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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday October 29th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Astros
The Phillies take on the Astros on Saturday October 29th at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (87-75) vs. Houston Astros (106-56)
- Date: Saturday October 29th, 2022
- Time: 8:03 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Astros
- Caesars Sportsbook MLB Odds
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Phillies enter game 2 of the World Series with a 1-0 lead. In their 88 games on the road, the Phillies have a strong record of 45-43. The unit is coming off a winning effort over the Houston by a score of 6-5. So far, Philadelphia has won 28 out of their first 55 series, 28-22-5.
Philadelphia starter Zack Wheeler take the mound with an overall record of 12-7. In his 26 appearances, Wheeler has an ERA of 2.82. Currently, opponents are batting just .221 against the right-hander. Across 153 innings pitched, Wheeler has allowed just 13 home runs. For the season, Zack Wheeler has averaged 4.79 strikeouts for every walk. This has come on a K rate of 27.0%.
Entering today's action, the Phillies feature the 7th-ranked scoring unit, averaging 4.66 runs per game. Throughout the season, the team has been good at getting off to strong starts, ranking 2.23 in runs scored through the first four innings. The Phillies are enjoying offensive success as their team batting average ranks 8th, at .252. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .257. The team has also been strong in the power department, averaging 1.28 home runs per game ranks 6th. For the season, the team has one of the best hard-hit rates in the league at 41.1%. Throughout the season, Philadelphia's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 9th-best OBP of .316. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .322.
Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Houston Astros will look to even the series, as they currently trail 1-0 to the Phillies. Through 86 home contests, the Astros come in with a mark of 59-27. Houston is hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to the Phillies by a score of 6-5. Overall, the team has won over half of their 56 series played, going 36-14-6.
Taking the mound for Houston is Framber Valdez. Heading into play, he has a mark of 17-6. Valdez boasts an outstanding ERA of 2.77. Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just .220 against him. So far, Valdez has given up just 11 home runs, averaging just 0.49 allowed per 9 innings. For the season, Framber Valdez has a K/BB ratio of 2.9. This has come on a strikeout percentage of 23.0%.
On offense, Houston will look to continue their strong play, as they rank 8th in runs scored, averaging 4.55 runs per game. In the team's 86 games at home, their run differential is 6. The Astros' combined batting average currently sits at .247, placing them 13th in the league. This includes batting .236 over their last 3 games. So far, Houston's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.34 home runs per game ranks 4th. For the season, the team has one of the best hard-hit rates in the league at 39.1%. Houston's overall OBP of .319 is good for 7th in the league. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .324.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Astros
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Houston, the Astros are the betting favorite at -140 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 58.33%. The MLB predictive model gives the pitching edge to Framber Valdez and the Astros, making Houston on the moneyline today's best bet.
Recommended Betting Pick: Houston Moneyline
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