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Sean Wrona - RotoBaller

657 articles

I ran the auto racing statistical archive race-database.com from 2007 to 2015 and have been doing advanced auto racing analytics since 2013, mostly on my website Racermetrics. I was generally regarded as the fastest typist in the world throughout the 2010s, being most famous for winning the Ultimate Typing Championship at the South by Southwest Interactive conference in 2010. In 2021, I released my first book, Nerds per Minute: A History of Competitive Typing. I am currently doing research for a second book where I intend to rank the top 1,000 drivers in motorsports history and have built several statistical models to rank drivers across various motorsports series. I have just recently launched a blog at http://seanwrona.substack.com/ where I am releasing one driver capsule a day for my book if you are interested in subscribing. I earned a BA in Economics and an MPS in Applied Statistics from Cornell University in 2007 and 2008 respectively. I also am an expert-rated tournament Scrabble player. In high school, I was the statistician for the Mensa Scrabble-by-Mail Special Interest Group and wrote a 15-20 page column in that group's newsletter every other month. As you can see, I've been at this for a quarter century already.

Articles

Chase Briscoe Has Great Run At Martinsville

Chase Briscoe had easily his best run of the season at Martinsville on Sunday en route to a 10th-place finish. Teammate Ryan Preece passed him at the end because he took tires on the final caution, and Briscoe did not. However, Briscoe ranked sixth in speed, had an average running position of eighth, and easily […]

12 months ago

Alex Bowman Still Solid Despite Teammates' Podium Sweep

Sunday's Martinsville race commemorated the 40th anniversary of Hendrick Motorsports' first win. Alex Bowman saw his teammates sweep the podium, but he enjoyed one of his best runs of the season while finishing eighth. Bowman ran in the top 10 for almost the entire race and had an average running position of eighth. He also […]

12 months ago

Joey Logano Had Best Pit Strategy But Lacked Winning Speed at Martinsville

Joey Logano had an extremely consistent run at Martinsville yesterday, both starting and finishing sixth and ranking seventh in speed. Although he outran his defending champion teammate, Ryan Blaney, for most of the race, Blaney ran better in the final stage and ended up beating Logano by a single position. Logano led most of Stage […]

12 months ago

Kyle Larson Fastest at Martinsville But Not When It Mattered

Kyle Larson won his second consecutive pole at Martinsville yesterday and led the entire first stage without being passed, but was unable to convert that into a race victory. On the stage break caution on lap 86, he took four tires while Joey Logano took two and Larson couldn't make it back to the lead […]

12 months ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. On Pace For Slowest Ever Season

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. is plodding through quite a rough patch right now. His current speed percentile of 29.42 ranks fourth from last in the NASCAR Cup Series this year. Stenhouse has had below-average speed in every race except the Daytona 500 and it raises the question whether Chevrolet shifted some of its investment away from […]

12 months ago

Zane Smith Begins Martinsville 24th On Sunday

After Richmond, Zane Smith overtook Daniel Hemric to become the slowest full-time driver of 2024 with a speed percentile of 16.93. However, he will start 24th at Martinsville. The Spire Motorsports driver ranked higher in his round of qualifying. Smith has never competed at Martinsville in the NASCAR Cup Series, but he did win here […]

12 months ago

Short Tracks Remain Michael McDowell's Greatest Weakness

Michael McDowell qualified 35th for Sunday's Martinsville race and this is one of his worst tracks historically. McDowell's average finish stands at 28.4 and he has never finished better than 14th at Martinsville. Front Row Sports' top driver and short tracks have not mixed. Although he usually outruns his teammate Todd Gilliland, short tracks are […]

12 months ago

Carson Hocevar Quickest For Spire But Starts 25th Sunday

Carson Hocevar was the fastest qualifier of the three Spire Motorsports drivers for Sunday's Cook Out 400 at Martinsville. However, he will be starting one position behind his teammate Zane Smith because Smith finished higher in his qualifying group. Hocevar had an extremely mediocre run at Martinsville last year, finishing 31st four laps down and […]

