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The Model Maniac

174 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Scottie Scheffler Is A Smash Play At Southern Hills

Scottie Scheffler trails Justin Thomas by a fraction in strokes gained total on the 2022 season, but has four more victories than Thomas. Scheffler has risen to the top of the world rankings in rapid fashion and is playing golf at such an exceptional level that it will not be surprising to see him continue […]

3 years ago

Jason Day Remains A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Jason Day remains a mixed bag of results. He has flashed rounds of brilliance with stellar iron play and a tidy short game that has always been a crutch to lean on during lackluster rounds. Day has also had a few recent rounds where he was not sure which direction the ball would fly off […]

3 years ago

Tiger Woods May Struggle At PGA Championship

With very little statistics to go off, it is tough to predict how Tiger Woods will play when he tees it up for the second time this year. He made the cut at The Masters which is essentially his backyard as he has played well there so many times. He heads to Southern Hills where […]

3 years ago

Xander Schauffele Riding High Into PGA Championship

Xander Schauffele displayed one of the most impressive 2.5 rounds of golf since Cameron Smith and Jon Rahm broke scoring records at The Tournament of Champions in January. After appearing to be headed for an imminent missed cut, eight strokes off the cut line early on Friday, he rattled off 13 holes of blistering ball […]

3 years ago

Justin Thomas Primed For Victory At Southern Hills

Justin Thomas has finished T8 or better in 75% of his regular starts this year. He lights up the strokes gained columns across the board, including putting which is an area of his game he has seen drastic improvement in. He is having the best statistical season of his illustrious career, gaining an average of […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - AT&T Byron Nelson

Keegan Bradley led the field in strokes gained putting at the Wells Fargo Championship last week. Let that sink in for a second. Keegan... Hansen... Bradley... led the field in strokes gained putting, but hit just too many bad shots in critical moments on Sunday to finish T2. In last week's article we noticed that […]

3 years ago

Will Zalatoris Desperate For Positive Putter

Will Zalatoris has gained strokes putting twice this season, with both instances coinciding with two of his three worst approach performances. He is one of the premier ball strikers on tour, crippled by a putter that refuses to gain even a fraction of a stroke needed to win golf tournaments. He has six top-20s in […]

3 years ago

Talor Gooch A Great Course Fit

Talor Gooch has 10 top-20s in 17 starts this season, including a win at The RSM Classic. He has been excellent on approach, around the green and putting all season, while his driver has driver has been a non-factor. Gooch is 13th on tour in birdie or better percentage, scoring under par a quarter of […]

3 years ago

Si Woo Kim A Safe Play

Excluding his withdrawal from The Players Championship, where he most likely would have missed the cut in atrocious conditions, Si Woo Kim has made the cut in all 10 of his starts this year. He has been stealthily steady off the tee, relying on a crisp combination of accuracy and distance. He has struggled to […]

3 years ago

Joaquin Niemann Can Capitalize On Impressive Ball-Striking

Joaquin Niemann is one of the longer drivers on tour, gaining off the tee in every start this year. Over that same time frame, he has only lost on approach once, at a hazard-stricken Honda Classic the week after winning the Genesis Invitational. Nieman is 15th in birdie or better percentage this season, circling his […]

3 years ago

Scottie Scheffler Looking To Continue Historic Run

Scottie Scheffler has now won four of his last six stroke-play events. He is gaining over a stroke per round ball striking this season, averaging 0.71 on approach and 0.33 off the tee. With the winning score at -25 last year, birdies are essential here and Scheffler is second in the field in that category, […]

3 years ago

Jason Day A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Heading into the weekend leading the Wells Fargo Championship last week, Jason Day struggled to maintain the elite ball-striking performance that got him to the top of the leaderboard. He gained six strokes on approach in his first two rounds, flashing signs of the incredible potential that saw him win five events in 2015. Day […]

3 years ago

Xander Schauffele A Great Pivot

Xander Schauffele bounced back from an abysmal Masters missed cut with a win at the Zurich Classic team event, continuing to add wins to his eccentric PGA Tour resume. His game suits this course well, as he has gained on approach and off the tee in the majority of his starts this season. He is […]

3 years ago

Justin Thomas Can Run Away At Byron Nelson

Justin Thomas' worst finish in his 12 starts this season is T35. At a course that demands a lot of birdies, Thomas has made birdie or better on 28.75% of his holes this season, leading the field in that category. His approach play over the last two years and last 24 rounds both rank first […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Wells Fargo Championship

Jon Rahm finally found his way into the winner's circle. He had to fly to Mexico without 18 of the world's top-20 ranked golfers to do it, but still managed to get it done and punched his ticket to the Tournament of Champions. It was only a matter of time that his short game returned […]

