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RotoBaller PGA: One And Done Staff Picks - The Players Championship

The PGA RotoBaller staff digs into their One and Done selections for The Players Championship. Here are some under-the-radar plays and picks for this week's event.

Here at RotoBaller, we are always searching for ways to give our readers the best fantasy sports content possible. With that goal in mind, we are very proud to announce the weekly PGA “One and Done” column will be back for the fourth season.

In this feature, our golf staff of Joe Nicely, Spencer Aguiar, Andrew Putters, Owen Vrabel, Matt Miller and Josh Bennett will provide their weekly golf picks every Wednesday. The purpose of this article is to present you with alternative options to consider and hopefully make your selection a much easier process weekly. With that plan in mind, let's get started!

For an in-depth breakdown of the top DraftKings and FanDuel plays, check out Joe Nicely's weekly Horse For The Course that highlights the best fits for the week's course. And you can also find out who the smart money is on by checking out Spencer Aguiar's PGA DFS: Vegas Report every week. Be sure to also read all of our other top-notch weekly PGA DFS and betting articles to help you win big!

 

One and Done Selections - The Players Championship

 

Joe Nicely - Justin Thomas

Alternate - Rory McIlroy

It was a huge week for me at Bay Hill with Scottie Scheffler, but there’s very little time to savor that win, as we now jump to the event with the largest purse in golf…THE PLAYERS Championship.

As if $3.6 million to this week’s winner isn’t enough pressure, we must also consider that this event is one of the toughest to predict on the PGA Tour schedule, thanks to a volatility-inducing layout in TPC Sawgrass.

I’ve tried to tackle the PLAYERS in a variety of ways over the years, but I’ve finally come around to the fact that we need to attack this plump cash cow with an elite player. For me this week, that’s the defending PLAYERS champion, Justin Thomas.

JT comes into the week in an eerily similar fashion to what we saw in the lead-up to last year’s edition…showing flashes of great form in spurts, but failing to put four rounds together. However, with guys like Thomas, we know it’s a matter of when, not if…

Yearly Earnings - $4,501,650
Yearly Cuts Made - 6/8

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry. Spencer is absolutely crushing out of the gate in 2022!

 

Spencer Aguiar - Justin Thomas

Alternate - Jon Rahm

I finally understand why it is called a 'One and Done' contest. It only took me four years of the same thing repeatedly occurring to figure it out, but my golfers go from number ONE on the leaderboard late into the tournament to DONE within a few holes. I mean, seriously? How many collapses can we have already this year? I thought the Daniel Berger implosion was bad enough since he didn't even come top-three, but the stakes were raised at the API after Viktor Hovland not only couldn't get the job done at Bay Hill but also allowed Joe's selection of Scottie Scheffler to go two-steppin' all over us en route to the most oversized purse of the year.

There are a few ways that we could legitimately play the board this week. The most logical would be to use Jon Rahm if you are telling me that this is the largest purse of the season, but I am going to trust my model and roll with Justin Thomas, who pulled off the impossible by grading first overall at an event where Rahm is entered.

Thomas checks all the boxes by grading first overall in weighted tee-to-green, weighted scrambling and weighted proximity, which I find to be of the utmost importance since all of those factors are put into place to mimic TPC Sawgrass. I know trends will tell you that nobody has ever won the Players in back-to-back years, but I am not sure how many of those golfers fit the course as well as Thomas does from a skillset standpoint.

Yearly Earnings - $3,599,578
Yearly Cuts Made - 8/8

 

Matt Miller - Daniel Berger

Alternate - 

It's time for Daniel Berger to get his big win. There were some questions regarding an injury last month but I think that was all dispelled two weeks ago at the Honda. Berger was well on his way to a victory after dominating the first three rounds of the event. Yes, there was the Sunday meltdown, but I prefer to look at the positives. Berger gained just under 10 strokes tee to green at PGA National and continued his dominant iron play. He has now lost strokes on approach just once in the last calendar year. Berger is due for another win and I expect the Florida native to have his big moment this weekend at Sawgrass.

Yearly Earnings - $954,050
Yearly Cuts Made - 6/8

 

Owen Vrabel - Cam Smith

Alternate - 

Write-up to come and pick could change.

Yearly Earnings - $743,764
Yearly Cuts Made - 7/8

 

Josh Bennett - Collin Morikawa

Alternate - Jon Rahm

This one is an easy one for me this week. Top competition, difficult course and potential weather issues. I’m looking directly at the most elite iron player and top ball-striker on Tour to be the best fit to combat any of those potential issues this week. In addition, with likely wet conditions and lift, clean, and place available for the week, it makes sense to run with the elite iron player that’s going to get to pick the ball up and place it perfectly for himself. This is one of the more volatile events we see, but I don’t think anyone is better equipped to handle the course than Collin. If he can get a few putts to drop, he could absolutely run away with this thing

Yearly Earnings - $858,286
Yearly Cuts Made - 6/8

 

Andrew Putters - Collin Morikawa

Alternate - Justin Thomas

Now, I understand that Collin’s statistics this year have been a little down overall, but I see him still being a contender at THE PLAYERS.  His statistics might be a little down, and he has not been all over the TV or The Golf Channel, but his finishes have still been pretty solid.  Top 5s in 5 out of his last 8 events.  My only concern is can he keep his driver under control?  I would also like to note that I am not worried about his putting this week due to the nature of Sawgrass.  He doesn’t have a ton of success here, but I see a top 5 finish coming.   

Yearly Earnings - $1,832,400
Yearly Cuts Made - 5/8

 

Running Totals

Follow along here on the OAD Spreadsheet!

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

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