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Sean Wrona - RotoBaller

555 articles

I ran the auto racing statistical archive race-database.com from 2007 to 2015 and have been doing advanced auto racing analytics since 2013, mostly on my website Racermetrics. I was generally regarded as the fastest typist in the world throughout the 2010s, being most famous for winning the Ultimate Typing Championship at the South by Southwest Interactive conference in 2010. In 2021, I released my first book, Nerds per Minute: A History of Competitive Typing. I am currently doing research for a second book where I intend to rank the top 1,000 drivers in motorsports history and have built several statistical models to rank drivers across various motorsports series. I have just recently launched a blog at http://seanwrona.substack.com/ where I am releasing one driver capsule a day for my book if you are interested in subscribing. I earned a BA in Economics and an MPS in Applied Statistics from Cornell University in 2007 and 2008 respectively. I also am an expert-rated tournament Scrabble player. In high school, I was the statistician for the Mensa Scrabble-by-Mail Special Interest Group and wrote a 15-20 page column in that group's newsletter every other month. As you can see, I've been at this for a quarter century already.

Articles

Martin Truex Jr. Uncompetitive In Duel Race But Still Makes Daytona 500

Martin Truex Jr. had already advanced to the Daytona 500 on the basis of his qualifying time, thereby locking his Tricon Garage entry into the race, but he seldom factored into the first Duel race, where he started 12th, finished 15th, and rarely was anywhere near contention on a night his fellow Toyota drivers like […]

8 hours ago

Justin Allgaier Advances To Daytona 500

Although it looked a little precarious for a moment, Justin Allgaier did advance to the Daytona 500 by finishing ninth in the first Duel race, finishing highest among the five non-chartered drivers to give his JR Motorsport team its first start in the NASCAR Cup Series. Although everyone expected him to advance over J.J. Yeley […]

8 hours ago

Ty Dillon Surprisingly Battles For The Win In First Duel Race

Although Ty Dillon has always been lightly regarded, he matched his best-ever NASCAR Cup Series finish of third on his full-time debut with Kaulig Racing in Thursday's first Duel race. He has had moments on drafting tracks before and earned both of his top-five finishes in point races at Daytona and Talladega and even earned […]

8 hours ago

B.J. McLeod Doesn't Have The Speed To Make The Daytona 500

After selling his charter to Live Fast Motorsports, B.J. McLeod finished 17th in Thursday's second Duel race and suffered his second consecutive DNQ in the Daytona 500, which hardly came as a surprise. Even with the estimated $40 million he received from selling his charter, Live Fast still does not have a great deal of […]

8 hours ago

J.J. Yeley Misses Second Straight Daytona 500

Although J.J. Yeley initially looked like a long shot to advance into the Daytona 500, considering he drives for the historically subpar NY Racing Team, Yeley ran surprisingly well in the first duel race as he and Justin Allgaier ran together for large portions of the event and Yeley was even ahead for a while […]

8 hours ago

Chase Briscoe Earns Toyota's First Daytona 500 Pole

Chase Briscoe kicked off his Joe Gibbs Racing stint with a bang by unexpectedly winning the pole for Sunday's Daytona 500, earning Toyota's first pole in the Great American Race since the marque entered the NASCAR Cup Series in 2007. Although on the surface this might appear surprising, Briscoe previously won the pole for the […]

1 day ago

Justin Allgaier Attempts To Make JR Motorsports's NASCAR Cup Series Debut

After winning a long-overdue NASCAR Xfinity Championship in 2024 for JR Motorsports, Justin Allgaier was rewarded by getting the opportunity to drive JRM's first-ever NASCAR Cup Series entry for next Sunday's Daytona 500 in the No. 40 car, sponsored for this race by country star Chris Stapleton's Traveller Whiskey brand. Although he only qualified 33rd […]

1 day ago

Jimmie Johnson Outqualifies Teammates To Advance To Daytona 500

Jimmie Johnson clinched a spot in Sunday's Daytona 500 by qualifying 29th in Daytona 500 qualifying on Wednesday evening, which ranked second among drivers for non-chartered teams. Johnson's qualifying run was impressive, as he outqualified both of his full-time drivers Erik Jones and John Hunter Nemechek while tying his Toyota stablemate Bubba Wallace in qualifying, […]

1 day ago

B.J. McLeod Likely Needs Attrition To Make Daytona 500

Although B.J. McLeod missed last year's Daytona 500 after he sold his Live Fast Motorsports charter to Spire Motorsports at the end of the 2023 season, he's trying to qualify for the race again this year, but his odds likely aren't much better. He qualified only 43rd in yesterday's qualifying session and posted by far […]

