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The Model Maniac

174 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Scottie Scheffler Is A Smash Play At Southern Hills

Scottie Scheffler trails Justin Thomas by a fraction in strokes gained total on the 2022 season, but has four more victories than Thomas. Scheffler has risen to the top of the world rankings in rapid fashion and is playing golf at such an exceptional level that it will not be surprising to see him continue […]

3 years ago

Jason Day Remains A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Jason Day remains a mixed bag of results. He has flashed rounds of brilliance with stellar iron play and a tidy short game that has always been a crutch to lean on during lackluster rounds. Day has also had a few recent rounds where he was not sure which direction the ball would fly off […]

3 years ago

Tiger Woods May Struggle At PGA Championship

With very little statistics to go off, it is tough to predict how Tiger Woods will play when he tees it up for the second time this year. He made the cut at The Masters which is essentially his backyard as he has played well there so many times. He heads to Southern Hills where […]

3 years ago

Xander Schauffele Riding High Into PGA Championship

Xander Schauffele displayed one of the most impressive 2.5 rounds of golf since Cameron Smith and Jon Rahm broke scoring records at The Tournament of Champions in January. After appearing to be headed for an imminent missed cut, eight strokes off the cut line early on Friday, he rattled off 13 holes of blistering ball […]

3 years ago

Justin Thomas Primed For Victory At Southern Hills

Justin Thomas has finished T8 or better in 75% of his regular starts this year. He lights up the strokes gained columns across the board, including putting which is an area of his game he has seen drastic improvement in. He is having the best statistical season of his illustrious career, gaining an average of […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - AT&T Byron Nelson

Keegan Bradley led the field in strokes gained putting at the Wells Fargo Championship last week. Let that sink in for a second. Keegan... Hansen... Bradley... led the field in strokes gained putting, but hit just too many bad shots in critical moments on Sunday to finish T2. In last week's article we noticed that […]

3 years ago

Will Zalatoris Desperate For Positive Putter

Will Zalatoris has gained strokes putting twice this season, with both instances coinciding with two of his three worst approach performances. He is one of the premier ball strikers on tour, crippled by a putter that refuses to gain even a fraction of a stroke needed to win golf tournaments. He has six top-20s in […]

3 years ago

Talor Gooch A Great Course Fit

Talor Gooch has 10 top-20s in 17 starts this season, including a win at The RSM Classic. He has been excellent on approach, around the green and putting all season, while his driver has driver has been a non-factor. Gooch is 13th on tour in birdie or better percentage, scoring under par a quarter of […]

3 years ago

Si Woo Kim A Safe Play

Excluding his withdrawal from The Players Championship, where he most likely would have missed the cut in atrocious conditions, Si Woo Kim has made the cut in all 10 of his starts this year. He has been stealthily steady off the tee, relying on a crisp combination of accuracy and distance. He has struggled to […]

3 years ago

Joaquin Niemann Can Capitalize On Impressive Ball-Striking

Joaquin Niemann is one of the longer drivers on tour, gaining off the tee in every start this year. Over that same time frame, he has only lost on approach once, at a hazard-stricken Honda Classic the week after winning the Genesis Invitational. Nieman is 15th in birdie or better percentage this season, circling his […]

3 years ago

Scottie Scheffler Looking To Continue Historic Run

Scottie Scheffler has now won four of his last six stroke-play events. He is gaining over a stroke per round ball striking this season, averaging 0.71 on approach and 0.33 off the tee. With the winning score at -25 last year, birdies are essential here and Scheffler is second in the field in that category, […]

3 years ago

Jason Day A High-Risk, High-Reward Play

Heading into the weekend leading the Wells Fargo Championship last week, Jason Day struggled to maintain the elite ball-striking performance that got him to the top of the leaderboard. He gained six strokes on approach in his first two rounds, flashing signs of the incredible potential that saw him win five events in 2015. Day […]

3 years ago

Xander Schauffele A Great Pivot

Xander Schauffele bounced back from an abysmal Masters missed cut with a win at the Zurich Classic team event, continuing to add wins to his eccentric PGA Tour resume. His game suits this course well, as he has gained on approach and off the tee in the majority of his starts this season. He is […]

3 years ago

Justin Thomas Can Run Away At Byron Nelson

Justin Thomas' worst finish in his 12 starts this season is T35. At a course that demands a lot of birdies, Thomas has made birdie or better on 28.75% of his holes this season, leading the field in that category. His approach play over the last two years and last 24 rounds both rank first […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Wells Fargo Championship

