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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the San Diego Padres vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Saturday, September 9th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Padres vs. Astros
The Padres take on the Astros on Saturday, September 9th 2023 at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: San Diego Padres (67-75) vs. Houston Astros (80-62)
- Date: Saturday, September 9th 2023
- Time: 7:10 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Padres vs. Astros
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San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Houston, the Padres have a record of just 67-75. This places the team 4th in the NL West. The Padres will need a win in today's game to move their record on the road (28-39) above the .500 mark.
Being the favorite in 110 of their 142 games has not helped San Diego improve their record against the runline, which stands at just 68-74. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 58-74.
For San Diego, Seth Lugo will look to pick up a win over Houston, as he has a record of 6-6. Through 22 appearances, Seth Lugo has an ERA of 3.49. Currently, opponents are batting just .247 against the right-hander. So far, Lugo has given up 15 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .299. Lugo has a WHIP of 1.20, with 27 walks allowed.
San Diego's offense comes into this game averaging 4.6 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. The Padres' combined batting average currently sits at .240, placing them 17th in the league. So far, the team has put together a strong home-run hitting lineup ranking 11th in home runs, with a total of 180 deep shots. San Diego's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 9th with an OBP of .326.
Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Houston Astros host the San Diego Padres, they have a record of 80-62, placing them 1st in the AL West. Houston will be looking to move above .500 at home, as they are currently 35-35 at Minute Maid Park.
Houston has been favored in 71.8% of their games, resulting in an above .500 record against the runline at 72-70. With an average betting line of 8 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 75-63.
Houston starter Cristian Javier takes the mound with an overall record of 9-3. Cristian Javier will take the mound with an ERA of 4.65. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .231 against him. So far, Javier has given up 22 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .313. Javier has a WHIP of 1.28, with 51 walks allowed.
Offensively, Houston has had no problem putting up runs, as their scoring average of 5.1 runs per game, ranks 5th in the MLB. The Astros have been able to drive in runs at an above average rate as their team batting average of .260 ranks 4th in the league. So far, Houston's lineup has also been able to hit for power, with a total of 196 home runs, which ranks 7th. Houston's overall OBP of .332 is good for 5th in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Padres vs. Astros
Heading into today's matchup between Houston and San Diego, the Astros are the betting favorite at -132 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 56.9%. The MLB predictive model shows the Padres knocking off Houston in an upset win. It is recommended to take San Diego on the moneyline with some positive odds.
Recommended Betting Pick: Padres Moneyline +111
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