1 day ago

Competition In First Duel Race Likely Too Stout For Chandler Smith To Make Daytona 500

Although Chandler Smith was undeservedly demoted from the Xfinity Series to the Craftsman Truck Series in 2025, he got another opportunity to enter the Daytona 500 this year but seems unlikely to qualify for the second straight year, particularly after his car chief was ejected when the No. 66 team failed inspection. Now driving for […]

1 day ago

Tyler Reddick Lacks Speed Of Other Championship 4 Contenders But Drives Well

Tyler Reddick finished fourth in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs after finishing sixth in the season finale at Phoenix. He spent most of the race in the back half of the top ten and never really had the speed of even William Byron, let alone Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney, who were the two fastest […]

3 months ago

William Byron Finishes Third In Phoenix Race And Championship

William Byron was arguably lucky to make it to the final round of the NASCAR playoffs at Phoenix on Sunday after Christopher Bell was penalized last week at Martinsville, but he did his best and posed a stout challenge to Joey Logano and Ryan Blaney, the Penske drivers who finished first and second in the […]

3 months ago

Daniel Suarez Once Again Far Off Ross Chastain's Pace At Phoenix

Even though Daniel Suarez made the playoffs and Ross Chastain did not, Suarez has been shockingly slow at times this season and his speed percentile of 39.06 is a massive 27 points off of Chastain's 66.29. This trend continued in Phoenix qualifying yesterday after Suarez qualified 34th while Chastain (who won last year's race) was […]

3 months ago

John Hunter Nemechek Consistently Mediocre At Phoenix

John Hunter Nemechek has been very consistent in his previous races at Phoenix Raceway. Unfortunately, this is an example of how consistency isn't always a good thing. In his four previous NASCAR Cup Series starts at Phoenix, Nemechek has finished between 25th and 27th in all of them and has been nowhere near competitive. His […]

3 months ago

Michael McDowell Matches Worst Qualifying Run Of 2024 At His Home Track

Although he finished the 2024 season as the NASCAR Cup Series pole leader, Michael McDowell's qualifying run in his last race for Front Row Motorsports was quite the opposite as his 35th-place qualifying run matches his worst of the season from the spring Martinsville race. The poor qualifying run is rather puzzling, as McDowell's last […]

3 months ago

Jimmie Johnson Faster Than Usual In Qualifying

Jimmie Johnson is arguably the second-greatest Phoenix driver of all time behind only Kevin Harvick, but all four of his wins came at the height of his championship power run in 2007-2009 and he has not raced there since the 2020 season finale, his last race as a full-time driver where he did manage his […]

3 months ago

Daniel Hemric May Overachieve At Phoenix To Help Land 2025 Offer

Daniel Hemric delivered his all-time career highlight when he won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series championship at Phoenix and scored his only national series win in so doing, but in the NASCAR Cup Series, he hasn't been so hot. Although he has earned two top twenty finishes, he has never finished better than 17th for […]

3 months ago

Justin Haley Earns Best Starting Position At Phoenix

Justin Haley qualified 13th for Sunday's race at Phoenix, beating both of his Spire Motorsports teammates Carson Hocevar and Zane Smith. Although Haley has finished all seven of his previous races at Phoenix, he has only finished better than 24th once, when he finished 17th in the March 2022 event. It is possible that his […]

3 months ago

Noah Gragson Closes Out Stewart-Haas Racing Career With Average Qualifying Run

Noah Gragson qualified 21st for Stewart-Haas Racing's last ever race at Phoenix on Sunday. He was actually pretty fast there in the spring event as he started seventh, finished 12th, matched his best average running position of the season, and had his fifth-best driver rating. Nonetheless, it seems like he's gone through the motions somewhat […]

3 months ago

Todd Gilliland Lacks Speed This Weekend

Todd Gilliland qualified a lackluster 32nd in a race where his outgoing Front Row Motorsports teammate Michael McDowell qualified an even worse 35th. Gilliland had speed in the March event at Phoenix, where he led the only 14 laps for a non-Toyota driver after long-pitting, although he faded to 17th at the end. Besides that […]

3 months ago

Austin Dillon Sometimes Fast On Short Tracks, But Not At Phoenix

Austin Dillon's only good runs seem to happen at shorter ovals these days, such as his sixth-place finish at Gateway, his win at Richmond, and last week's seventh-place finish at Martinsville, although he was stripped of 50 points in that race for following Chevrolet's manufacturer orders to stay behind William Byron to help him advance […]

