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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Friday October 28th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Phillies vs. Astros
The Phillies take on the Astros on Friday October 28th at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies (87-75) vs. Houston Astros (106-56)
- Date: Friday October 28th, 2022
- Time: 8:03 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Phillies vs. Astros
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Philadelphia Phillies - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Philadelphia kick off their world series run after taking down the San Diego Padres in the NLCS. This year, Philadelphia has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 44-43. In their last game, the Phillies picked up a 4-3 win over San Diego. Philadelphia's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 27-22-5.
Aaron Nola gets the starting nod for Philadelphia, looking to improve his overall record of 11-13. Nola' boasts an outstanding ERA of 3.25. Aaron Nola comes into the game, with one of the lower WHIP's among starting pitchers (.96). Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .218 against him. Across his previous outings, Nola has a SLG% allowed of .346. In total, he has given up 19 home runs. For the season, he has picked up 235 strikeouts on a K rate of 28.9%.
On the season, Philadelphia boasts the 7th ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.65 runs per game. This includes posting a season long run differential of 84. The Phillies have enjoyed succses at the plate, as their team batting average of .252 ranks 8th. Per game, the team is averaging 8.52 hits. So far, Philadelphia's lineup has also been able to hit for power, as their average of 1.28 home runs per game ranks 6th. For the season, the team has one of the best hard-hit rates in the league at 41.1%. Throughout the season, Philadelphia's batters have been excellent at getting on base, posting the 9th-best OBP of .316. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at 0.322.
Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Houston is coming off a sweep of the New York Yankees in the ALCS. Through 85 home contests, the Astros come in with a mark of 59-26. Houston will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Yankees by a score of 6-5. So far, the team has won 36 out of their 55 series, 36-13-6.
Starting for the Astros will be Justin Verlander, with an overall record of 18-4. Verlander heads into action with an ERA of just 1.75. Justin Verlander comes into the game with one of the lower WHIP's among starting pitchers (.83). Across his previous outings, Verlander has a SLG% allowed of .270. In total, he has given up 12 home runs. Heading into the game, Verlander has struck 28% of the batters he's faced. Walks have been a problem for Justin Verlander as his BB/9 figure is 1.49.
On offense, Houston will look to continue their strong play, as they rank 8th in runs scored, averaging 4.54 runs per game. So far, the Astros have combined for a team batting average of .247, placing them 13th in the league. On average, the team is coming up with 8.28 hits per game. Throughout the season, the team has been good in the power department, averaging 1.34 home runs per game, which ranks 4th. Houston's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 7th with an OBP of .319. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at 0.324.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Phillies vs. Astros
Heading into today's matchup between Philadelphia and Houston, the Astros are the heavy favorite at -166 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 62.41%. The MLB predictive model shows Philadelphia having the edge in starting pitching and recommends taking the Phillies on the runline (+1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Phillies Runline
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