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Adam Hall - RotoBaller

22 articles

fantasy football expert who writes for Rotoballer, and footballdiehards.com. I also host the "fantasymetrics football" podcast. I have been playing fantasy for five years and have averaged an 85% playoff conversion rate during that time, and have won a league every year for the last four. I have degrees in neuroscience, and psychology, and this heavy statistical background helps me devise unique models that help me in my writing and in my fantasy game. I'm a big believer that sports can often be broken down into component parts and analyzed. This analysis can help us understand the trends that lead to success. Let me help you find your way to the top!

Articles

2018 ADP Throwdown - Joe Mixon vs. Jordan Howard

Fantasy football draft season is upon us and RotoBaller is here to help! In this series, we will discuss the merits of two players with similar value and average draft position (ADP). Remember that situations will change for all players over the course of the summer and it may impact where they are selected in […]

6 years ago

Lamar Jackson Doesn't Throw 49 MPH, It's Much Faster Than You Think...

There have been few quarterbacks to come out of college since the year 2000 who are as electric and polarizing as Heisman trophy-winning quarterback Lamar Jackson. Jackson's draft stock has risen into the first round as of late, but the off-season hasn’t been a slam dunk for him. The myriad question marks surrounding the QB culminated […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Rounds 3 and 4

We continue with our early mock draft series into rounds three and four.  If you missed the first couple of articles, you can read round one here and round two here.  There are still top end players on the board and players are starting to get a feel for how their teams are starting to shape up. This […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 2

This is the second installment in our way-too-early dynasty startup mock draft series.  The first round of any draft is crucial to get a player who can act as the foundation of your team, mess that up and you’ll be playing from behind the curve for the first year if not longer. If the first […]

7 years ago

Early Dynasty Startup Mock Draft - Round 1

Here at Rotoballer, it’s never too early for a football mock draft! Free agency and the NFL draft will change the composition of the league, but the accompanying hype can skew how we feel about players and lead to overdrafting mistakes (can anyone say Terrelle Pryor?). Dynasty football never ends, so we’re here to provide you […]

7 years ago

Josh Gordon - Stash Now Before It's Too Late

That which is dead will never die, Josh Gordon returns. Buy now before it's too late! Some fantasy owners have been carrying a torch for Gordon ever since his breakout season in 2013, hoping for a return to glory. Gordon has had a lot of demons to exorcise and a lot of doubters to prove wrong […]

7 years ago

Sunken Costs - How to Deal with Waiver Wire Busts

Sunk costs sink seasons. No one likes to admit when they’re wrong, but in fantasy football obstinance leads to losses.  It’s okay to cast off those players that you once thought would bring you to the promise land, but have since only served to hold you back. Don’t fall prey to what are called “Sunk Costs”, […]

7 years ago

Don’t Call It a Comeback - Second Half Rebound Candidates

Regardless of expert consensus, every year there are a slew of top ranked players that underperform.  The question half way through the year is, who’s going to rebound, and who’s going to fall flat? Paint me optimistic today, but there’s a lot of the season left, and opportunities abound. I expect many of the following […]

7 years ago

Looking at Defensive Opportunities Heading to Week 6

With nearly a third of the fantasy season behind us, we should take a look around to see who is excelling, and who has failed to live up to expectations. Fantasy football is a game built on opportunity, and those who see the patterns being laid down are more likely to end up on top.  […]

7 years ago

Air Yards and Target Share Analysis - Buy Candidates

When it comes to fantasy football there are the people that stand by the community’s consensus of value, and there are those that look a bit deeper to find where the true value lies.  One of the many secrets to success is using the inside information that is available at your fingertips to find value […]

7 years ago

What To Do with Cam Newton? Bench or Start?

Cam Newton is a bit more than a year removed from one of the best year-long performances by any fantasy player ever. Cam scored over 425 points in standard leagues that year, logging 35 touchdowns through the air and 10 on the ground. For the first four years of his career, Cam Newton showed himself […]

7 years ago

Todd Gurley - Top Fantasy RB in the Land?

Todd Gurley was the 10th overall pick in the 2015 NFL draft. At the time, Gurley was hailed as the best back to come out of college since Adrian Peterson. Gurley was drafted to be an every-down, featured back, and is one of the few backs in the NFL to live up to that designation. […]

7 years ago

Monday Night Football Matchup Analysis (Week 2)

Week 2 of the 2017 NFL season concludes with a matchup between Eli Manning’s New York Giants, and Matthew Stafford’s Detroit Lions.  Both teams are likely to lean on a passing attack, as each team’s ability to run the ball effectively is suspect. This article aims to preview the Monday night matchups from a fantasy […]

7 years ago

2017 NFL Team Outlook - Kansas City Chiefs

In the fantasy football world, the 2016 Chiefs were known for one player, Tyreek Hill, the speedy rookie wide receiver burst onto the scene with 860 yards from scrimmage and nine total touchdowns, nearly all of which were in the second half of the season. Hill invigorated the offense and led to a better offensive […]

