
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~195 pick
CURRENT ADP: ~219 overall
ANALYSIS: After failing to exceed 50 innings pitched in 2019 and 2020 combined thanks to a litany of back problems, the 2021 version of San Francisco Giants left-hander Alex Wood reminded us all of the pitcher who posted a sub-3.90 ERA in 6 straight seasons from 2013 to 2018. His 2021 featured a better-than-average 26 K%, 6.7 BB%, a worm-burning 50.8% ground ball rate, 3.83 ERA, and 3.90 xERA over 138 2/3 inning in 2021. Wood is a risk/reward option as the biggest concern with the southpaw has always been health.
San Francisco rewarded him with a two-year, $10 million contract and ATC/Cutter projection systems generally expect more of the same in 2022, with both projecting him for an ERA slightly under 4.00. ATC projects the 31-year-old with a 3.91 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, and 135 strikeouts over 138 innings in 2022. According to Rotoballer's Expected Draft Values, the 31-year-old is excellent value at his current ADP 0f 236, making him a great value selection in upcoming fantasy drafts.
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