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Adam Hall - RotoBaller

22 articles

fantasy football expert who writes for Rotoballer, and footballdiehards.com. I also host the "fantasymetrics football" podcast. I have been playing fantasy for five years and have averaged an 85% playoff conversion rate during that time, and have won a league every year for the last four. I have degrees in neuroscience, and psychology, and this heavy statistical background helps me devise unique models that help me in my writing and in my fantasy game. I'm a big believer that sports can often be broken down into component parts and analyzed. This analysis can help us understand the trends that lead to success. Let me help you find your way to the top!

Articles

2018 ADP Throwdown - Joe Mixon vs. Jordan Howard

Fantasy football draft season is upon us and RotoBaller is here to help! In this series, we will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in […]

6 years ago

Lamar Jackson Doesn't Throw 49 MPH, It's Much Faster Than You Think...

There have been few quarterbacks to come out of college since the year 2000 who are as electric and polarizing as Heisman trophy-winning quarterback Lamar Jackson. Jackson's draft stock has risen into the first round as of late, but the off-season hasn’t been a slam dunk for him. The myriad question marks surrounding the QB culminated […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Rounds 3 and 4

We continue with our early mock draft series into rounds three and four.  If you missed the first couple of articles, you can read round one here and round two here.  There are still top end players on the board and players are starting to get a feel for how their teams are starting to shape up. This […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 2

This is the second installment in our way-too-early dynasty startup mock draft series.  The first round of any draft is crucial to get a player who can act as the foundation of your team, mess that up and you’ll be playing from behind the curve for the first year if not longer. If the first […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 1

Here at Rotoballer, it’s never too early for a football mock draft! Free agency and the NFL draft will change the composition of the league, but the accompanying hype can skew how we feel about players and lead to overdrafting mistakes (can anyone say Terrelle Pryor?). Dynasty football never ends, so we’re here to provide you […]

7 years ago

Josh Gordon - Stash Now Before It's Too Late

That which is dead will never die, Josh Gordon returns. Buy now before it's too late! Some fantasy owners have been carrying a torch for Gordon ever since his breakout season in 2013, hoping for a return to glory. Gordon has had a lot of demons to exorcise and a lot of doubters to prove wrong […]

7 years ago

Sunken Costs - How to Deal with Waiver Wire Busts

Sunk costs sink seasons. No one likes to admit when they’re wrong, but in fantasy football obstinance leads to losses.  It’s okay to cast off those players that you once thought would bring you to the promise land, but have since only served to hold you back. Don’t fall prey to what are called “Sunk Costs”, […]

7 years ago

Don’t Call It a Comeback - Second Half Rebound Candidates

Regardless of expert consensus, every year there are a slew of top ranked players that underperform.  The question half way through the year is, who’s going to rebound, and who’s going to fall flat? Paint me optimistic today, but there’s a lot of the season left, and opportunities abound. I expect many of the following […]

7 years ago

Looking at Defensive Opportunities Heading to Week 6

With nearly a third of the fantasy season behind us, we should take a look around to see who is excelling, and who has failed to live up to expectations. Fantasy football is a game built on opportunity, and those who see the patterns being laid down are more likely to end up on top.  […]

7 years ago

Air Yards and Target Share Analysis - Buy Candidates

When it comes to fantasy football there are the people that stand by the community’s consensus of value, and there are those that look a bit deeper to find where the true value lies.  One of the many secrets to success is using the inside information that is available at your fingertips to find value […]

7 years ago

What To Do with Cam Newton? Bench or Start?

Cam Newton is a bit more than a year removed from one of the best year-long performances by any fantasy player ever. Cam scored over 425 points in standard leagues that year, logging 35 touchdowns through the air and 10 on the ground. For the first four years of his career, Cam Newton showed himself […]

7 years ago

Todd Gurley - Top Fantasy RB in the Land?