7 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 6 - Rookie Rankings

In the final installment of this series, I’ll describe what the numbers say about the rookie class of 2017, along with quarterbacks that have a substantial amount of potential. This holistic view will be helpful in cultivating a flushed-out opinion about each player. Through viewing the scores of each of these players according to the […]

7 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 5 - Review and Numbers

In part four of this ongoing series, (which can be viewed here), I described what are called trend characteristics.  These are all signs of success.  Those quarterbacks with these characteristics in abundance are far more likely to succeed compared to those who lack the same abilities. In the fifth part of the series we will […]

7 years ago

What It Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 4 - Trend Characteristics

In part three of this series, I described what I called “Success standards.” These are thresholds where if a quarterback were able to hit them, they are substantially more likely to be a success in the NFL. In part four, the final piece of the puzzle is explained. This piece acts partly as a review […]

7 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 3 - Success Standards

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part two of this series, I described what I called “death knell stats.” These are characteristics that if a quarterback fails […]

7 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB, Part 2 - Death Knell Stats

Quarterback is the most important position in football, and as the league turns more towards a dominant passing attack, the QB has risen up the list of priorities of fantasy managers as well. In part one of this series, I described the reality of the growing prominence of the fantasy quarterback and explained the shell […]

7 years ago

What it Takes to Succeed (or Fail) at QB - Introduction

The NFL is a passing league: this mantra has been repeated with increasing intensity ever since the middle of the last decade.  The fantasy quarterback has continuously grown as the foundation by which many championship rosters are built.  Instead of being an afterthought to running backs and wide receivers, quarterbacks have increased in prominence with […]

7 years ago

Tyrod Taylor (QB, BUF) - 2017 Fantasy Football Sleeper

How much time do you spend thinking about Tyrod Taylor? You don’t? Well, today I’m here to change that, because Tyrod Taylor is primed for a breakout season whether you realize it or not. Tyrod Taylor is the QB1 that no one is talking about. Sure, Buffalo is a run-heavy team with many question marks […]

7 years ago

Let the Kids Play - Why You Should Pick Rookie RBs Over Vets in 2017

The 2017 NFL Draft’s running back class was one of the most highly touted in recent memory. With eight players being drafted in the first three rounds, this class has a robust investment and is very likely to generate a number of immediate impact players. My aim in this article is to convince you that […]

7 years ago

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jake Ferguson16 mins ago

Ruled Out With Concussion
DeVonta Smith26 mins ago

Ruled Out For Week 12
Brock Purdy31 mins ago

Not Seen At Friday's Practice
T.J. Hockenson1 hour ago

Expects To Be More Involved In Week 12
Alexander Mattison1 hour ago

Zamir White Doubtful To Face Broncos
Nico Collins1 hour ago

Set For Increased Workload Against Titans
Mike Evans1 hour ago

Officially Listed As Questionable
Malik Nabers2 hours ago

Questionable For Week 12, Intends To Play
Coby White2 hours ago

Listed As Probable On Friday
Jordan Hawkins2 hours ago

Set To Return On Friday
Sam Darnold2 hours ago

Cleared For Sunday
Brandon Ingram2 hours ago

Available On Friday
Stephen Curry2 hours ago

Probable On Friday Against Pelicans
D'Andre Swift2 hours ago

Gets Questionable Tag For Week 12
Keenan Allen2 hours ago

Lands On Injury Report, Questionable For Week 12
Isiah Pacheco3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 12
CeeDee Lamb3 hours ago

Practices Friday, Expected To Play Sunday
Tyjae Spears3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 12
Mike Evans3 hours ago

Will Return In Week 12
Jalen Hurts4 hours ago

"Good To Go" For Week 12, Remains A Must-Start QB
Adam Thielen4 hours ago

Tommy Tremble Will Play On Sunday
Jonathon Brooks4 hours ago

Set To Make NFL Debut In Week 12
DeVonta Smith4 hours ago

Not Seen At Friday's Practice
Cam Thomas4 hours ago

Available Against 76ers
Malik Nabers4 hours ago

Not Practicing On Friday
Shohei Ohtani4 hours ago

In Early Stages Of Recovery From Shoulder Surgery
Joel Embiid4 hours ago

Added To Injury Report On Friday
Tabatha Ricci4 hours ago

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Yan Xiaonan4 hours ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Nicolas Claxton4 hours ago

Now Listed As Probable Against 76ers
Dorian Finney-Smith4 hours ago

Upgraded To Probable On Friday
Muslim Salikhov4 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Chris Sale4 hours ago

To Have Normal Offseason
Garrett Crochet5 hours ago

Drawing Plenty Of Interest
Song Kenan5 hours ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Zhang Mingyang5 hours ago

Set For His Second UFC Fight
Daniel Jones5 hours ago

Giants Release Daniel Jones
Ozzy Diaz5 hours ago

An Underdog At UFC Macau
MacKenzie Weegar8 hours ago

Notches Three Assists Against Rangers
Macklin Celebrini8 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists In Thursday's Loss
Nikita Kucherov8 hours ago

