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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday October 13th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Mariners vs. Astros
The Mariners take on the Astros on Thursday, October 13th at Minute Maid Park, Houston. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Seattle Mariners (0-1) vs. Houston Astros (1-0)
- Date: Thursday October 13th, 2022
- Time: 3:37 ET
- Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Mariners vs. Astros
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Seattle Mariners - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Seattle Mariners enter today's action looking to even the series, as they currently trail 1-0. In their 84 regular season games as the road team, Seattle has put together a record of 46-38. The Mariners are hoping to get back on track after dropping their last game to Houston by a score of 8-7. Seattle's overall series record is above .500, sitting at 28-21-4.
Mariners starter Luis Castillo comes into the game with a record of just 4-4. Through 14 outings, Castillo has an ERA sitting at 2.86. Luis Castillo has shown the ability to limit base runners, as he has a WHIP of just 1.07. Opponents have had a tough time against the right-hander, as they are batting just .201 against him. Across his previous outings, Castillo has a SLG% allowed of .318. In total, he has given up 7 home runs. Heading into the game, he has struck 26.0% of the batters he's faced.
Seattle's offense comes into this game averaging 4.31 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. This includes posting a season long run differential of 71. Together, the Mariners' offense has the 25th-ranked batting average at .231. Per game, the team is averaging 7.7 hits. On average, the team is hitting 1.22 home runs per game (9th), making up for their struggles in the batting average department. Currently, the team has one of the lowest average exit velocities in baseball. Up to this point, Seattle has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 12th at .315. While their current wOBA of .310 is similar to the league average.
Houston Astros - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Astros take on the Seattle Mariners, looking to take a 2-0 lead in their Divisional Round matchup. So far, Houston has been tough at home, putting together a mark of 56-26. Houston will look to tack on another victory as they defeated the Mariners by a score of 8-7. So far, the team has won 35 out of their first 54 series, 35-13-6.
Starting for the Astros will be Framber Valdez, with an overall record of 17-6. Valdez boasts an outstanding ERA of 2.77. Currently, opponents are batting just .220 against the left-hander. Across 201 innings pitched, Valdez has allowed just 11 home runs. For the season, Framber Valdez has a K/BB ratio of 2.9. This has come on a strikeout percentage of 23.0%.
On offense, Houston will look to continue their strong play, as they rank 8th in runs scored, averaging 4.57 runs per game. In the team's 82 games at home, their run differential is 4. Heading into play, the Astros are the 12th unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .248. This includes batting .377 over their last 3 games. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.33 home runs per game (4th). To date, the team's barrel rate of 8.1% ranks near the top of the league. Up to this point, Houston has been one of the MLB's better teams at getting on base, ranking 7th at .320. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .324.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Mariners vs. Astros
Heading into today's matchup between Seattle and Houston, the Astros are the heavy favorite at -162 on the moneyline. Houston's implied win probability sits at 61.83%. The MLB predictive model shows Houston having enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Astros on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Astros Runline
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