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The Model Maniac

174 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Tyrrell Hatton Gaining Popularity With Good Course History

Tyrrell Hatton's only two top-10s on the PGA Tour came at the first and last regular season events he played in. Hatton has been rather disappointing this year not managing to put himself in contention enough. Hatton is trending towards being one of the more popular players in the $8K range, which is full of […]

2 years ago

Collin Morikawa A Fade At Non-Majors

Collin Morikawa averaged +0.52 strokes on and around the greens in the four 2022 majors. In the 39 non-major rounds with strokes gained data, he is averaging -0.52, which is a full shot per round worse. Although he is one of the best iron players in the world, major or non-major, this short game deficiency […]

2 years ago

Matt Fitzpatrick A Popular Play

After gaining +5.75 strokes on approach at the U.S. Open, Matt Fitzpatrick has averaged -0.44 on approach in his 20 rounds since. However, he still had finishes of T6, T21, T5, T48, and T15 over that span. He has one of the most well-rounded games on tour and will look to lean on his exceptionally […]

2 years ago

Back 9 Bets - Ep 37 - "Enter Sandman"

Byron (@TheModelManiac) breaks down the PGA DFS slate for the CJ Cup and shares his outright, placings, and matchup bets. With 15 of the world's 20 best players in the field, there are a lot of good golfers to consider this week. Be sure to subscribe to the Back 9 Bets YouTube Channel, part of RotoBaller […]

2 years ago

PGA DFS Picks and Live Bets- Round 4 Showdown for 2022 ZOZO Championship

For those of you who have been loyally supporting Breaking $100, my very first article for RotoBaller, thank you! Your support has been rewarded with a slew of additional articles heading your way each week. This article is going to take a look at showdown slates, round matchups, and potential outright/T20 adds after each completed […]

2 years ago

PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks and Live Bets for Round 3 - ZOZO Championship (2022)

For those of you who have been loyally supporting Breaking $100, my very first article for RotoBaller, thank you! Your support has been rewarded with a slew of additional articles heading your way each week. This article is going to take a look at showdown slates, round matchups, and potential outright/T20 adds after each completed […]

2 years ago

Cameron Young Looking To Get Back To Old Self

Cameron Young enters the week as the third-best ball striker over the last 24 rounds. Although he ended the season losing just under half a stroke per round on the greens, we can expect an improved putting performance after some time off to work on areas of concern. He had seven top-3s in his 25 […]

2 years ago

Viktor Hovland Chipping Away At Short Game

Viktor Hovland's short game is starting to look like the chip off the old 2021 season, where he was neutral around greens (-0.03), which is sadly the best season he has had around the greens as a professional. He has gained six total strokes in his 20 rounds since The Open Championship, with T35 his […]

2 years ago

Tom Kim Looking To Win Third Straight Regular Season Start

The Wyndham Championship and Shriners Children's Open are the last two regular season events that Tom Kim has played in and won. His precision off the tee and immaculate long iron play should have Kim right at the top of the leaderboard once again. If he can manage the extracurriculars of his win last week, […]

2 years ago

DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2022 ZOZO Championship (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Welcome back RotoBallers, and thanks for joining me for the 2022 ZOZO Championship where we will check out my favorite DraftKings DFS value plays for this week's PGA tournament. After an exciting win from Tom Kim at the Shriners Children's Open we head to […]

PREMIUM 2 years ago

FanDuel PGA DFS Lineup Picks: 2022 ZOZO Championship

Hello RotoBaller PGA crew! It's great to be back with you guys and I appreciate you joining us here at RotoBaller for your PGA DFS research. This week we'll dig into the FanDuel PGA DFS slate for the third event of the season. In this article, we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays […]

2 years ago

Emiliano Grillo - PGA DFS Picks, Golf Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy Golf

Breaking $100: PGA Golf Bets for the ZOZO Championship

Tom Kim! He has done it again, winning in back-to-back regular season starts. What an incredible performance from the youngster, who plays with poised passion that makes him incredibly easy to cheer for. He went bogey free all week and announced that he is going to be a contender on the PGA Tour for some […]

2 years ago

PGA Stat Buffet - DFS and Betting Research (ZOZO Championship)

The aim of this article is to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to play, what kind of skillsets matter most, and who are the best players in the field in those categories. To microwave the food analogy that will drizzle this article throughout, hopefully this piece takes you straight to […]

2 years ago

Back 9 Bets - Ep 38 - "Shriners, Drive-Ins, & Dives"

Byron (@TheModelManiac) breaks down the PGA DFS slate for the Shriners Children's Open and shares his outright, placings, and matchup bets. This episode once again had a special focus on his sneaky favorite Korn Ferry Tour players who will be making their third PGA Tour starts this week. Be sure to subscribe to the Back […]

2 years ago

DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2022 Shriners Children's Open (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Welcome back RotoBallers, and thanks for joining me for the 2022 Shriners Children's Open! My name is Byron Lindeque and in this article you will find my favorite DraftKings DFS value plays for this week's PGA tournament. I will be taking over this piece […]

PREMIUM 2 years ago

Emiliano Grillo - PGA DFS Picks, Golf Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy Golf

FanDuel PGA DFS Lineup Picks: 2022 Shriners Children's Open

Hello RotoBaller PGA crew! It's great to be back with you guys and I appreciate you joining us here at RotoBaller for your PGA DFS research. This week we'll dig into the FanDuel PGA DFS slate for the third event of the season. In this article, we'll discuss some of the standout PGA DFS plays […]