3 years ago

Si Woo Kim Is A Fantastic Course Fit

At a golf course that demands accuracy off the tee, Si Woo Kim has the accuracy and length to overcome one of TPC Potomac's main defenses. Kim has lost strokes off the tee in only three of his 15 starts this season, gaining over 0.3 strokes per round in the other 12 events. In addition […]

3 years ago

Sepp Straka Leaning On Hot Putter

Sepp Straka has gained over half a stroke putting per round in his last six stroke-play starts. His white-hot putter is gaining the majority of his strokes each week. He has been consistent with his ball striking but has only gained over a stroke once this year, when he won The Honda Classic in February. […]

3 years ago

Jason Day Struggling With Ball-Striking

Jason Day has struggled to find any sort of consistency with his approach play this season, gaining on approach only twice in his nine starts. Although his off the tee stats are not as poor as his approach numbers, he has yet to gain strokes off the tee in back-to-back events this season. His inconsistent […]

3 years ago

Gary Woodland Will Battle Driving Inaccuracy At TPC Potomac

Gary Woodland has lost strokes putting in four of his last five starts. He gains most of his strokes off the tee as a result of his distance while sacrificing accuracy. At a course that demands more accuracy off the tee than tour average, Woodland's driving inaccuracies may haunt him this week. If he can […]

3 years ago

Rory McIlroy Not Playing To Price Tag

This may come across as a bold statement, but compared to Jon Rahm in Mexico last week, Rory McIlroy's form and course fit do not drastically separate him from the rest of the better players in the field. He has been playing well, though, gaining over a stroke per round ball striking in his limited […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Mexico Open

We can all be grateful that I never posted an article for the Zurich Classic as I lost every single bet and every single DFS lineup last week. I embraced the event's volatility, and the volatility embraced my generous donations to the DFS community and respective betting books. Breaking $100 has been a joy to […]

3 years ago

Chris Kirk Striking It Well Enough To Win

Chris Kirk has gained strokes tee to green in every event he has played in this season. His driving, approach play, and around the green game have been steady and well above average for most of the year. His putter can flash upside but typically fails him when in contention on a Sunday. Kirk is […]

3 years ago

Rafa Cabrera-Bello Offers Minimal Upside

Rafa Cabrera-Bello enters the week having missed three of his last four cuts at events with relatively weak strength of schedule. His lack of distance off the tee is another concerning trend that the Spaniard will have to overcome at the Mexico Open. Sitting outside the top-100 of Official Golf World Rankings, Cabrera-Bello's game has […]

3 years ago

Brendon Todd Leaning On Putter

Brendon Todd is one of the shortest drivers on tour, which will hurt him at a Par 71 that is almost 7,500 yards long. After an abysmal Florida swing with his irons, Todd has gained in three consecutive events and will be looking to continue that trend at a lengthy resort course this week. Over […]

3 years ago

Kevin Na Relying On Short Game

Kevin Na's accuracy off the tee may not be as much of an asset at this week's venue in Mexico. He will have longer approaches than most of the field due to his lack of distance off the tee. However, he led the field in strokes gained approach at Augusta and continued his impressive iron […]

3 years ago

Jon Rahm A Great Course Fit

Arguably the best ball-striker on the planet, Jon Rahm heads to a golf course that suits his booming drives and precise long irons. The last time Rahm lost strokes off the tee at a PGA Tour stroke-play event was in August of 2019. His irons have been similarly impressive gaining 0.73 per round this season. […]

3 years ago

billy horschel PGA dfs lineup picks daily fantasy golf

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - RBC Heritage

Four wins in six starts for Masters champion and World No. 1, Scottie Scheffler! Just an incredible run of golf. Two weeks ago, we wrote about "Scottie's Notties" and how we were always the bridesmaid to him. Well, if you can't beat them, bet on the bride and hope he carries on breaking hearts around […]

3 years ago

Si Woo Kim Has Only One Missed Cut This Season

Si Woo Kim's course history at the RBC Heritage is a mixed bag, with two top-20s and two missed cuts in his five appearances here. Kim's last missed cut was in October 2021 at the Shriners Children's Open. He has quietly collected seven top-20s in his 16 starts this season by leaning on his consistency […]

3 years ago

Jason Kokrak Needs Putter To Perform This Week

Jason Kokrak has gained on approach in his last eight starts at Harbour Town but has missed three of his last four cuts courtesy of a disobedient putter. As one of the better putters on tour over the last two years, Kokrak will be looking to buck his poor putting trend at this venue. If […]

3 years ago

Brian Harman A Safe Play

With four top-30s in his last five RBC Heritage starts, Brian Harman is one of the safer plays this week. His lack of distance off the tee will be minimized and his accuracy exaggerated at a shorter Harbour Town Golf Links. Harman has gained over 1.5 strokes putting in his last nine appearances at this […]

3 years ago

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