Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some props for Week 16's Monday night contest between the Miami Dolphins and New Orleans Saints.
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NFL Fantasy Score and Single-Stat Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
Alvin Kamara over .5 touchdowns - Kamara should be the focal point in this offense as the Saints have been forced into starting Ian Book in this game with Trevor Siemian and Taysom Hill both currently on the Covid list. Kamara has seen an average of 21 touches over his previous two games since returning from injury and has also punched the ball in eight times on the season.
Jaylen Waddle over 12.0 fantasy score - Waddle could be heavily targeted in this game with Marshon Lattimore expected to be on DeVante Parker. Waddle has scored 12 or more fantasy points in four of his previous five games and has been targeted an average of over nine times per game in those contests. He gets a solid matchup against a Saints defense that is allowing an average of over 36 fantasy points per game to wide receivers on the season, which is ranked ninth-worst in the league.
Jason Sanders over 8.0 fantasy score - I have never put a kicker in this article, but Sanders seems like a solid play in New Orleans this week. The Saints are a bend-don't-break defense that has allowed the 14th-most passing yards and fourth-fewest rushing yards on the season. This Dolphins' offense should be able to move the ball just enough to get into field goal range a few times and score a couple of touchdowns. The fact that the game is in a dome should also help here, and Sanders has gone over this total in three of his previous five games.
Nick Vannett over 20.5 receiving yards - Vannett could find himself a top target for Ian Book tonight who is making his first NFL start and taking his first snaps in the NFL. Vannett has seen quite a bit of action lately as he has seen over a 55% snap share in three straight weeks. He will be facing a Dolphins defense that has allowed an average of 86 receiving yards to tight ends over the previous two weeks.
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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