Three Hitters Ready to Breakout Earlier Than Their Prime

The quickest path to a fantasy championship is to identify and select potential breakouts. The challenge with this approach is that usually such players are hyped to the point where their ADP becomes inflated. This increases their risk, because often their new ADP has an assumed breakout baked into the cost.  This is why it’s […]

Sleeping Giants: Why Daniel Jones and His Receivers Are Undervalued

The key to securing a fantasy football championship is to identify undervalued players before they become popular sleepers and shoot up draft boards. We also want to target offenses that are forced into shootouts due to porous defenses. The team that fits these criteria for 2020 is none other than the New York Giants. The […]

2020 Starting Pitcher Sleepers - September Surgers

September can be an overlooked month for Fantasy Baseball players, particularly those who are out of contention. It’s a month where we might miss strong performances from players who have fallen off of our radar due to previous struggles. However, if you dig deeper into September performances, you might find some potential gems to target […]

Jo Adell (OF, LAA) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~210s CURRENT ADP: ~235 overall ANALYSIS: The most coveted type of player in fantasy baseball is the batter who can hit home runs, steal bases, and hit for contact. This is why Los Angeles Angels’ outfield prospect, 20-year-old Jo Adell, is an intriguing sleeper for the 2020 season. Adell is a five-tool player who […]

Starting Pitcher Busts Due to Bounce Back In 2020

Starting pitching busts are the worst types because they usually show severe decline in production. At least when your hitter busts, it’s a minor decline in career norms - but with pitchers, we sometimes see them completely fall-off in their bust seasons. These two pitchers are former aces for the Cleveland Indians. Both of them […]

Post-Hype Pitchers Set to Breakout

Post-hype pitchers are former top prospects who have struggled to find success in the Major Leagues. These are players who were once viewed as intriguing fantasy assets, but now have discounted prices due to the slow starts to their respective careers.  The three pitchers in this list have gained value either due to improved team […]

Alex Verdugo (OF, BOS) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~180 CURRENT ADP: ~230 overall ANALYSIS: Verdugo primarily spent the 2018 season in the minor leagues, so we’ll only look at his 2019 numbers. This is a terrific contact hitter who has the ability to contend for the BA title, as evidenced by his low 13.0 K% and high 91.2 Z-Contact%. […]

David Dahl (OF, COL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~120 CURRENT ADP: ~147 overall ANALYSIS: Dahl hit the ball harder in 2019, with a 1% increase in Brl% and .023 improvement in xwOBAcon. Dahl was also able to find his sweet spot more often, with a 6% increase.  If Dahl could maintain these improvements, it bodes well for his chances […]

Byron Buxton (OF, MIN) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleeper

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~130 CURRENT ADP: ~157 overall ANALYSIS: Since Buxton only had 94 plate appearances in 2018, we’ll compare his 2017 and 2019 seasons. As you can see in the chart, Buxton began to hit the ball much harder, with a 2.7% increase in Brl%. He also began to hit the ball in […]

Post-Hype Hitters Set to Breakout in 2020

Post-hype hitters are former top prospects who have struggled to find success in the major leagues. These are players who were once viewed as intriguing fantasy assets but now have discounted prices due to the slow starts in their respective careers.  The three outfielders in this list have gained value because of the delayed start […]

Breakout Relievers Who Will Keep Improving in 2020

The closer role is one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball. They can lose their fantasy value with a couple of blow-up performances. Teams are also electing to utilize a committee approach, often using their best reliever in high-leverage situations rather than cementing them to the ninth inning.  This makes it imperative to […]

Breakouts Relievers Due for Regression in 2020

The closer role is one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball. They can lose their fantasy value with a couple of blow-up performances. Teams are also electing to utilize a committee approach, often using their best reliever in high-leverage situations rather than cementing them to the ninth inning.  This makes it imperative to […]

ADP Showdown: Anthony Rendon vs. Rafael Devers

The first two rounds in your fantasy draft can be challenging because each available player is tremendously skilled with significant upside. Every pick looks desirable, so it’s important to try to determine which player has a greater likelihood of producing superior fantasy production. This can be accomplished by examining overall production and team context.  This […]

2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers – Jo Adell

The most coveted type of player in fantasy baseball is the batter who can hit home runs, steal bases and hit for contact. Stolen bases are harder to find, as more big-league teams are opting to take a cautious approach to baserunning. Additionally, batting average has declined because hitters are striking out more often, as […]

ADP Cost Analysis: Trey Mancini vs. Christian Walker

One of the most important skills in a fantasy draft is the ability to identify a player with similar value at a lower ADP. When you're able to find similar production at a lower cost, this allows you to use an earlier pick to fill out other areas of your roster, resulting in a stronger […]

Biggest Fallers: K-BB%, Part 2

K-BB% is a valuable metric because it shows which pitchers can combine strikeout ability with pinpoint control. Pitchers with high K-BB% possess high floors and ceilings because even when they’re not accumulating strikeouts, they are still usually able to pound the strike zone. Name K-BB% '18 K-BB% '19 K-BB%-Diff ADP (NFBC) Patrick Corbin 24.80% 20.10% […]

Biggest Fallers: K-BB%, Part 1

K-BB% is a valuable metric because it shows which pitchers can combine strikeout ability with pinpoint control. Pitchers with high K-BB% possess high floors and ceilings because even when they’re not accumulating strikeouts, they are still usually able to pound the strike zone. The list below shows pitchers with the highest drop-off in this rate […]

Miguel Sano - 2019 Year in Review

Heading into the 2019 season, Miguel Sano’s career was defined by injuries and disappointment mixed with glimpses of potential. What was once one of the top prospects in baseball (Fangraphs ranked him #15 in their 2015 Top-200 list), had become an after-thought in fantasy drafts. He finished the 2018 season slashing .199/.281/.398, with just 13 […]