Todd Gurley was the 10th overall pick in the 2015 NFL draft. At the time, Gurley was hailed as the best back to come out of college since Adrian Peterson. Gurley was drafted to be an every-down, featured back, and is one of the few backs in the NFL to live up to that designation. […]

7 years ago

Monday Night Football Matchup Analysis (Week 2)

Week 2 of the 2017 NFL season concludes with a matchup between Eli Manning’s New York Giants, and Matthew Stafford’s Detroit Lions.  Both teams are likely to lean on a passing attack, as each team’s ability to run the ball effectively is suspect. This article aims to preview the Monday night matchups from a fantasy […]

7 years ago

2017 NFL Team Outlook - Kansas City Chiefs

In the fantasy football world, the 2016 Chiefs were known for one player, Tyreek Hill, the speedy rookie wide receiver burst onto the scene with 860 yards from scrimmage and nine total touchdowns, nearly all of which were in the second half of the season. Hill invigorated the offense and led to a better offensive […]

7 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 6 - Rookie Rankings

In the final installment of this series, I’ll describe what the numbers say about the rookie class of 2017, along with quarterbacks that have a substantial amount of potential. This holistic view will be helpful in cultivating a flushed-out opinion about each player. Through viewing the scores of each of these players according to the […]

7 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 5 - Review and Numbers

In part four of this ongoing series, (which can be viewed here), I described what are called trend characteristics.  These are all signs of success.  Those quarterbacks with these characteristics in abundance are far more likely to succeed compared to those who lack the same abilities. In the fifth part of the series we will […]

7 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 4 - Trend Characteristics

In part three of this series, I described what I called “Success standards.” These are thresholds where if a quarterback were able to hit them, they are substantially more likely to be a success in the NFL. In part four, the final piece of the puzzle is explained. This piece acts partly as a review […]

7 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 3 - Success Standards

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part two of this series, I described what I called “death knell stats.” These are characteristics that if a quarterback fails […]

7 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 2 - Death Knell Stats

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part one of this series, I described the reality of the growing prominence of the fantasy quarterback and explained the shell […]

7 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB - Introduction

The NFL is a passing league: this mantra has been repeated with increasing intensity ever since the middle of the last decade.  The fantasy quarterback has continuously grown as the foundation by which many championship rosters are built.  Instead of being an afterthought to running backs and wide receivers, quarterbacks have increased in prominence with […]

7 years ago

Tyrod Taylor (QB, BUF) - 2017 Fantasy Football Sleeper

How much time do you spend thinking about Tyrod Taylor? You don’t? Well, today I’m here to change that, because Tyrod Taylor is primed for a breakout season whether you realize it or not. Tyrod Taylor is the QB1 that no one is talking about. Sure, Buffalo is a run-heavy team with many question marks […]

7 years ago

Let the Kids Play - Why You Should Pick Rookie RBs Over Vets in 2017

The 2017 NFL Draft’s running back class was one of the most highly touted in recent memory. With eight players being drafted in the first three rounds, this class has a robust investment and is very likely to generate a number of immediate impact players. My aim in this article is to convince you that […]

