X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

DraftKings MMA, UFC DFS Lineup Picks - UFC Vegas 44: Font vs. Aldo

It's early Christmas, folks. And the UFC owed us one after a two-week hiatus in which Dana left us waiting for some fights to come our way. I guess his thinking went by the way of letting us enjoy Thanksgiving week and eating the leftovers through last weekend, though. Anyway, we're back in Vegas this Saturday for another UFC FN event before we get to watch the latest numbered one a week from now on Dec. 11 when we jump straight into UFC 269.

Let's not get ahead of ourselves, though, and take the bull by this weekend's horns. Font and Aldo headline the main card in a bantamweight cherry on top of a UFC Apex complex that will also grace the likes of Rafael Fiziev, Jimmy Crute, and an eternal fighter in Clay Guida, who might or might not be 63 years old already. Anyway, get ready for the weekend fireworks because it's not that we were all drooling at the likes of Jose Aldo when he was blasting featherweights and reigning supreme in the UFC and MMA Worlds.

In this article, I will be providing you with my fantasy MMA lineup picks for UFC Vegas 44: Font vs. Aldo on 12/04/21. Give me a follow on Twitter @chapulana. Good luck!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 10% off using code BALLER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

DraftKings MMA Bantamweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Rob Font, $8400 - vs. Jose Aldo

There was a point in time when Jose Aldo was the biggest, most menacing UFC fighter doing it inside the Octagon. Not anymore, sadly. Aldo is back to his winning ways, yes, but even entering Saturday on a two-fight winning streak his best days are clearly over. Rob Font, on the other hand, has won four straight (including one via KO) and never really strung two losses in a row earlier than that winning span. These two have won and lost bouts to very random, shared opponents, so it's really a tossup all things considered.

We all know Aldo and we all know Aldo is just not going to chase those takedowns nor any sort of grappling game. He's about striking, but the problem is that he's not really landing that many SS these days, nor even attempting them. Font, contrary to that, has somehow kept his takedown activity up a bit while landing at least one per fight in three of his last four fights--all of them wins. The striking volume is higher, as are the landing rates, so it makes sense to think of Font as the most probable winner on this one keeping up his winning streak and elevating to five in a row this weekend.

DraftKings MMA Lightweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Brad Riddell, $7900 - vs. Rafael Fiziev

Typical UFC Vegas fight between two up-and-comers that weren't even in the circuit earlier than April of 2019. Riddell and Fiziev have been inside an Octagon a combined nine times with the former boasting a perfect 4-0 record and the latter sitting at a 4-1 himself only dropping his debut bout. In fact, the eight wins these two have racked up have all come from Oct. 2019 on, and they have very similar fighting schedules to date with one W in 2019, two in 2020, and their latest one this very year (Riddell in June, Fiziev in August).

Fiziev is the only one of the two to have rocked an opponent via first-round KO, though it's also true that he got caught in his first fight for a KO against under just 1:26 minutes of fighting time. Riddell comes with a better grappling/takedown game, but Fiziev should have the edge on the striking side of things. The numbers are close, though, with Riddell attempting 8.8 SS per minute to Fiziev's 10.5. Riddell edges Fiziev in landing rate, 60% to 54%. The kinda-similar volume and better takedown numbers from Riddell make me lean Brad-R for this one for fantasy purposes.

DraftKings MMA Lightweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Leonardo Santos, $8800 - vs. Clay Guida

Back in 2016 Leonardo Santos faced Adriano Martins in UFC 204 and earned what was his fourth win in a row to put up a 5-0-1 record. He was then out of commission for three straight years due to different injuries in different key moments, but he came back in 2019 to a couple more wins and most recently a loss last March. Guida, even if you don't believe it, has been around since 2006 (!) though he's clearly squeezing the last drops of his fighting career: three Ls in a row adorn his fight log, and he's just 1-4 since the start of 2018, which... Ugh.

Guida attempted 12 (!) takedowns two fights ago, only to go for none his last time out in August. Santos, on the other hand, has had lower-yet-better 1-for-2 TD outings in back-to-back fights. None of these two is adept at chasing grappling, nor throw a huge volume of strikes. That being said, Santos demolishes Guida in terms of strike landing rate with percentages in the 65-to-75 clip compared to Guida's below-50% rates in all five last fights spanning 2018. Not liking Guida's chances at all here, fantasy or real-world wise.