3 months ago

Phoenix Is Kyle Busch's Last Chance To Extend Winning-Season Streak

Sunday's race at Phoenix marks Kyle Busch's last chance to extend his record streak of 19 consecutive winning seasons in the NASCAR Cup Series to 20. However, the odds of him doing that seem astronomically remote given that he starts 25th, and the Richard Childress Racing cars have not seemed to have winning speed on […]

3 months ago

Jeb Burton Returns To Cup Series With Dangerously Slow Team AmeriVet

Jeb Burton surprisingly makes his return to NASCAR Cup Series action with Team AmeriVet, which has not started a race since Ty Dillon drove for them in the Coca-Cola 600. Burton's No. 50 team failed inspection four times, was not allowed to set a qualifying time, and will have to serve a stop-and-go penalty under […]

3 months ago

Alex Bowman Has Rarely Shined At Phoenix Since His 2016 Breakout

Alex Bowman first attracted significant attention in the NASCAR Cup Series at Phoenix in 2016 when he won the pole and led 194 laps en route to a sixth-place finish. That race now stands out as an extremely bizarre outlier in his career as not only does that remain his highest laps led count, he […]

3 months ago

Speeding Penalty Foils Martin Truex Jr.'s Last Realistic Shot At Winning

Since Phoenix isn't really one of Martin Truex Jr.'s best tracks while Martinsville is, Sunday likely marked Truex's last chance to win in the NASCAR Cup Series. Although he won the pole and led the first 41 laps of the race, he sped on his first pit stop before later being involved in a crash […]

3 months ago

Denny Hamlin Fails To Advance To Championship 4 But Runs Well

After crashing in practice and not registering a qualifying time, Denny Hamlin's odds of advancing to the Championship 4 in the NASCAR playoffs were unbelievably remote entering the race, especially since he was below the playoff cut line and would likely have to win. Although his car was sufficiently repaired and he had speed, he […]

3 months ago

Shane van Gisbergen Earns Best Oval Finish at Martinsville

Shane van Gisbergen earned his best-ever oval finish in the NASCAR Cup Series in Sunday's race at Martinsville. Although he still didn't run very well since his average running position was 25th and he only had the 21st-best driver rating in a race where his teammate Daniel Hemric honestly ran better, he stayed out of […]

3 months ago

William Byron Tentatively In Championship 4 Pending Ruling On Manufacturer Orders

William Byron didn't necessarily need to win at Martinsville to advance to the Championship 4, but if a driver below the cutline won, Byron needed to overcome a 22-point deficit to Christopher Bell, which seemed unlikely. Byron ran well and led 51 laps but got overtaken by Kyle Larson on the lap 406 restart and […]

3 months ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Too Slow To Contend At Martinsville

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. has had a low-key bad season in the NASCAR Cup Series despite his win at Talladega, and it's hard to envision that changing at Martinsville, a track where he starts 28th, has never led a lap, and has never finished better than eighth. About the only good thing about Stenhouse's career at […]

3 months ago

John Hunter Nemechek May Be More Motivated At Martinsville If His Ride Is At Stake

There are unconfirmed rumors swirling that John Hunter Nemechek will be replaced for 2025 even though he is technically still signed for next year. While Corey Heim's Craftsman Truck Series success does suggest this could be a real possibility, the sources of the rumors don't seem very reliable. If Nemechek is on the hotseat, however, […]

3 months ago

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

NASCAR44 mins ago

Bubba Wallace Collects First Career Daytona 500 Duel Victory
Anthony Alfredo45 mins ago

Underwhelming Performance Makes Him Miss The Daytona 500
Corey Lajoie48 mins ago

Corey LaJoie Races Into The Daytona 500 With A Top-10 Duel Finish
Helio Castroneves49 mins ago

Will Use The Open Exemption Provisional To Race At Daytona
Chandler Smith50 mins ago

Crashes Out Of Daytona Duel No. 1 And Misses The Daytona 500
Austin Cindric3 hours ago

Wins Second Duel Before Daytona 500
Erik Jones3 hours ago

Misses Out On Win As Controversial NASCAR Officiating Takes Center Stage
Marcelo Mayer4 hours ago

Takes Batting Practice On Thursday
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Completes Bullpen Session
Jakob Junis4 hours ago

Guardians Sign Jakob Junis To One-Year Deal
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Expected To Open The Season In Starting Rotation
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NASCAR8 hours ago

Martin Truex Jr. Uncompetitive In Duel Race But Still Makes Daytona 500
Justin Allgaier8 hours ago

Advances To Daytona 500
Ty Dillon8 hours ago

Surprisingly Battles For The Win In First Duel Race
NASCAR8 hours ago

B.J. McLeod Doesn't Have The Speed To Make The Daytona 500
Justin Allgaier8 hours ago

