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Tyler Wells (RP, BAL) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers

fantasy baseball draft sleepers values rankings

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 350

CURRENT ADP: ~401 overall

ANALYSIS: Sure, the 4.11 ERA doesn't look overly impressive. That being said, this is why, especially for relievers, you have to look past the ERA. With a 29% strikeout rate and a 5.4% walk rate, his K-BB numbers were quite impressive, leading to him generating a 3.37 SIERA last season. The 0.91 WHIP is going to regress with a higher BABIP allowed (.226), but it still likely is going to be quite low given his ability to consistently not walk batters.

Wells' curveball was largely ineffective when he did throw it last year, as was his sinker. By June, he was barely throwing either pitch. In 2022, I'd like to see Wells continue to lean less on his fastball, as he did towards to end of the season. His slider and changeup each induced whiffs 31.6% of the swings against it, as well as xwOBAs of .222 and .252, respectively. That being said, he has a strong three-pitch foundation to build upon.

Though Wells' BABIP allowed was very low, so was his 64.4% left-on-base rate. That should improve this season, while his batted-ball metrics (11% barrel rate) could improve with better command and simply better luck. The change in ballpark dimensions at Oriole Park is going to do wonders for him in terms of surprising home runs, and there isn't much competition on the active roster in terms of saves- Cole Sulser (eight saves) is the top competitor. The Orioles might not be the type of team to chase saves from, but when he has an average draft position (ADP) of 401, 15-20 saves could be extremely beneficial. As a late-round pick, you can't do much better.

 

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BALLER MOVE: Add in All Leagues ROSTERED IN: 75% of Leagues ANALYSIS: Texas Rangers starting pitcher Jacob deGrom is on the verge of returning to the major leagues and should be rostered in all formats. The former two-time Cy Young winner underwent Tommy John surgery last summer and began a rehab assignment in late August. Through […]

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BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 35% of Leagues ANALYSIS: The New York Yankees called up their top prospect, Jasson Dominguez, before Monday's series opener against the Kansas City Royals. Dominguez hit sixth and played left field in his second major league start of the season. In that contest, he went 1-for-4 with […]

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BALLER MOVE: Stash in 12+ Team Leagues CALL-UP ETA: September 1 ANALYSIS: The New York Yankees called up their No. 1 prospect, Jasson Dominguez, for Sunday's Little League Classic game against the Detroit Tigers and served as the team's 27th man. Dominguez saw his first major league start this season in that game, hitting fifth and […]

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Zebby Matthews - Fantasy Baseball Prospects Waiver Wire Stashes (Week 22)

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues CALL-UP ETA: In Majors ANALYSIS: With Joe Ryan (shoulder) landing on the injured list 10 days ago, the Minnesota Twins called up their No. 5 prospect, Zebby Matthews, to take his spot in the rotation. Matthews then made his major league debut on August 13, where he threw five innings of […]

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Should I Stash Jasson Dominguez In Redraft Leagues? Fantasy Baseball Prospect Outlook (Week 22)

Back in 2019, the New York Yankees used most of their international bonus pool money to sign Jasson Dominguez for $5.1 million as a 16-year-old due to his potential to be a five-tool player. Dominguez methodically moved his way through the organization, culminating in his big league debut in 2023, where he impressed during his […]

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