago

Rams May Be Open To Extension With Kyren Williams
Jalen Hurts2 days ago

Good To Go Against Commanders
Dallas Goedert2 days ago

Says He's Playing In NFC Championship
Jalen Hurts2 days ago

To Wear Brace In Championship Game
Houston Texans2 days ago

Texans Fire Offensive Coordinator Bobby Slowik
Jacksonville Jaguars2 days ago

Jaguars Officially Hire Liam Coen As Head Coach
Ronald Acuña Jr.2 days ago

Ronald Acuna Jr. Expected To Miss First Month Of The Season
Alex Bregman2 days ago

Astros, Cubs Showing Significant Interest In Alex Bregman
Dallas Goedert2 days ago

Seen Practicing On Friday
New York Jets2 days ago

Jets Expected To Hire Darren Mougey As Next General Manager
NFL2 days ago

Quinshon Judkins Declaring For The 2025 NFL Draft
Las Vegas Raiders2 days ago

Raiders Hiring Pete Carroll As Next Head Coach
Tanner Scott3 days ago

Will Share Closing Duties
Yordan Alvarez3 days ago

Says He's 100 Percent
Spencer Strider3 days ago

Expected To Have Normal Spring Training
Jacksonville Jaguars3 days ago

Jaguars Expected To Hire Liam Coen As Head Coach
Alex Bregman3 days ago

Astros Talking With Alex Bregman Again
Ryan Pressly3 days ago

Cubs Close To Acquiring Ryan Pressly
Pete Alonso3 days ago

Deep In Talks With Blue Jays
Jurickson Profar3 days ago

Signs With Atlanta
Michael Kopech4 days ago

Forearm Injury May Be Overblown
Los Angeles Dodgers4 days ago

Dodgers Plan For Roki Sasaki To Be In Opening Day Rotation
Will Zalatoris5 days ago

Withdraws From Farmers Insurance Open
Camilo Villegas5 days ago

A Risky Option For The Farmers Insurance Open
J.J. Spaun5 days ago

Attempts To Rebound From A Bad Weekend
Will Zalatoris5 days ago

Seeking Win At Farmers Insurance Open
Carson Young5 days ago

A Volatile Play At Farmers Insurance Open
Gary Woodland6 days ago

Looking For Consistency At Torrey Pines
Michael Thorbjornsen6 days ago

Looking To Bounce Back At Torrey Pines
Aaron Rai6 days ago

Comes Across The Pond To Torrey Pines
Maverick McNealy6 days ago

Returns After A Week Off
Alex Smalley6 days ago

Continues Early Success At American Express
Luke List6 days ago

Looking For More Birdies At Torrey Pines
Si Woo Kim6 days ago

Not Off To A Good 2025 Start
Mark Hubbard6 days ago

Tries For Another Top-25 Finish In 2025
Harry Higgs6 days ago

Needs To Finish What He Started
Harris English6 days ago

Wants To Improve At Torrey Pines
Eric Cole6 days ago

Hopeful For Farmers Insurance Open
Daniel Berger6 days ago

Wants To Shake Off American Express Finale
Alex Smalley6 days ago

Continues Early Success At American Express
Taylor Pendrith6 days ago

Poised For Strong Showing At Farmers Insurance Open
Hideki Matsuyama6 days ago

Eyeing Victory At Farmers Insurance Open

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