J.J. Yeley Misses Second Straight Daytona 500
Simeon Woods Richardson8 hours ago

A Leading Candidate For Fifth Starter
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Could See Save Opportunities
Luis García15 hours ago

Dodgers Sign Luis Garcia To Minor-League Deal
Drew Thorpe15 hours ago

Could Throw Off The Mound Next Week
Keaontay Ingram15 hours ago

Chiefs Re-Sign Keaontay Ingram
Amir Coffey15 hours ago

Ruled Out For Thursday
Joey Gallo15 hours ago

White Sox Agree To Terms With Joey Gallo
Brandon Ingram15 hours ago

Expected To Miss At Least One More Month
Germán Márquez15 hours ago

German Marquez, Antonio Senzatela, Lucas Gilbreath All Healthy
Chet Holmgren15 hours ago

Back In Action Thursday
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Throws Bullpen On Thursday
Anthony Edwards16 hours ago

Ready To Play Thursday
Nikola Jović16 hours ago

Nikola Jovic Available Thursday
Henry Davis16 hours ago

Takes Batting Practice On Thursday
Duncan Robinson16 hours ago

Good To Go Against Mavericks
Gary Payton II16 hours ago

Out Against Rockets
Mike Conley16 hours ago

Not Ready To Return Thursday
Rudy Gobert16 hours ago

Out On Thursday
Dante Exum16 hours ago

Cleared To Play Thursday
Bam Adebayo16 hours ago

Unavailable For Thursday Against Dallas
Klay Thompson16 hours ago

Will Not Play On Thursday
Connor Matthews16 hours ago

Opens Up UFC Vegas 102 Main Card
Kyrie Irving16 hours ago

Ruled Out Against Heat
Jose Delgado17 hours ago

Makes Debut At UFC Vegas 102
Dylan Budka17 hours ago

Searching For First UFC Win On Saturday
Edmen Shahbazyan17 hours ago

A Massive Favorite At UFC Vegas 102
Walker Kessler17 hours ago

Sidelined On Thursday
Youssef Zalal17 hours ago

Gets Ranked Opponent At UFC Vegas 102
Calvin Kattar17 hours ago

Looks To Snap Losing Streak At UFC Vegas 102
Jabari Smith Jr.17 hours ago

On Track To Return After The All-Star Break
Drew Eubanks17 hours ago

Remains Out Against Jazz
Amir Coffey17 hours ago

Questionable Thursday
Markelle Fultz17 hours ago

Will Play On Thursday Night
Jacksonville Jaguars18 hours ago

Jaguars Interview Brandon Brown For GM Position
Kenyon Martin Jr.18 hours ago

Out Against Clippers
Jordan Eberle18 hours ago

Starts Conditioning Stint In AHL
New Orleans Saints18 hours ago

Saints Request To Interview Daronte Jones For Defensive-Coordinator Job
Matthew Tkachuk18 hours ago

Enters 4 Nations Face-Off In Red-Hot Form
Clyde Edwards-Helaire18 hours ago

Saints Re-Sign Clyde Edwards-Helaire
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Set For His Clippers Debut
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Not Listed On The Injury Report
Las Vegas Raiders18 hours ago

Maxx Crosby Progressing In Recovery From Ankle Surgery
Shea Theodore18 hours ago

Out Week-To-Week
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"On The Right Track" In His Recovery
DK Metcalf18 hours ago

Klint Kubiak Says He Has A Plan For DK Metcalf
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Named Finland Starter For Thursday
New Orleans Saints18 hours ago

Kellen Moore Plans To Call Offensive Plays For Saints
Connor Hellebuyck18 hours ago

To Face Finland Thursday
Mikko Rantanen19 hours ago

Expected To Play On Thursday
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Kellen Moore High On Alvin Kamara
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Reds Place Julian Aguiar On 60-Day Injured List
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Throws To Live Hitters
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Dealing With Finger Strain
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Lands On 60-Day Injured List
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Wins Arbitration Case Against Cardinals
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Likely To Stay With Cardinals
NFL1 day ago

Travis Hunter To Enter Combine As A Cornerback
Trevor Lawrence1 day ago

"No Chance" Jaguars Will Trade Trevor Lawrence
Aaron Rodgers1 day ago

Jets Officially Inform Aaron Rodgers They Are Moving On
James Cook1 day ago

Seeking New Contract For $15 Million Annually
Chase Briscoe1 day ago

Earns Toyota's First Daytona 500 Pole
Justin Allgaier1 day ago

Attempts To Make JR Motorsports's NASCAR Cup Series Debut
Jimmie Johnson1 day ago