Jon Rahm finally found his way into the winner's circle. He had to fly to Mexico without 18 of the world's top-20 ranked golfers to do it, but still managed to get it done and punched his ticket to the Tournament of Champions. It was only a matter of time that his short game returned […]

3 years ago

Si Woo Kim Is A Fantastic Course Fit

At a golf course that demands accuracy off the tee, Si Woo Kim has the accuracy and length to overcome one of TPC Potomac's main defenses. Kim has lost strokes off the tee in only three of his 15 starts this season, gaining over 0.3 strokes per round in the other 12 events. In addition […]

3 years ago

Sepp Straka Leaning On Hot Putter

Sepp Straka has gained over half a stroke putting per round in his last six stroke-play starts. His white-hot putter is gaining the majority of his strokes each week. He has been consistent with his ball striking but has only gained over a stroke once this year, when he won The Honda Classic in February. […]

3 years ago

Jason Day Struggling With Ball-Striking

Jason Day has struggled to find any sort of consistency with his approach play this season, gaining on approach only twice in his nine starts. Although his off the tee stats are not as poor as his approach numbers, he has yet to gain strokes off the tee in back-to-back events this season. His inconsistent […]

3 years ago

Gary Woodland Will Battle Driving Inaccuracy At TPC Potomac

Gary Woodland has lost strokes putting in four of his last five starts. He gains most of his strokes off the tee as a result of his distance while sacrificing accuracy. At a course that demands more accuracy off the tee than tour average, Woodland's driving inaccuracies may haunt him this week. If he can […]

3 years ago

Rory McIlroy Not Playing To Price Tag

This may come across as a bold statement, but compared to Jon Rahm in Mexico last week, Rory McIlroy's form and course fit do not drastically separate him from the rest of the better players in the field. He has been playing well, though, gaining over a stroke per round ball striking in his limited […]

3 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Mexico Open

We can all be grateful that I never posted an article for the Zurich Classic as I lost every single bet and every single DFS lineup last week. I embraced the event's volatility, and the volatility embraced my generous donations to the DFS community and respective betting books. Breaking $100 has been a joy to […]

3 years ago

Chris Kirk Striking It Well Enough To Win

Chris Kirk has gained strokes tee to green in every event he has played in this season. His driving, approach play, and around the green game have been steady and well above average for most of the year. His putter can flash upside but typically fails him when in contention on a Sunday. Kirk is […]

3 years ago

Rafa Cabrera-Bello Offers Minimal Upside

Rafa Cabrera-Bello enters the week having missed three of his last four cuts at events with relatively weak strength of schedule. His lack of distance off the tee is another concerning trend that the Spaniard will have to overcome at the Mexico Open. Sitting outside the top-100 of Official Golf World Rankings, Cabrera-Bello's game has […]

3 years ago

Brendon Todd Leaning On Putter

Brendon Todd is one of the shortest drivers on tour, which will hurt him at a Par 71 that is almost 7,500 yards long. After an abysmal Florida swing with his irons, Todd has gained in three consecutive events and will be looking to continue that trend at a lengthy resort course this week. Over […]

3 years ago

Kevin Na Relying On Short Game

Kevin Na's accuracy off the tee may not be as much of an asset at this week's venue in Mexico. He will have longer approaches than most of the field due to his lack of distance off the tee. However, he led the field in strokes gained approach at Augusta and continued his impressive iron […]

3 years ago

Jon Rahm A Great Course Fit

Arguably the best ball-striker on the planet, Jon Rahm heads to a golf course that suits his booming drives and precise long irons. The last time Rahm lost strokes off the tee at a PGA Tour stroke-play event was in August of 2019. His irons have been similarly impressive gaining 0.73 per round this season. […]

3 years ago

billy horschel PGA dfs lineup picks daily fantasy golf

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - RBC Heritage

Four wins in six starts for Masters champion and World No. 1, Scottie Scheffler! Just an incredible run of golf. Two weeks ago, we wrote about "Scottie's Notties" and how we were always the bridesmaid to him. Well, if you can't beat them, bet on the bride and hope he carries on breaking hearts around […]

3 years ago

Si Woo Kim Has Only One Missed Cut This Season

Si Woo Kim's course history at the RBC Heritage is a mixed bag, with two top-20s and two missed cuts in his five appearances here. Kim's last missed cut was in October 2021 at the Shriners Children's Open. He has quietly collected seven top-20s in his 16 starts this season by leaning on his consistency […]

3 years ago

Jason Kokrak Needs Putter To Perform This Week

Jason Kokrak has gained on approach in his last eight starts at Harbour Town but has missed three of his last four cuts courtesy of a disobedient putter. As one of the better putters on tour over the last two years, Kokrak will be looking to buck his poor putting trend at this venue. If […]

