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ANALYSIS: Senzatela missed some time recently after testing positive for COVID-19, but he has started to show small improvements from his season line over his last five outings, where he has posted a 4.40 ERA, 1.500 WHIP and 18.8 percent strikeout rate. His overall numbers aren't great, but the main reason I'm picking him in Week 21 is both of his starts are at home, as he's pitched far better at Coors Field (4.04 ERA, 1.253 WHIP) than on the road (5.80 ERA, 1.711 WHIP). The first outing with San Diego will be tough, but he'll have a little upside in the fact that the Padres are hitting slightly worse on the road (.246/.319/.413) and are hitting slightly worse against right-handed pitching (.247/.327/.416). The second start should be a great matchup for him, as the Diamondbacks are hitting significantly worse on the road (.216/.294/.353) as well as against right-handed pitchers (.228/.304/.360).
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He'll really be a deeper league play this week, and that matchup with the Padres could be a rough one for his value. But if he can put up a decent outing against San Diego, he'll close out the week with a great matchup against Arizona.
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