2 years ago

Emiliano Grillo - PGA DFS Picks, Golf Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy Golf

PGA Stat Buffet - The Model Maniac's Betting and DFS Research: Shriners Children's Open

It's an exciting time to be a Rotoballer premium subscriber as my workload at this fantastic company has been bulked up like Mackenzie Hughes' driving distance, with more weekly articles coming your way! This article is called the "Stat Buffet" where we are going to be trimming the fat off of many golfers' statistical profiles, […]

2 years ago

Taylor Montgomery - PGA DFS Lineup Picks, Daily Fantasy Golf

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Shriners Children's Open

Sepp Straka has been lucky enough to be the first to congratulate both Will Zalatoris and Mackenzie Hughes after their playoff victories ... against him. But, he seems to be playing much better golf lately and it will not be surprising to see him win another event this year. We still only have two events […]

2 years ago

Taylor Montgomery - PGA DFS Lineup Picks, Daily Fantasy Golf

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - Sanderson Farms Championship

It has been a hot minute since we last put together a Breaking $100 article, but the Sanderson Farms Championship has changed that this week. It is the second event of the new season and fall swing, which brings with it both opportunities and challenges in the betting market. I have found it challenging to […]

2 years ago

"Cooking With Gas" - Back 9 Bets Podcast (Episode 37)

Byron (@TheModelManiac) breaks down the PGA DFS slate for the Sanderson Farms Championship and shares his outright and matchup bets. This episode once again had a special focus on his sneaky favorite Korn Ferry Tour players who will be making their second PGA Tour starts this week. Be sure to subscribe to the Back 9 […]

2 years ago

Presidents Cup Cheat Sheet and Matchup Calculator

With very little actionable information to go off of before pairings were announced, we only made two bets in the prop market. The rest of money will come in the form of matchup bets throughout the week. The American team is absolutely stacked and finding any sort of value in the matchup market is going […]

2 years ago

Taylor Montgomery - PGA DFS Lineup Picks, Daily Fantasy Golf

PGA DFS and Betting Outlooks for The "Korn Ferry Fifty" - A Statistical Deep Dive

I have worked tirelessly to compile a database of Korn Ferry Tour data mixed together with PGA and DP World Tour data to help better analyze each golfer's statistical profile at a more detailed level. KFT data is extremely limited, so we have done our best to use it as advantageously as we could. This […]

2 years ago

"A Pen.drith Ink.ling" - Back 9 Bets Podcast (Episode 36)

Byron (@TheModelManiac) breaks down the PGA DFS slate for the Fortinet Championship and shares his outright bets. This episode had a special focus on his sneaky favorite Korn Ferry Tour players who will be making their first PGA Tour starts this week. Be sure to subscribe to the Back 9 Bets YouTube Channel, part of RotoBaller […]

2 years ago

Breaking $100: PGA Betting Picks and Strategy - BMW Championship

It was a weird article last week, with major news on Cam Smith hitting the airwaves shortly after publishing the article. He managed to ignore most outside noise of his imminent departure to LIV and strolled into Sunday as the betting favorite...before getting a two-shot penalty assessed for an improper drop on Saturday, all but […]

2 years ago

Tom Kim Gaining On Approach In 15 Consecutive Rounds

Tom Kim has gained strokes on approach in 15 consecutive rounds, gaining 1.4 strokes per round. He has below-average distance off the tee, but since playing on Tour this year, he has averaged a quarter of a stroke off the tee while leading this field in accuracy. His incredibly consistent ball-striking has seen him finish […]

2 years ago

Denny McCarthy Continues To Be High-Risk, High-Reward

At $7,000, Denny McCarthy has four top-20 finishes and three missed cuts in his last seven starts. His volatile approach play, complemented by a putter that has gained just shy of 100 strokes this year, makes McCarthy an intriguing cheaper option. He played over-par golf last weekend and still managed to finish T20 as a […]

2 years ago

Sam Burns Eyeing Fourth Win Of Season

At a course that will favor length, accurate short irons and great bent-grass putters, Sam Burns has an advantage. His driver has been a little errant lately, but the rest of his game suits this course well and he is going relatively under-owned in his price range. Burns has won three times this season, with […]

2 years ago

Sungje Im Offers Discounted Upside

Sungjae Im enters the week with back-to-back second-place finishes and a T12. Since his return from The Open, he has averaged 2.73 strokes gained per round, striking the ball exceptionally while spiking with his putter. He finds himself at a slightly steeper price than public favorite Cameron Young, making him an ideal pivot at half […]

2 years ago

Tyrrell Hatton Has Putting Upside

Tyrrell Hatton is understandably low-owned in fantasy, as his top-10 finish at the Wyndham two weeks ago was his first top-10 result since March. Hatton has typically thrived on courses with longer approach shots, which makes his recent improvements on approach tough to trust heading to a course where he will find himself in proximity […]

2 years ago

Jon Rahm Lacking Upside Relative To Ownership

Jon Rahm enters the week with the sixth-worst long-term proximity numbers from 100-150 yards, where a player with his length on this golf course will find himself the majority of the time. He is currently projected as one of the highest-owned players in DFS, with others around him who are relatively less-owned offering much more […]

2 years ago

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Will Miss At Least Two More Weeks
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