Comes Up With Three Assists Versus Blue Jackets
Sean Monahan8 hours ago

Finishes Thursday's Win With Four Points
Zach Werenski8 hours ago

Enjoys Career Night With Five Points Against Lightning
Jack Hughes8 hours ago

Posts Three Assists Versus Hurricanes
Joonas Korpisalo8 hours ago

Records 21-Save Shutout Versus Utah
Wendell Carter Jr.19 hours ago

Out Against Lakers
Anthony Davis19 hours ago

Available Versus Magic On Thursday
Rui Hachimura19 hours ago

Unavailable Thursday
Carlos Ulberg20 hours ago

Looking To Cement Himself As A Title Contender At UFC Macau
Volkan Oezdemir20 hours ago

Eyes Another Knockout At UFC Macau
Gabriella Fernandes20 hours ago

A Big Underdog At UFC Macau
MMA20 hours ago

Cong Wang Puts Undefeated Record On The Line At UFC Macau
Deiveson Figueiredo20 hours ago

Looks To Extend Win Streak At UFC Macau
Petr Yan20 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Macau
Yves Missi20 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Friday
CJ McCollum21 hours ago

Not Likely To Play Friday
Brandon Ingram21 hours ago

Questionable For Friday
Shohei Ohtani21 hours ago

Named National League MVP In 2024
Aaron Judge21 hours ago

Wins American League MVP Award
Ja'Kobe Walter21 hours ago

Ready To Go Thursday
Donte DiVincenzo21 hours ago

Available Thursday
Mike Conley21 hours ago

Will Not Play Thursday
Jordan Clarkson22 hours ago

Sits Out Thursday's Game
Ausar Thompson22 hours ago

Won't Play On Thursday
Zach Collins22 hours ago

Cleared To Play Thursday
Domantas Sabonis22 hours ago

Gets Through Full Practice
Alex Ovechkin23 hours ago

To Miss 4-6 Weeks With Fractured Fibula
Zach Hyman23 hours ago

Expected To Miss 4-7 Days
Kent Johnson23 hours ago

Back For Blue Jackets Thursday
Yaroslav Askarov23 hours ago

Makes Sharks Debut Thursday
Mikael Granlund23 hours ago

Good To Go Thursday
Alexandar Georgiev23 hours ago

Returns To Action Versus Capitals
TB23 hours ago

Nicholas Paul Will Miss Thursday's Game
Frederik Andersen23 hours ago

To Miss 8-12 Weeks
Cody Bellinger1 day ago

Cubs Looking To Trade Cody Bellinger?
1 day ago

Blake Snell Has Met With Red Sox, Dodgers
Chandler Stephenson1 day ago

Registers Three Assists Versus Predators
Jason Robertson1 day ago

Totals Three Points In Wednesday's Win
Nils Lundkvist1 day ago

Exits Early With A Lower-Body Injury
Matthew Knies1 day ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury
Mikael Granlund1 day ago

Exits Late With Injury Wednesday
Patrik Laine1 day ago

Returns To Practice
Chris Sale2 days ago

Wins National League Cy Young Award
Tarik Skubal2 days ago

Wins 2024 American League Cy Young Award
Austin Eckroat2 days ago

Heads To The RSM Classic After Win
Harris English2 days ago

Finding Form Heading To The RSM Classic
Ben Griffin2 days ago

Continues Playing Well Heading To The RSM Classic
Denny McCarthy2 days ago

Returns to The RSM Classic
Ludvig Aberg2 days ago

Looks To Defend RSM Classic Title
Si Woo Kim2 days ago

An Intriguing Option At RSM Classic
Maverick McNealy2 days ago

In Solid Form Ahead Of RSM Classic
Eric Cole2 days ago

Chasing First Tour Victory At RSM Classic
3 days ago

Guardians' Stephen Vogt Named AL Manager Of The Year
Milwaukee Brewers3 days ago

Pat Murphy Named NL Manager Of The Year
3 days ago

Nick Pivetta Declines Boston's Qualifying Offer
Jose Siri3 days ago

Mets Acquire Jose Siri From The Rays
3 days ago

Phillies To Meet With Juan Soto
3 days ago

Luis Severino Rejects Qualifying Offer From Mets
3 days ago

Willy Adames Declines Brewers Qualifying Offer
3 days ago

Teoscar Hernandez Declines Qualifying Offer From Dodgers
3 days ago

Juan Soto Declines Yankees' Qualifying Offer
Luis Gil4 days ago

Wins AL Rookie Of The Year Award
Paul Skenes4 days ago

Named 2024 NL Rookie Of The Year
Brady Singer4 days ago

Reds, Royals Discussing Jonathan India, Brady Singer
Charles Oliveira4 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Michael Chandler4 days ago

Gets Dominated At UFC 309
Karine Silva4 days ago

Suffers Her First UFC Loss
Viviane Araujo4 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Mauricio Ruffy4 days ago

Extends His Win Streak To Six
James Llontop5 days ago

Loses Clear-Cut Decision In Thrilling Fight At UFC 309
Paul Craig5 days ago

Loses Decision At UFC 309
Bo Nickal5 days ago

Remains Undefeated With Lackluster Performance At UFC 309
Stipe Miocic5 days ago

Retires After UFC 309 Loss

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