7 years ago

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5 hours ago

Cade Otton Leads Tampa In Receiving In Week 9 Loss On Monday
6 hours ago

Pete Alonso Receives Qualifying Offer From Mets
6 hours ago

Clayton Kershaw Declines 2025 Option
6 hours ago

Titans Hopeful Will Levis Will Return In Week 10
6 hours ago

Titans Looking To Reduce Tony Pollard's Workload?
Dallas Cowboys8 hours ago

Micah Parsons Expected To Play In Week 10
Dereck Lively II8 hours ago

A Late Scratch On Monday
8 hours ago

Amari Cooper Listed As Day-To-Day
9 hours ago

Joe Flacco Named Week 10 Starter
Robert Williams III9 hours ago

Returning On Monday
Jordan Hawkins9 hours ago

Out Versus The Blazers
Zion Williamson9 hours ago

Sidelined Again Versus Portland
Rudy Gobert9 hours ago

Available For Minnesota On Monday
Immanuel Quickley9 hours ago

Still Out On Monday
Jalen Smith9 hours ago

Available Against Jazz
Brandon Miller9 hours ago

Will Play Versus Minnesota
Josh Giddey10 hours ago

Suiting Up Monday
Lauri Markkanen10 hours ago

Sidelined Again On Monday Night
10 hours ago

Browns "Highly Unlikely" To Trade David Njoku
John Konchar10 hours ago

Ruled Out Monday Versus Nets
10 hours ago

Chase Brown Appears To Be OK Despite Suffering Bruised Rib
10 hours ago

Tee Higgins Estimated As DNP On Monday
10 hours ago

Jameson Williams' Suspension Is Lifted
10 hours ago

Alex Bregman Given Qualifying Offer
10 hours ago

Saquon Barkley Will Be Ready For Week 10 Despite Back Soreness
10 hours ago

Juan Soto Receives Qualifying Offer
Anthony Davis10 hours ago

Available Monday Versus Detroit
10 hours ago

A.J. Brown Considered "Day-To-Day"
Austin Reaves10 hours ago

Suiting Up Monday
10 hours ago

Tyler O'Neill Not Given Qualifying Offer, Headed To Free Agency
Ryan Blaney10 hours ago

Wins At Martinsville And Has Chance To Earn Second Straight Championship
11 hours ago

Bucky Irving Officially Active Against Chiefs
Christopher Bell11 hours ago

Penalized At Martinsville, Removed From Championship Four
D'Angelo Russell11 hours ago

Available Monday
11 hours ago

Nick Pivetta Receives Qualifying Offer
11 hours ago

Colin Rea Heading To Free Agency
11 hours ago

Tigers Decline Casey Mize's 2025 Club Option
11 hours ago

Drake London Considered Day-To-Day
Dean Wade11 hours ago

Won’t Play Against The Bucks
Caris LeVert11 hours ago

Remains Out Versus Milwaukee
Noah Clowney11 hours ago

Won’t Suit Up Versus Memphis
Ben Simmons11 hours ago

Out Against The Grizzlies
Kevin Huerter12 hours ago

Still Out On Monday Night
Jake Allen12 hours ago

Faces Oilers On Monday
Stephen Curry12 hours ago

Back For Monday’s Game
BOS12 hours ago

Tyler Johnson Signs One-Year Deal With Bruins
Giannis Antetokounmpo12 hours ago

Won’t Face The Cavs
Zach Benson12 hours ago

Considered "A Possibility" For Tuesday's Game
Artem Zub12 hours ago

Logs Full Practice On Monday
Bryan Rust12 hours ago

Will Join Penguins Road Trip
12 hours ago

Braves Exercise Marcell Ozuna's 2025 Option
Juraj Slafkovsky13 hours ago

Practices On Monday
Macklin Celebrini13 hours ago

Ready To Return On Tuesday
13 hours ago

David Fry To Miss 6-8 Months After Having Elbow Surgery
13 hours ago

Gerrit Cole, Yankees Agree To Stick Together
Samuel Ersson14 hours ago

Misses Monday Practice
Carolina Panthers14 hours ago

Panthers Haven't Decided Starting QB For Week 10
Connor McDavid14 hours ago

Ahead Of Schedule In Recovery
14 hours ago

Panthers Optimistic Jonathon Brooks Will Debut In Week 10
Philip Broberg14 hours ago

Will Miss Several Weeks With Lower-Body Injury
14 hours ago

Derek Carr To Start In Week 10 For Saints
Valeri Nichushkin14 hours ago

Will Return When First Eligible
15 hours ago

Texans Non-Committal On Nico Collins For Week 10
15 hours ago

Erick All Jr. Officially Out For The Year With Knee Injury
15 hours ago

Mike Macdonald "Optimistic" DK Metcalf Returns In Week 11
15 hours ago

CeeDee Lamb Tagged As Week-To-Week, Optimism He Can Play In Week 10
Tyler Reddick15 hours ago

Not A Factor At Martinsville And Looks Ahead To Phoenix
Kyle Larson15 hours ago

Misses Advancing Through Playoffs Despite Top-Three Finish
Brad Keselowski15 hours ago

