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The Model Maniac

174 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Jason Kokrak Needs Ball-Striking To Improve

Jason Kokrak will need to ramp up his ball-striking this week if he wants to contend. Even with an abundance of length off the tee, Kokrak has barely been gaining strokes in that department lately. His approach play has been steady, but he has yet to have any impressive iron performances since his win at […]

3 years ago

Brian Harman A Sneaky Play This Week

Brian Harman may be one of the shorter hitters on tour, but that has not stopped him from gaining over 0.58 strokes off the tee in his last four stroke-play starts. Consistent accuracy off the tee is Harman's strength, which is slightly nullified around a more forgiving Augusta National. Harman has also shown some form […]

3 years ago

Francesco Molinari Lacking Upside

Francesco Molinari heads back to Augusta for the 11th time. Ever since he squandered the lead on Sunday of the 2019 Masters, he has yet to record a top-five finish at any event around the world. He has a T42 as his best finish the last five times he has teed it up. The Italian's […]

3 years ago

Kevin Na A Safe Play At Augusta

Kevin Na will be playing in his 11th Masters and is looking to improve on his trio of T12 finishes over the last decade. Na led the tour in strokes gained around the green last season, with the rest of his stats all outside the top 50. He is one of the more polarizing players […]

3 years ago

Gary Woodland A Tough Decision At Augusta

Gary Woodland has three top-10 finishes in his last five starts, gaining the majority of his strokes on approach. He has now strung together six consecutive starts where he has gained at least a quarter stroke per round with his irons. With impressive recent form, Woodland heads to Augusta, where he has yet to crack […]

3 years ago

Paul Casey Battling Back Spasms

Paul Casey (back) finished third at The Players Championship, improving his strokes gained in putting by nine strokes compared to his disappointing weekend at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. However, Casey's putter is the least of his concerns, as he is currently battling back spasms that forced him to withdraw from the Match Play two weeks […]

3 years ago

Adam Scott Looking For Second Masters Win

Adam Scott enters the week with impressive ball-striking numbers and a putter that has been a massive asset this season. He has gained over 0.25 strokes off the tee and over 0.5 on both approach and putting. However, the former Masters champion has been losing strokes around the green far too often to feel comfortable […]

3 years ago

Justin Thomas In Tremendous Form

Justin Thomas has six top-10 finishes this season in 10 starts. He is gaining more total strokes so far than any of his other seven illustrious years on tour. The last time Thomas lost strokes on approach was in July of 2021. He is also having his best year off the tee, gaining 0.68 strokes […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Valero Texas Open

Scottie Scheffler is a menace. In fact, after just five weeks, Breaking $100 has an elite club called "Scottie's Notties" for our outright's that have finished second to the new world No. 1. Kevin Kisner (Match Play) and Viktor Hovland (API) have both finished runner-up to Scheffler who has officially gone rogue, winning three of […]

3 years ago

Maverick McNealy Has All-Around Game To Contend At Valero

Maverick McNealy was unlucky to score 2.5 match-play points and not advance from his group last week. McNealy has not missed a cut in his last 10 stroke-play starts. He is a perpetual gainer off the tee, with the rest of his game flashing moments of brilliance. McNealy has the all-around game to contend on […]

3 years ago

Davis Riley Dependent On Short Game At Valero

Davis Riley lost to Sam Burns in a playoff at the Valspar two weeks ago. He found himself in a playoff courtesy of his short game that gained him 12 strokes on the field. Riley's statistical profile is highlighted by his length and accuracy off the tee, an area of his game he has gained […]

3 years ago

Lanto Griffin Looking To Improve On Poor Florida Swing

Lanto Griffin will be looking to bounce back from his Friday 78 at the Valspar two weeks ago when he lost over a stroke in each major statistical category, which can hopefully be chalked up as a bad day at the office. He finished no worse than T39 in his four starts out west earlier […]

3 years ago

Gary Woodland's Driver The Missing Piece

Gary Woodland has tidied up his short game recently, rounding out his game into a much more sustainable product. He has two T5s in his last four starts, gaining strokes in all four major statistical categories. Woodland has always been a great iron player and has gained strokes on approach in his last four events. […]

3 years ago

Cameron Young Grouped With John Rahm, Patrick Reed

Cameron Young is a top-10 birdie-maker on tour, averaging a birdie or better on 26% of his holes. Churning out this many birdies makes Young an interesting play, even with Jon Rahm and Patrick Reed in his group. Young relies on his driver to set himself up for scoring opportunities, ranking fifth on tour in […]

3 years ago

Will Zalatoris A Contender If Putter Obliges

Will Zalatoris has lost strokes putting in his last six starts, finishing T26 or better in four of those events. Zalatoris is one of the elite ball-strikers on tour, gaining the second-most strokes on approach this season behind Russell Henley. He also ranks in the top 10 for strokes gained off the tee. Zalatoris is […]

