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The Model Maniac

174 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Will Zalatoris Desperate For Positive Putter

Will Zalatoris has gained strokes putting twice this season, with both instances coinciding with two of his three worst approach performances. He is one of the premier ball strikers on tour, crippled by a putter that refuses to gain even a fraction of a stroke needed to win golf tournaments. He has six top-20s in […]

3 years ago

Talor Gooch A Great Course Fit

Talor Gooch has 10 top-20s in 17 starts this season, including a win at The RSM Classic. He has been excellent on approach, around the green and putting all season, while his driver has driver has been a non-factor. Gooch is 13th on tour in birdie or better percentage, scoring under par a quarter of […]

3 years ago

Si Woo Kim A Safe Play

Excluding his withdrawal from The Players Championship, where he most likely would have missed the cut in atrocious conditions, Si Woo Kim has made the cut in all 10 of his starts this year. He has been stealthily steady off the tee, relying on a crisp combination of accuracy and distance. He has struggled to […]

3 years ago

Joaquin Niemann Can Capitalize On Impressive Ball-Striking

Joaquin Niemann is one of the longer drivers on tour, gaining off the tee in every start this year. Over that same time frame, he has only lost on approach once, at a hazard-stricken Honda Classic the week after winning the Genesis Invitational. Nieman is 15th in birdie or better percentage this season, circling his […]

3 years ago

Scottie Scheffler Looking To Continue Historic Run

Scottie Scheffler has now won four of his last six stroke-play events. He is gaining over a stroke per round ball striking this season, averaging 0.71 on approach and 0.33 off the tee. With the winning score at -25 last year, birdies are essential here and Scheffler is second in the field in that category, […]

3 years ago

Jason Day A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Heading into the weekend leading the Wells Fargo Championship last week, Jason Day struggled to maintain the elite ball-striking performance that got him to the top of the leaderboard. He gained six strokes on approach in his first two rounds, flashing signs of the incredible potential that saw him win five events in 2015. Day […]

3 years ago

Xander Schauffele A Great Pivot

Xander Schauffele bounced back from an abysmal Masters missed cut with a win at the Zurich Classic team event, continuing to add wins to his eccentric PGA Tour resume. His game suits this course well, as he has gained on approach and off the tee in the majority of his starts this season. He is […]

3 years ago

Justin Thomas Can Run Away At Byron Nelson

Justin Thomas' worst finish in his 12 starts this season is T35. At a course that demands a lot of birdies, Thomas has made birdie or better on 28.75% of his holes this season, leading the field in that category. His approach play over the last two years and last 24 rounds both rank first […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Wells Fargo Championship

Jon Rahm finally found his way into the winner's circle. He had to fly to Mexico without 18 of the world's top-20 ranked golfers to do it, but still managed to get it done and punched his ticket to the Tournament of Champions. It was only a matter of time that his short game returned […]

3 years ago

Si Woo Kim Is A Fantastic Course Fit

At a golf course that demands accuracy off the tee, Si Woo Kim has the accuracy and length to overcome one of TPC Potomac's main defenses. Kim has lost strokes off the tee in only three of his 15 starts this season, gaining over 0.3 strokes per round in the other 12 events. In addition […]

3 years ago

Sepp Straka Leaning On Hot Putter

Sepp Straka has gained over half a stroke putting per round in his last six stroke-play starts. His white-hot putter is gaining the majority of his strokes each week. He has been consistent with his ball striking but has only gained over a stroke once this year, when he won The Honda Classic in February. […]

3 years ago

Jason Day Struggling With Ball-Striking

Jason Day has struggled to find any sort of consistency with his approach play this season, gaining on approach only twice in his nine starts. Although his off the tee stats are not as poor as his approach numbers, he has yet to gain strokes off the tee in back-to-back events this season. His inconsistent […]

3 years ago

Gary Woodland Will Battle Driving Inaccuracy At TPC Potomac

Gary Woodland has lost strokes putting in four of his last five starts. He gains most of his strokes off the tee as a result of his distance while sacrificing accuracy. At a course that demands more accuracy off the tee than tour average, Woodland's driving inaccuracies may haunt him this week. If he can […]

3 years ago

Rory McIlroy Not Playing To Price Tag

This may come across as a bold statement, but compared to Jon Rahm in Mexico last week, Rory McIlroy's form and course fit do not drastically separate him from the rest of the better players in the field. He has been playing well, though, gaining over a stroke per round ball striking in his limited […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Mexico Open

We can all be grateful that I never posted an article for the Zurich Classic as I lost every single bet and every single DFS lineup last week. I embraced the event's volatility, and the volatility embraced my generous donations to the DFS community and respective betting books. Breaking $100 has been a joy to […]

3 years ago

Chris Kirk Striking It Well Enough To Win

Chris Kirk has gained strokes tee to green in every event he has played in this season. His driving, approach play, and around the green game have been steady and well above average for most of the year. His putter can flash upside but typically fails him when in contention on a Sunday. Kirk is […]

3 years ago

Rafa Cabrera-Bello Offers Minimal Upside

Rafa Cabrera-Bello enters the week having missed three of his last four cuts at events with relatively weak strength of schedule. His lack of distance off the tee is another concerning trend that the Spaniard will have to overcome at the Mexico Open. Sitting outside the top-100 of Official Golf World Rankings, Cabrera-Bello's game has […]

