BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 250
ANALYSIS: Arodys Vizcaino started the 2018 season as the Braves’ closer, hit the DL, came back, lost the job, hit the DL again, and then seemingly finished the season strong. The final line for Vizcaino’s season actually looks quite good with a 2.11 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, and a 9.39 K/9. However, managers suffered through the injuries and insecurity, especially if they were unable to snag A.J. Minter when he filled in as the closer.
Vizcaino offers all the hallmarks of a traditional closer: a modest WHIP and ERA, strikeouts, and saves. He throws a high-nineties fastball and a curve that is regarded as one of the best in the league. If Vizcaino’s issue in 2018 was simply a shoulder that needed more time to heel, then he’ll offer real value. However, if his shoulder is still a problem or he struggles with other effectiveness issues, there are a series of closer options behind him.
To some extent, Vizcaino comes with the same risks as most closers going after pick 150. However, Vizcaino’s ADP of 206 builds his injury history into his price and it may account for his job instability. If Vizcaino can limit himself to one modest trip to the DL, he should keep his job as closer, provide 30-plus saves, 70 Ks, and strong ratio stats.
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