3 years ago

Brian Harman A Safe Play

With four top-30s in his last five RBC Heritage starts, Brian Harman is one of the safer plays this week. His lack of distance off the tee will be minimized and his accuracy exaggerated at a shorter Harbour Town Golf Links. Harman has gained over 1.5 strokes putting in his last nine appearances at this […]

3 years ago

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Robert Garcia24 mins ago

Dealing With Nerve Irritation In His Forearm
Jordan Binnington25 mins ago

To Start For Canada In 4 Nations Face-Off Opener
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Fully Healthy
Sidney Crosby35 mins ago

Good To Go Wednesday
Jordan Hicks38 mins ago

Gains 14 Pounds
Tom Murphy45 mins ago

A Full-Go For Spring Training
Kyle Harrison50 mins ago

To Compete For Rotation Spot
Jung Hoo Lee56 mins ago

A Full-Go For Spring Training
Seattle Seahawks2 hours ago

Saints Give Seahawks Permission To Interview Rick Dennison
NFL2 hours ago

Shedeur Sanders To Visit With Browns, Giants
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To Be Giants Closer
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Germaine Pratt Requests Trade Out Of Cincinnati
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Might Be Delayed Due To Shoulder Tightness
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100% With No Restrictions
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Re-Signs With Mets
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Marlins Agree To One-Year Deal With Cal Quantrill
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Throws Live Batting Practice On Wednesday
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Won't Pitch In Cactus League Games
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To Throw Off Mound On Wednesday
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To Have Hip Surgery
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To Get Another Year To Grow Into Closer Role
Zach Neto4 hours ago

Ahead Of Schedule
Gary Woodland4 hours ago

In Great Form Heading Into Genesis Invitational
Cameron Young4 hours ago

Is An Interesting Play At Torrey Pines
Akshay Bhatia5 hours ago

A Strong Value Play At Genesis Invitational
Sahith Theegala5 hours ago

Is Riding The Struggle Bus To Torrey Pines
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Looks For Redemption At Torrey Pines
Wyndham Clark5 hours ago

Searching For Consistency At Torrey Pines
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To Take His Time On Retirement Decision
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Aims To Repeat Success At Torrey Pines
Harris English6 hours ago

Looking To Repeat At Torrey Pines
Max Strus7 hours ago

May Miss Another Game On Wednesday
Ty Jerome8 hours ago

Listed As Questionable Wednesday
Collin Sexton8 hours ago

Remains Out Wednesday
P.J. Washington8 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Game
Nicolas Claxton8 hours ago

Carries A Questionable Tag Wednesday
Michael Porter Jr.8 hours ago

Iffy For Wednesday
Jamal Murray8 hours ago

Probable For Wednesday's Matchup
Trae Young8 hours ago

Likely To Play Against Knicks
Damian Lillard8 hours ago

Probable Wednesday
Boone Jenner9 hours ago

Expected To Return After International Break
Gustav Forsling9 hours ago

Moves Past Illness, Expected To Play On Wednesday
Sidney Crosby10 hours ago

Practicing With Team Canada
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Cleared To Play For Team Finland
Quinn Hughes10 hours ago

Sitting Out Of 4 Nations Face-Off
Travis Konecny10 hours ago

Returns To Practice, Expected To Play On Wednesday
New England Patriots18 hours ago

Patriots Have League-High $110 Million In Salary Cap Space
Tee Higgins18 hours ago

Franchise Tag Could Be In Play For Tee Higgins
Miami Dolphins18 hours ago

Dolphins Hire Bobby Slowik As Senior Pass-Game Coordinator
Tyler Lockett19 hours ago

Seahawks Still Deciding On Tyler Lockett's Future
Jonathon Brooks19 hours ago

Could Miss All Of 2025
Aaron Rodgers19 hours ago

Jets Were Willing To Stick With Aaron Rodgers Under Certain Stipulations
Austin Reaves19 hours ago

Should Play On Wednesday
LeBron James19 hours ago

Expected To Play On Wednesday
Jusuf Nurkić19 hours ago

Jusuf Nurkic Will Have Minutes Limit On Wednesday
Ben Simmons20 hours ago

Won't Suit Up On Wednesday
Bogdan Bogdanović20 hours ago

Bogdan Bogdanovic Cleared For Wednesday
Jalen Suggs20 hours ago

Doubtful To Play Against Hornets
Drew Eubanks20 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday
Dorian Finney-Smith20 hours ago