12 months ago

Daniel Hemric Faster But Not Fast Enough

Daniel Hemric overtook Zane Smith to not be in last place in speed percentile this year at Richmond last weekend, but his speed percentile of 17.87 still ranks second worst in the Cup Series and even at Richmond, he was only faster than 20% of the other cars in that race. Hemric was solid at […]

12 months ago

Kaz Grala Best On Short Tracks But Not At Martinsville

Kaz Grala makes his NASCAR Cup Series debut at Martinsville. While the Rick Ware Racing driver had decent speed at Richmond, don't expect him to repeat that feat at Martinsville. This is because his average finish of 21.5 in the Xfinity Series and an average finish of 17.0 in the Craftsman Truck Series. Short tracks […]

12 months ago

Harrison Burton Starts 34th From Martinsville On Sunday

Harrison Burton starts 34th at Martinsville on Sunday, far off his three de facto Penske teammates who all qualified in the top fifteen. Like Austin Cindric, Burton has been much closer to his stronger 2022 speed than his weaker 2023 speed this year, but short tracks remain Burton's Achilles' heel. He has never finished better […]

12 months ago

Austin Cindric Has Issues On Short Tracks Like Martinsville

Austin Cindric qualified 14th for tomorrow's Martinsville race. Although he was generally much faster in 2022 than in 2023, he did have his best ever Martinsville finish in the 2023 fall event when he finished 9th. However, he is not particularly known for his short track prowess. Cindric had below average speed at both Bristol […]

12 months ago

Bubba Wallace's Late-Race Contact With Kyle Larson Ends Up Hurting Him

Bubba Wallace had a very strong run at Richmond this past weekend with an average running position of sixth, his best on a short track since the previous Richmond race last summer. He ranked fifth in driver rating at 102.6 and seventh in average speed. Wallace was running fifth before spinning out Kyle Larson in […]

12 months ago

Chase Elliott Not As Fast As Finish Shows At Richmond

Chase Elliott showed his fastest recent pace at times in this past weekend's Richmond race, where his second-place qualifying run was his best since the 2022 fall Martinsville race. He was very fast in the wet portion of the Toyota Owners 400, taking the lead from teammate Kyle Larson on the opening lap before Larson […]

12 months ago

Christopher Bell Had Right Strategy, But Penalty Took Him Out At Richmond

Christopher Bell attempted a similar strategy to his Joe Gibbs Racing teammate, Denny Hamlin, the eventual winner of Sunday night's Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond, but it fell short largely because Bell sped in the pits on his penultimate pit stop. Although Bell did not have the speed of his other teammate, Martin Truex, Jr., […]

12 months ago

Daniel Hemric Will Likely Continue To Be Slow at Richmond

Daniel Hemric has been the slowest full-time driver of 2024 with a speed percentile of 17.51. Don't expect that to change much after today's race at Richmond as he qualified a mere 34th only ahead of the Rick Ware cars of Kaz Grala and Justin Haley. Although Hemric finished all three of starts at Richmond, […]

12 months ago

Justin Haley's Momentum Derailed by Effects of COTA Disqualification

Although Justin Haley delivered two of Rick Ware Racing's best-ever performances in his last two races, earning the team the best average running position in back-to-back events, his last race at Circuit of the Americas was overshadowed by a post-race disqualification when it was revealed that his car was too light. The last-place finish culminated […]

12 months ago

Kaz Grala's Strong Xfinity Series Richmond Record Probably Won't Help Him in Cup

Kaz Grala will be making his first NASCAR Cup Series start at Richmond this weekend, and Richmond was actually one of Grala's most productive tracks in the Xfinity Series, as he scored top-10 finishes in his last three starts there culminating in a fourth-place finish at last year's spring event, tying for his best career […]

12 months ago

Ty Dillon Returns to Action, but is Subpar on Short Tracks

Ty Dillon makes his debut in the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series this weekend at Richmond for Kaulig Racing, but don't expect him to do much. Similarly to Harrison Burton and Austin Cindric, Dillon has finished every race at Richmond he's started but has never led a lap or really done anything in his past races. […]