3 years ago

Keith Mitchell Can Rely On Driver

Keith Mitchell is gaining roughly a shot per round off the tee this season. His driver is his biggest asset, keeping him out of trouble while simultaneously setting up easier approach shots. Mitchell gains his next chunk of strokes with his putter, which averages over a stroke per round when putting confidently. If Mitchell keeps […]

3 years ago

Bubba Watson To Lean On Match-Play Experience

Bubba Watson has a winning match-play record of 10-6-5 at Austin Country Club. Although Watson has not been playing well lately, he has proven that his history at specific courses or events is one of his more reliable predictors of success. Watson has to outscore Webb Simpson, Abraham Ancer and Brian Harman to emerge from […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - WGC Dell Match Play

After having an outright in final-round contention three weeks in a row, Collin Morikawa's T68 gifted our chore lists and wives with some much-needed weekend attention. Morikawa had no short-game touch at all, wasting another impressive ball-striking week from the world #2. We had a small loss on the week, but remain profitable over the […]

3 years ago

Scottie Scheffler Looking To Make Match-Play Finals Again

Scottie Scheffler was a finalist at this event last year and beat Jon Rahm in singles at The Ryder Cup. Scheffler is in fantastic form, winning two of his last four events. He has been putting incredibly and his irons have been peaking, both crucial elements to succeeding in match play. While playing the best […]

3 years ago

Kevin Kisner Can Continue Match-Play Success

Kevin Kisner has one of the best match-play records at this event (16-6-1). As a former winner of the WGC Dell Match Play, Kisner has wielded his elite chipping and putting to win many matches against better drivers and more accurate iron players. Even with Justin Thomas in his group, Kisner has a chance to […]

3 years ago

Kevin Na A Match-Play Nightmare

Kevin Na can win a hole from anywhere around the green with his elite short game. His accuracy off the tee and streaky iron play have allowed him to enter the week with an 8-8-2 record at Austin Country Club. Na has also shown that there is more to match play than just strokes gained, […]

3 years ago

Sungjae Im Relying On Short Game

Sungjae Im has not gained more than 1.5 strokes on approach in any of his last five starts. Im will need to beat Patrick Cantlay, Seamus Power and Keith Mitchell if he wants to advance out of his group this week. He has been struggling with his irons for the last two months, which will […]

3 years ago

Marc Leishman Brings Complete Game To Match Play

Marc Leishman missed his first cut of the season at The Players Championship. He has six top-20 finishes in his 11 starts this season. He has been incredibly consistent, gaining strokes in all four major categories in most of his starts. Leishman will be looking to improve on his losing record at Austin Country Club […]

3 years ago

Patrick Cantlay Struggling On Approach

Patrick Cantlay has only gained strokes with his irons in two of his six starts in the 2022 season. However, he has four top-10s in those starts while the rest of his game has been firing on all cylinders. He missed his first cut of the season at The Players Championship, where he lost strokes […]

3 years ago

Brooks Koepka Needs To Find Consistency

Brooks Koepka will be in a group with Shane Lowry, Erik Van Rooyen and Harold Varner III at Austin County Club this week. Koepka salvaged a mediocre outing at the Valspar with a Sunday 65, two shots better than the next-lowest Round 4 score. His inconsistencies can be a concern heading into match play, as […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Valspar Championship

Cameron Smith you beauty! What a scintillating final round from the wallaby wizard. Smith did not limit the damage with the driver, but managed to offset that by breaking countless Players' putting records to claim Breaking $100's first outright ticket of the series. Smith was also one of the six placing bets that cashed for […]

3 years ago

Jhonattan Vegas Relying On Ball-Striking

Jhonattan Vegas missed his first cut in five starts at the tumultuous Players Championship last week. At a course like Innisbrook, Vegas may find his distance advantage off the tee slightly nullified by forced layups. With a larger emphasis on the rest of his game, he is able to lean on his approach play to […]

3 years ago

Sahith Theegala Still High-Risk, High-Reward

After a poor week at The Players Championship, Sahith Theegala suffered back-to-back missed cuts for the first time this season. However, with drastic scoring differences depending on tee times, The Players should be a tournament that carries very little relevance if a golfer plays poorly. Sahith's volatility across all statistical categories makes him a high-risk, […]

3 years ago

Mito Pereira Looking To Bring Entire Game To Valspar

Mito Pereira has all the skills to win on the PGA Tour, but he has been struggling to bring all his skills to the same event. When Pereira has gained strokes on approach and putting in the same event, he has finished T29 or better. Pereira has recently traded out an incredible stretch of putting […]

3 years ago

Andrew Putnam Looks To Regroup On Approach

Andrew Putnam's game seems to be heading in a positive direction. He has gained more than 0.92 strokes per round on approach in four of his last eight starts. Over the last 50 rounds, Putnam ranks ninth in putting on Bermuda surfaces. Coming off missed cuts at a soggy Players Championship and a tough Arnold […]

3 years ago

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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