RADIO
The NASCAR Cup Series is in Nashville this week for the Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway. Last year, Ross Chastain won this race ahead of Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin, with all three leading 50 or more laps.
Last week, the Cup Series was in New Hampshire for a race where the final stage was run in wet conditions. It was...well, I'm probably not allowed to use the word I want to use here, but you can imagine where I'm going. There was controversy about tires, there were cars spinning, there was restart after restart after restart that all kept leading to the inevitable outcoming of Christopher Bell winning the race.
Below are my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Ally 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. This slate locks on 6/30/2024 at 3:51 p.m. EDT. If you have any questions or want to talk about NASCAR, you can find me on Twitter at @juscarts.
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Kyle Larson
Starts Fourth - DK: $10.5K, FD: $14.0K
There are a few drivers who could dominate this race. I'd suggest playing some Denny Hamlin here as well, but I'm highlighting Kyle Larson because I think he might go slightly overlooked. Hamlin being on the pole is going to be so tempting to people, but Larson's just a row back in fourth and could be fighting for the early lead. Larson has three wins already this season and leads the point standings despite missing a race.
On this day in NASCAR history - Kyle Larson won the 2018 Overton's 300 at Chicagoland pic.twitter.com/nBG7crmpYa
— Skewcar (@Skewcar) June 30, 2024
In his career at Nashville, Larson has one dominant win, leading 264 of 300 laps in the 2021 race. He hasn't led a lap here since, but he finished fourth in 2022 and then fifth last year. This place suits his driving style well.
Martin Truex Jr.
Starts 17th - DK: $9.8K, FD: $11.5K
This is the final full-time season of Martin Truex Jr.'s Cup Series career, though it sounds like he plans to still race plenty as a part-time driver going forward. The 2017 series champion is still looking for his first win of 2024 and while it's unlikely to come on Sunday due to his starting spot, I do expect Truex to move forward and run in the top 10 for this one. He led 50 laps in the race here last season and ultimately finished second. The year before, Truex led 82 laps but finished 22nd. He's a great source of place differential on Sunday.
Ross Chastain
Starts 20th - DK: $9.0K, FD: $12.5K
Some solid place differential upside here for Ross Chastain and this Trackhouse No. 1 car, as it fires off from the 20th position. Coming into this weekend, Chastain has six finishes in a row of 12th or better. While this team isn't currently showing race-winning speed, Chastain is staying near the front and finishing races, which has him ninth in points right now.
Now he comes to a track where he's run really well in the Cup Series. Chastain was the winner here in 2023, leading 99 of 300 laps. That win marked the third time in three Nashville starts that Chastain finished in the top five. While I don't see him having the car to win this one, he could sneak into the top five by the end of the day.
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Bubba Wallace
Starts 24th - DK: $7.8K, FD: $7.2K
Bubba Wallace has been on a rough streak, finishing 17th or worse in three consecutive races. Still, this 23XI team has speed so Wallace should be able to move forward through the field and compete for a top 15 on Sunday. He's never recorded a top 10 here in the Cup Series, but he was 12th in 2022 after starting 30th, and he was 15th here last season. There's definitely place differential upside for Wallace, though his recent performance makes him riskier than other PD options. Personally, I think that leads to him going a little under-rostered in GPPs.
Josh Berry
Starts Second - DK: $7.7K, FD: $7.8K
When a team announces that it's closing at the end of the season, you'd normally expect a downturn in production due to all the chaos that creates, right? Well, Josh Berry must have not gotten that message, because this No. 4 team is on a roll right now.
Josh Berry to the top of the charts in Group A qualifying! Wow! #NASCAR
— Toby Christie (@Toby_Christie) June 29, 2024
Berry comes into this race with consecutive top 10s, including a third-place run at New Hampshire last weekend. There's always downside when you have a non-elite car that starts in the top five, as the possibility of huge negative numbers in place differential exist, but Berry's second-place starting spot in this race isn't a fluke. There's definitely a world where Berry ends Sunday with his first Cup Series win, especially when you factor in his track history here, as he has a pair of Xfinity Series top fives at the track.
Daniel Hemric
Starts 37th - DK: $5.1K, FD: $2.0K
This Kaulig Racing team has been slow much of the season, but there have been some relative bright spots lately for Daniel Hemric, who has three top 20s in the last six races. Yeah, I used the word "relative" there for a reason, because that'd be a poor stretch for a lot of drivers, but with how things have gone for Hemric this year, it feels like a positive.
Hemric starts 37th in this race. If he keeps the car clean, he can move up a good number of spots just based on the attrition of others. I don't expect a great result, but at this price, Hemric moving up 10-15 spots would be a win for DFS managers.
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