12 months ago

Austin Cindric Mediocre at Richmond and Poor Ford Speed Won't Help

Austin Cindric has not been particularly strong at Richmond. Although he has finished all five of his attempts, he has never finished on the lead lap, led a lap, or posted a result better than 12th. His average finish of 22.8 is below average even though the Fords were generally strong in most of those […]

12 months ago

Harrison Burton Not a Master of Richmond Unlike Father Jeff

Although Jeff Burton led more laps at Richmond International Raceway than any other track, his son Harrison has not been nearly as successful. Although Harrison Burton has finished all four of his Richmond starts, he has never finished better than 18th or led a lap in any of his Richmond races to date. This weekend, […]

12 months ago

Shane van Gisbergen Comes Down to Earth After Mediocre COTA Run

Because of his blockbuster Supercars career, his Chicago Street Course win, and his Xfinity Series near-miss on Saturday, NASCAR analysts likely had overinflated expectations for Shane van Gisbergen's race at Circuit of the Americas. He won at Chicago largely because none of the then-NASCAR Cup Series regulars had experience there and he had vastly more […]

1 year ago

Ross Chastain Ran Well at COTA as Usual Despite Late-Race Fade

Although Ross Chastain tends to struggle at many of the other road courses (particularly the rovals), he has consistently been a master at the Circuit of the Americas, where he now has a career average finish of 4.0 despite posting his worst-ever finish of seventh in the race on Sunday. Although Chastain faded in the […]

1 year ago

Christopher Bell's Furious Charge Falls Just Short at COTA

Christopher Bell used an offbeat pit strategy to his advantage and finish second at Circuit of the Americas on Sunday. While most drivers pitted immediately before the pits closed in Stages 1 and 2 so they would inherit the lead after the erstwhile leaders pitted under caution, Bell waited until Stage 2 to ensure he […]

1 year ago

Bubba Wallace Improving in Road Course Pace and Results

For most of Bubba Wallace's career, road courses were his Achilles heel, but he's been getting better at them. At COTA last year, Wallace ranked second in practice to his teammate Tyler Reddick for quite a while. Although he only qualified 11th and crashed in the race, his speed that weekend was the most he'd […]

1 year ago

Zane Smith Unlikely to Repeat Truck Series Performances at COTA

Zane Smith makes his first Circuit of the Americas start in the Cup Series this weekend. Although he qualified back in 34th for this weekend's EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix, he did have a great deal of success at this track in the Truck Series, where he won in both 2022 and 2023. In the 2022 […]

1 year ago

Carson Hocevar Benefiting from Improved Spire Speed

Carson Hocevar starts 18th for this weekend's race at Circuit of the Americas, outqualifying fellow rookies Josh Berry and Zane Smith. However, Hocevar's teammate, Corey LaJoie, was the biggest surprise in qualifying, as LaJoie's fifth-place qualifying run was easily the best of his career. Spire is clearly getting significantly more manufacturer support from Chevrolet and […]

1 year ago

Don't Count on Daniel Hemric Having Speed at COTA

Although the Kaulig Racing cars dominated the NASCAR Xfinity Series race at Circuit of the Americas on Saturday, the same did not hold true in NASCAR Cup Series qualifying, as Daniel Hemric will be starting 33rd for Sunday's EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix. He was the slowest Chevrolet driver in the first round of qualifying. Hemric […]

1 year ago

Road Courses Not Harrison Burton's Strength

Although Harrison Burton did score his best career finish in the NASCAR Cup Series on a road course in the Indianapolis GP in 2022 with a third-place finish, that is an outlier for him in general, as he is not particularly known as a road racer. This weekend the series is at Circuit of the […]

1 year ago

Chase Briscoe Let Down by Ford Speed Deficit

Chase Briscoe has been a solid performer at Circuit of the Americas but it may be tough for him to run as well in this weekend's EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix. In the first COTA race in 2021, Briscoe finished sixth, matching his best finish in his rookie season. The following year he finished 30th, but […]