Has A Solid Top-10 Performance At Martinsville
Chase Elliott15 hours ago

Loses Out On Winning At Martinsville
16 hours ago

Nathan Eovaldi Declines His Player Option
16 hours ago

Brewers Decline Option On Devin Williams
17 hours ago

Michael Wacha, Royals Agree To Three-Year Deal
17 hours ago

Braves Sign Reynaldo Lopez To Three-Year Deal
Rose Namajunas20 hours ago

Drops Decision Matchup
Erin Blanchfield20 hours ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Dustin Stoltzfus20 hours ago

Gets First-Round Knockout At UFC Edmonton
Zach Hyman21 hours ago

Records Two Points In Battle Of Alberta Win
Marc-Andre Barriault21 hours ago

Knocked Out At UFC Edmonton
Matt Boldy21 hours ago

Hits Overtime Winner Versus Toronto
Jared Spurgeon21 hours ago

Delivers Two Assists In Sunday's Win
Trevin Giles21 hours ago

Losses Third Fight In A Row
Alex Ovechkin21 hours ago

Extends Goal Streak To Four Games
Dmitry Orlov21 hours ago

Nets Two Goals Against Capitals
Jeremy Swayman22 hours ago

Collects First Shutout Of The Season
Connor Bedard22 hours ago

Records Three Assists In Sunday's Win
Mike Malott22 hours ago

Wins Decision At UFC Edmonton
NASCAR1 day ago

Speeding Penalty Foils Martin Truex Jr.'s Last Realistic Shot At Winning
Denny Hamlin1 day ago

Fails To Advance To Championship 4 But Runs Well
Shane Van Gisbergen1 day ago

Shane van Gisbergen Earns Best Oval Finish at Martinsville
William Byron1 day ago

Tentatively In Championship 4 Pending Ruling On Manufacturer Orders
MMA1 day ago

Ariane Lipski Submitted At UFC Edmonton
Jasmine Jasudavicius1 day ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC Edmonton
Caio Machado1 day ago

Still Winless In The UFC
Brendson Ribeiro1 day ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Edmonton
Amir Albazi1 day ago

Falls Short At UFC Edmonton
Brandon Moreno1 day ago

Dominates At UFC Edmonton
Artturi Lehkonen2 days ago

Activated From Injured Reserve
NJ2 days ago

Nathan Bastian To Miss "Several Weeks"
Brayden Point2 days ago

Exits With Injury Sunday
2 days ago

Austin Barnes Returning To Los Angeles
2 days ago

David Robertson To Test Free Agency
2 days ago

Giants Exercise Club Option On Wilmer Flores
2 days ago

Owen Miller Shipped To Colorado
2 days ago

Merrill Kelly Staying In Arizona
2 days ago

Eloy Jimenez Headed To Free Agency
Daniel Suarez2 days ago

Will Start 20th At Martinsville
Zane Smith2 days ago

Might Be An Underrated Value Play For Martinsville
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

Is A Top DFS Recommendation For Martinsville Lineups
Joey Logano2 days ago

Will Be One To Watch At Martinsville
Brad Keselowski2 days ago

Should DFS Players Rely On Brad Keselowski For Martinsville Lineups?
Carson Hocevar2 days ago

Is A Great DFS Option For All Martinsville DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs2 days ago

Is Ty Gibbs Worth Rostering At Martinsville This Week For DFS?
Austin Cindric2 days ago

Could Have A Top-20 Performance At Martinsville
William Byron2 days ago

Might Be Usable Only In DFS Tournaments At Martinsville
Chris Buescher2 days ago

Should DFS Players Roster Chris Buescher At Martinsville?
Alex Bowman2 days ago

Expect A Solid Top-10 Performance From Alex Bowman At Martinsville
Rose Namajunas3 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Edmonton
Erin Blanchfield3 days ago

Returns At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault3 days ago

Dustin Stoltzfus Set To Face Marc-Andre Barriault At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault4 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Edmonton
Trevin Giles4 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mike Malott4 days ago

Opens Up UFC Edmonton Main Card
Brendson Ribeiro4 days ago

Searching For 1st UFC Win At UFC Edmonton
Caio Machado4 days ago

Drops Down To Light Heavyweight At UFC Edmonton
Jhonata Diniz4 days ago

Gets Big Step-Up At UFC Edmonton

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