Unavailable On Wednesday
Vasilije Micić20 hours ago

Vasilije Micic Ruled Out Tuesday
Grayson Allen20 hours ago

Available Against Grizzlies
Maverick McNealy20 hours ago

A Volatile Play At Genesis Invitational
Scoot Henderson20 hours ago

Out On Wednesday
Dalton Knecht20 hours ago

Removed From Injury Report
Min Woo Lee20 hours ago

In Great Form Ahead Of Genesis Invitational
Viktor Hovland21 hours ago

A Solid Value Play At Torrey Pines
Rasmus Hojgaard21 hours ago

A Strong Play At Genesis Invitational
Scottie Scheffler22 hours ago

Aims For A Strong Rebound At Torrey Pines
Collin Morikawa1 day ago

An Excellent Play At Genesis Invitational
Matthew Wright1 day ago

 Signs Reserve/Future Contract With Panthers
Brandon Aiyuk1 day ago

Could Be Ready For Week 1
Shane Lowry1 day ago

Back In Action At Torrey Pines
Derek Carr1 day ago

Likely To Remain Saints Starter In 2025
PGA1 day ago

Sungjae Im Is A Highly Volatile Play With Persuasive Upside
Brock Purdy1 day ago

49ers Committed To Brock Purdy
NFL1 day ago

Kyle McCord A Potential Late-Round NFL Draft Sleeper
New Orleans Saints1 day ago

Brandon Staley The Leading Candidate To Become Saints Defensive Coordinator
Russell Henley1 day ago

Torrey Pines May Be A Place To Avoid Russell Henley
New Orleans Saints1 day ago

Saints Finalizing Deal With Kellen Moore For Head-Coaching Position
Nick Taylor1 day ago

Might Not Thrive At Torrey Pines
Adam Scott1 day ago

Is A Fun Long Shot At Genesis Invitational
Andrew Novak1 day ago

Tries To Repeat Torrey Pines Success
Robert MacIntyre1 day ago

Could Be Intriguing At Genesis Invitational
Kansas City Chiefs2 days ago

Nick Bolton Wants To Stay With Chiefs
New Orleans Saints2 days ago

Saints Expected To Have Interest In Brandon Staley For Defensive-Coordinator Role
Kirk Cousins2 days ago

Browns To Look At Kirk Cousins, Daniel Jones?
Deebo Samuel Sr.2 days ago

Bills, Chargers Among Teams That Could Be In Play For Deebo Samuel Sr.
MMA2 days ago

Weili Zhang Wins Decision In Co-Main Event Of UFC 312
Tatiana Suarez2 days ago

Takes Decision Loss
Justin Tafa2 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC 312
Tallison Teixeira2 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC 312
Francisco Prado2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC 312
Jake Matthews3 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC 312
Rodolfo Bellato3 days ago

Battles Back To Get A Draw At UFC 312
Jimmy Crute3 days ago

Fights To A Draw In Return At UFC 312
Sean Strickland3 days ago

Suffers Lopsided Decision Loss At UFC 312
Dricus Du Plessis3 days ago

Retains Middleweight Belt At UFC 312
Drew Doughty3 days ago

Joins Team Canada For 4 Nations Face-Off
Rasmus Ristolainen3 days ago

To Sit Out 4 Nations Face-Off
Jakub Dobes3 days ago

Starts On Sunday
Matias Maccelli3 days ago

Heads Back To Press Box Sunday
Connor Ingram3 days ago

Takes On Capitals Sunday
Logan Thompson3 days ago

Faces Utah On Sunday
Mathew Barzal3 days ago

To Miss Roughly Six Weeks
Lukas Dostal3 days ago

Stops 43 Shots In Victory
Thomas Harley3 days ago

Tallies Goal, Assist On Saturday
Matt Boldy3 days ago

Tallies Three Points On Saturday
Samuel Ersson3 days ago

Stands Tall Against Pittsburgh
Matthew Tkachuk3 days ago

Tallies Three Points In Victory
Thatcher Demko3 days ago

Exits Early On Saturday
MMA5 days ago

Weili Zhang Set For Third Title Defense
Tatiana Suarez5 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Tallison Teixeira5 days ago

Makes His UFC Debut At UFC 312
Justin Tafa5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC 312
Francisco Prado5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Jake Matthews6 days ago

Opens Up UFC 312 Main Card
Rodolfo Bellato6 days ago

Looks To Extend Win Streak At UFC 312
Jimmy Crute6 days ago

Ends Layoff At UFC 312
Sean Strickland6 days ago

Looks To Reclaim Middleweight Title At UFC 312
Dricus Du Plessis6 days ago

Puts Middleweight Title On The Line At UFC 312
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