1 year ago

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Orlando Arcia2 hours ago

Resting On Friday
Jake Rogers2 hours ago

Heading To The Bench
Miguel Amaya2 hours ago

Taking A Seat On Friday
Kyle Freeland2 hours ago

Tosses Six Scoreless Innings
Detroit Lions2 hours ago

Lions Re-Sign Kayode Awosika
Kameron Misner2 hours ago

Smacks Walk-Off Homer
Irvin Charles2 hours ago

Jets Re-Sign Irvin Charles
Green Bay Packers2 hours ago

Kristian Welch Signs With Green Bay
Pittsburgh Steelers3 hours ago

Jeremiah Moon Heading To Pittsburgh
Teagan Quitoriano3 hours ago

Falcons Sign Teagan Quitoriano
3 hours ago

Tetairoa McMillan Scheduled To Visit With Panthers
Baltimore Ravens3 hours ago

Ravens Reach Three-Year Contract Extension With John Harbaugh
Duncan Robinson3 hours ago

To Miss Third Straight Game Due To Back Issue
Andrew Wiggins3 hours ago

Will Not Play On Saturday
Cole Anthony3 hours ago

Doubtful To Play On Saturday
Walker Kessler4 hours ago

Misses Friday's Game
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Iffy For Saturday's Action
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Mets Designate Alexander Canario For Assignment
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Ready To Return To Action Saturday
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To Miss At Least Two More Games
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Available Against Knicks
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Back In Action Friday
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Oscar Colas Clears Waivers, Opening Campaign At Triple-A
Cole Sillinger5 hours ago

Returns To Blue Jackets Lineup
Clayton Kershaw5 hours ago

To Face Hitters On Saturday
Patrick Corbin5 hours ago

Rangers Option Patrick Corbin To Triple-A
Alex Pietrangelo5 hours ago

To Miss At Least Two More Games
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Not Listed On Injury Report For Saturday
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Tigers Acquire Brewer Hicklen From Brewers
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Questionable For Saturday Night
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Diamondbacks Sign Brandon Pfaadt To Five-Year Extension
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To Undergo Surgery
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Starting In Left Field Against Mariners
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Out Versus Pistons On Friday
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Heads To Bench In Second Game
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Going On Injured List With Fractured Ankle
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Unavailable For Friday's Matchup With Detroit
Las Vegas Raiders6 hours ago

Devin White Signs With Las Vegas
Lauri Markkanen6 hours ago

Sidelined Again On Friday
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Gets Vote Of Confidence From Chris Ballard
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Looking Forward To Playing With Drake Maye
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Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
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A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
Jacksonville Jaguars10 hours ago

Jaguars Cut Dieter Eiselen
Hunter Renfrow10 hours ago

Visits Panthers
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Set For Co-Main Event
Drew Dober11 hours ago

An Underdog At UFC Mexico City
New England Patriots11 hours ago

Patriots Expected To Release Ja'Whaun Bentley
Joe Pyfer11 hours ago

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Kelvin Gastelum11 hours ago

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Raul Rosas Jr.11 hours ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Kansas City Chiefs11 hours ago

Chiefs Re-Sign Nazeeh Johnson
Saimon Oliveira11 hours ago

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Ronaldo Rodríguez12 hours ago

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13 hours ago

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NFL13 hours ago

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Scores Twice On Thursday
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Stops 46 Shots Against Calgary
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Scores Twice, Adds Assist On Thursday
Nikita Kucherov16 hours ago

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Connor Zary16 hours ago

Departs Thursday's Game Early
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Atlanta Falcons1 day ago

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1 day ago

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Matt Rempe1 day ago

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Expected To Be Available Friday
Mikael Backlund1 day ago

Ready To Return Thursday
Rasmus Andersson1 day ago

Good To Go Against Stars
Joel Kiviranta1 day ago

Misses Thursday's Game
Jason Zucker1 day ago

Unavailable Against Penguins
Evgeni Malkin1 day ago

Out On Thursday
Carolina Panthers1 day ago

Cade Mays Back With Panthers On One-Year Contract
Philadelphia Eagles1 day ago

Matt Pryor Agrees To One-Year Deal With Eagles
Leo Carlsson2 days ago

Scores Twice On Wednesday
Jake Oettinger2 days ago

Stops 41 Shots On Wednesday
Jason Robertson2 days ago

Scores Natural Hat Trick In Victory
Jhonattan Vegas2 days ago

Not A Good Play At Houston Open
Gary Woodland2 days ago

A Dark-Horse Candidate At Houston Open
Nick Taylor2 days ago

Keep An Eye On Nick Taylor At Houston Open
Mackenzie Hughes2 days ago

Avoid Mackenzie Hughes At Houston Open
Nicolai Hojgaard2 days ago

Looking To Rebound At Houston Open
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Returns To Houston Looking For Year's First Victory
Rory McIlroy3 days ago