Outqualifies Teammates To Advance To Daytona 500
NASCAR1 day ago

B.J. McLeod Likely Needs Attrition To Make Daytona 500
Chandler Smith1 day ago

Competition In First Duel Race Likely Too Stout For Chandler Smith To Make Daytona 500
Jordan Binnington1 day ago

Earns Victory Over Team Sweden
Nathan MacKinnon1 day ago

Scores Power-Play Goal In Victory
TOR1 day ago

Mitch Marner Nets Overtime Winner For Team Canada
Lucas Raymond1 day ago

Tallies Two Helpers In Overtime Loss
Sidney Crosby1 day ago

Leads Canada To Victory
Shea Theodore1 day ago

Out Of 4 Nations Tournament With Injury
JaQuae Jackson2 days ago

Patriots Re-Sign JaQuae Jackson
Anthony Firkser2 days ago

Chiefs Re-Sign Anthony Firkser To Futures Deal
C.J. Ham2 days ago

Undergoes Ankle Surgery
Taysom Hill2 days ago

Saints To Move On From Taysom Hill?
Dak Prescott2 days ago

Looking To Amp Up His Rehab
Jacksonville Jaguars2 days ago

Terrance Gray Interviews For Jaguars GM Job
Tennessee Titans2 days ago

Julius Wood's Suspension Temporarily Lifted
San Francisco 49ers2 days ago

De'Vondre Campbell's Suspension Lifted
Jakob Pelletier2 days ago

Ready For Action After 4 Nations Face-Off
Dante Fabbro2 days ago

Expected To Return After 4 Nations Face-Off
Mika Zibanejad2 days ago

To Center Top Line For Sweden
Joel Eriksson Ek2 days ago

Available Wednesday
Filip Gustavsson2 days ago

Faces Canada Wednesday Night
Jordan Binnington2 days ago

To Start For Canada In 4 Nations Face-Off Opener
Sidney Crosby2 days ago

Good To Go Wednesday
Gary Woodland2 days ago

In Great Form Heading Into Genesis Invitational
Cameron Young2 days ago

Is An Interesting Play At Torrey Pines
Akshay Bhatia2 days ago

A Strong Value Play At Genesis Invitational
Sahith Theegala2 days ago

Is Riding The Struggle Bus To Torrey Pines
Justin Rose2 days ago

Looks For Redemption At Torrey Pines
Wyndham Clark2 days ago

Searching For Consistency At Torrey Pines
Sam Stevens2 days ago

Aims To Repeat Success At Torrey Pines
Harris English2 days ago

Looking To Repeat At Torrey Pines
Boone Jenner2 days ago

Expected To Return After International Break
Gustav Forsling2 days ago

Moves Past Illness, Expected To Play On Wednesday
Maverick McNealy3 days ago

A Volatile Play At Genesis Invitational
Min Woo Lee3 days ago

In Great Form Ahead Of Genesis Invitational
Viktor Hovland3 days ago

A Solid Value Play At Torrey Pines
Rasmus Hojgaard3 days ago

A Strong Play At Genesis Invitational
Scottie Scheffler3 days ago

Aims For A Strong Rebound At Torrey Pines
Collin Morikawa3 days ago

An Excellent Play At Genesis Invitational
Shane Lowry3 days ago

Back In Action At Torrey Pines
PGA3 days ago

Sungjae Im Is A Highly Volatile Play With Persuasive Upside
Russell Henley3 days ago

Torrey Pines May Be A Place To Avoid Russell Henley
Nick Taylor3 days ago

Might Not Thrive At Torrey Pines
Adam Scott3 days ago

Is A Fun Long Shot At Genesis Invitational
Andrew Novak3 days ago

Tries To Repeat Torrey Pines Success
Robert MacIntyre3 days ago

Could Be Intriguing At Genesis Invitational
MMA4 days ago

Weili Zhang Wins Decision In Co-Main Event Of UFC 312
Tatiana Suarez4 days ago

Takes Decision Loss
Justin Tafa4 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC 312
Tallison Teixeira4 days ago

Gets TKO Win At UFC 312
Francisco Prado4 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC 312
Jake Matthews5 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC 312
Rodolfo Bellato5 days ago

Battles Back To Get A Draw At UFC 312
Jimmy Crute5 days ago

Fights To A Draw In Return At UFC 312
Sean Strickland5 days ago

Suffers Lopsided Decision Loss At UFC 312
Dricus Du Plessis5 days ago

Retains Middleweight Belt At UFC 312
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