3 years ago

Brendon Todd Leaning On Putter

Brendon Todd is one of the shortest drivers on tour, which will hurt him at a Par 71 that is almost 7,500 yards long. After an abysmal Florida swing with his irons, Todd has gained in three consecutive events and will be looking to continue that trend at a lengthy resort course this week. Over […]

3 years ago

Kevin Na Relying On Short Game

Kevin Na's accuracy off the tee may not be as much of an asset at this week's venue in Mexico. He will have longer approaches than most of the field due to his lack of distance off the tee. However, he led the field in strokes gained approach at Augusta and continued his impressive iron […]

3 years ago

Jon Rahm A Great Course Fit

Arguably the best ball-striker on the planet, Jon Rahm heads to a golf course that suits his booming drives and precise long irons. The last time Rahm lost strokes off the tee at a PGA Tour stroke-play event was in August of 2019. His irons have been similarly impressive gaining 0.73 per round this season. […]

3 years ago

billy horschel PGA dfs lineup picks daily fantasy golf

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - RBC Heritage

Four wins in six starts for Masters champion and World No. 1, Scottie Scheffler! Just an incredible run of golf. Two weeks ago, we wrote about "Scottie's Notties" and how we were always the bridesmaid to him. Well, if you can't beat them, bet on the bride and hope he carries on breaking hearts around […]

3 years ago

Si Woo Kim Has Only One Missed Cut This Season

Si Woo Kim's course history at the RBC Heritage is a mixed bag, with two top-20s and two missed cuts in his five appearances here. Kim's last missed cut was in October 2021 at the Shriners Children's Open. He has quietly collected seven top-20s in his 16 starts this season by leaning on his consistency […]

3 years ago

Jason Kokrak Needs Putter To Perform This Week

Jason Kokrak has gained on approach in his last eight starts at Harbour Town but has missed three of his last four cuts courtesy of a disobedient putter. As one of the better putters on tour over the last two years, Kokrak will be looking to buck his poor putting trend at this venue. If […]

3 years ago

Brian Harman A Safe Play

With four top-30s in his last five RBC Heritage starts, Brian Harman is one of the safer plays this week. His lack of distance off the tee will be minimized and his accuracy exaggerated at a shorter Harbour Town Golf Links. Harman has gained over 1.5 strokes putting in his last nine appearances at this […]

3 years ago

Kevin Na A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Kevin Na led the field in strokes gained approach at the Masters. He will be looking to bring his hot irons to an event where he has multiple top-10s and missed cuts since 2011. His boom or bust potential at this golf course makes him a high-risk, high-reward play. After leading the tour in strokes […]

3 years ago

Matt Kuchar A Course-History Thoroughbred

Matt Kuchar has seven top-30s in his last eight starts at the RBC Heritage. Kuchar is typically very efficient with his short game and has yet to lose strokes on approach at this golf course in his last 11 appearances. He not only has great course history on his side, but he has also found […]

3 years ago

Justin Thomas Is Putting Well Lately

Justin Thomas clawed himself back from a shaky Masters opening round to finish T8. Thomas now has seven top-10s in his 11 starts this season. For a player of his caliber there always seems to be a sequence of holes that derails his chances of contending for victory, though. Thomas gained over six strokes on […]

3 years ago

Scottie Scheffler PGA dfs lineup betting picks daily fantasy golf

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - The Masters

Folks, it is Masters week! We get both beautifully manicured flower beds and golf swings. We get multiple video streams of our favorite holes and watery streams named after some guy called Rae. We get a Wednesday Par 3 contest where generational greats attempt to break their age, while Tony Finau attempts to not break […]

3 years ago

Cameron Young Looking To Capitalize On Elite Driving Ability

Cameron Young is making his maiden Masters start as the 46th-ranked player in the world. Two T2s at the Sanderson Farms Championship and The Genesis Invitational gained him most of the Official World Golf Ranking points needed to crack the top 50. Young is a monster off the tee, gaining well over a stroke per […]

3 years ago

Si Woo Kim Seeking First Masters Top-10 Finish

Si Woo Kim has finished inside the top 20 in half of his 14 starts this season. He has done so on the merits of his steady off-the-tee game, with the other areas of his game sporadically gaining the necessary strokes to finish that high up on the leaderboard. Kim has put together a tidy […]

3 years ago

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jalen Suggs42 mins ago

Added To Injury Report On Monday
Baltimore Ravens44 mins ago

Roquan Smith Unlikely To Play On Monday Night
Kristaps Porzingis48 mins ago

Expected To Make Debut On Monday
Dejounte Murray60 mins ago

Intends To Return Wednesday
Baker Mayfield1 hour ago

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Tommy DeVito To Start On Thanksgiving "If He's Healthy"
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Gets TKO Win At UFC Macau
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Delivers Big Performance Despite Bears Week 12 Loss
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Plays Well In Week 12 Loss, Shows Versatility
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Has Historic Night Sunday
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May Return To Action Monday
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3 days ago

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Dodgers Sign Dustin May To One-Year Deal To Avoid Arbitration
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