Making Additional Start At Houston Open To Prepare For Augusta
Doug Ghim3 days ago

Looking For Iron Form In Houston
Aaron Rai3 days ago

Keep An Eye On Aaron Rai At Houston Open
Si Woo Kim3 days ago

Looks To Build On Recent History At Memorial Park
Harry Hall3 days ago

Looking For Consistency At Texas Children’s Houston Open
Harris English3 days ago

Looking To Build Off Solid Finish At The PLAYERS
Sahith Theegala3 days ago

A Risky Option At Texas Children’s Houston Open
Alex Smalley3 days ago

A Strong Play At Texas Children’s Houston Open
Michael Kim3 days ago

Bounces Back At Valspar Championship
PGA3 days ago

Sungjae Im Looking For Bounce-Back Performance At Texas Children’s Houston Open
Austin Eckroat3 days ago

A Player To Avoid At Texas Children's Houston Open
PGA3 days ago

Nico Echavarria A Volatile Option At Texas Children's Houston Open
Joe Highsmith3 days ago

Continues Post-Win Success And Is Looking For More In Houston
Adam Hadwin3 days ago

Far From Good Form As He Heads To Texas
Ben Griffin4 days ago

Looking For Consistency At Houston Open
Sean Brady4 days ago

Dominates At UFC London
MMA4 days ago

Leon Edward Dominated At UFC London
Carlos Ulberg4 days ago

Extends His Win Streak
Jan Blachowicz4 days ago

Outpointed At UFC London
Gunnar Nelson4 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC London
Kevin Holland4 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Molly McCann4 days ago

Retires After UFC London Submission Loss
Alexia Thainara4 days ago

Wins Her UFC Debut
Chris Duncan4 days ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC London
NASCAR4 days ago

Bubba Wallace Earns New Career-Best Finish At Homestead
Alex Bowman4 days ago

Falls Short Of Winning At Homestead
William Byron4 days ago

Has An Underwhelming Day At Homestead
Chris Buescher4 days ago

Earns A New Career-Best Finish At Homestead
Ryan Preece4 days ago

Scores His Second Consecutive Top-10 Finish Of 2025 At Homestead
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

Savvy Pit Strategy Helps Denny Hamlin Win Stage 2 At Homestead
Chase Briscoe5 days ago

Moves Above Playoff Cut Line With Fourth-Place Finish
Joey Logano5 days ago

Misses Top 10 Again After Pit-Road Spin
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Underachieves But Still Finishes Eighth
Justin Haley5 days ago

Earns First Non-Drafting Oval Top-10 Finish For Spire Motorsports
Alex Bowman6 days ago

Earns First Non-Drafting Superspeedway Pole Since 2016
Denny Hamlin6 days ago

Poor Las Vegas Run Suggests He Might Be Overvalued For Homestead
Joey Logano6 days ago

Recent Homestead Record Misleading Due To Past Playoff Situations
Josh Berry6 days ago

Probably Needs To Lead To Have DFS Value
Daniel Suarez6 days ago

Poor Qualifying Makes Him A Strong DFS Option
Shane Van Gisbergen6 days ago

Likely Too Inexperienced To Gain Many Positions At Homestead
Austin Cindric6 days ago

Increased Staying Power In Races May Make Him More Valuable
Ricky Stenhouse Jr6 days ago

. Unlikely To Gain Enough Positions For DFS Value
NASCAR6 days ago

John Hunter Nemechek Delivers His Second-Best Qualifying Run At Homestead
Cole Custer6 days ago

Has Been Hapless At Homestead In Cup Series
JJ Yeley6 days ago

J.J. Yeley Needs Attrition To Gain Positions At Homestead
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