DraftKings MMA Light Heavyweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Jimmy Crute, $9200 - vs. Jamahal Hill

This fight has everything to turn into a ridiculous one. Hill and Crute are two very fresh fighters as the latter debuted in Dec. 2018 and Hill just did it in May of 2020. They have been involved in eight fights combined, but the most impressive statistical nugget is this one: all eight of those fights didn't reach the final buzzer, and seven of eight finished in the first round. That's absolutely insane.

Hill has so far split his record 1-1 with a victory and a defeat both via KO in under two minutes of fighting time. Crute has two wins via KO, two via submission, and a loss of each variety on top of that settling his 4-2 record to date. The endings have been so sudden for those two that none of them has ever reached even 40 SSA, so it's not that we can bank on this or that fighter based on volume. The landing rate favors Crute, sure, but both have needed the slightest opening to score themselves knockouts, so it's not that they need that much activity going their way. Crute, though, has the key advantage in grappling and takedown prowess having gone 11-for-15 in his short career. That alone makes me go with Crute on this one, though it's a super-risky bet either way considering one of these two will eat the mat and it's not clear at all who will be biting the dust.

DraftKings MMA Middleweight - UFC DFS Lineup Picks 

Brendan Allen, $9600 - vs. Chris Curtis

This fight should be strikingly similar to the one above. That's because both Curtis and Allen have been at it for a short amount of time (Allen debuted in Oct. 2019, Curtis less than a month ago!), both have combined for seven fights of which five ended early, and they're pretty much a couple of brawlers only with Allen having such a sublime low-volume-yet-murderous-takedown prowess.

Allen has attempted all of five takedowns in his six fights landing four of them. He's also logged six reversals in those six fights, which is magnificent for fantasy GMs given the sky-high points those moves come attached to. Curtis has not gone for a single takedown, though in all honesty he's fought all of 4:27 minutes in the UFC after dropping his first foe in the promo last Nov. 6th, so he has basically not needed anything he's not done. Any of those two could get away with the W judging by what we know, but for fantasy purposes, I'd err on the more-complete Allen to get the bulkier FP tally this weekend.

 

More MMA Analysis

More DFS Analysis & Lineup Picks




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Derek Carr11 mins ago

To Start In Week 10 For Saints
Valeri Nichushkin12 mins ago

Will Return When First Eligible
Nico Collins19 mins ago

Texans Non-Committal On Nico Collins For Week 10
Erick All Jr.24 mins ago

Officially Out For The Year With Knee Injury
DK Metcalf37 mins ago

Mike Macdonald "Optimistic" DK Metcalf Returns In Week 11
CeeDee Lamb56 mins ago

Tagged As Week-To-Week, Optimism He Can Play In Week 10
Tyler Reddick1 hour ago

Not A Factor At Martinsville And Looks Ahead To Phoenix
Kyle Larson1 hour ago

Misses Advancing Through Playoffs Despite Top-Three Finish
Brad Keselowski1 hour ago

Has A Solid Top-10 Performance At Martinsville
Chase Elliott1 hour ago

Loses Out On Winning At Martinsville
Christian McCaffrey1 hour ago

49ers Open Christian McCaffrey's Practice Window
Zack Moss1 hour ago

No Timetable On Zack Moss' Return
Dak Prescott2 hours ago

Expected To Miss Multiple Weeks, IR Trip A Possibility
Nathan Eovaldi2 hours ago

Declines His Player Option
Devin Williams2 hours ago

Brewers Decline Option On Devin Williams
Michael Wacha2 hours ago

Royals Agree To Three-Year Deal
Reynaldo López3 hours ago

Braves Sign Reynaldo Lopez To Three-Year Deal
Daniel Jones3 hours ago

Remains Giants' Starting QB
Khris Middleton3 hours ago

Remains Sidelined Against Cavaliers
Josh Giddey3 hours ago

Added To Injury Report On Monday
Kevin Huerter3 hours ago

Leaves Shootaround Early, Remains Questionable
Immanuel Quickley3 hours ago

Draws Another Doubtful Status On Monday
Lauri Markkanen3 hours ago

Questionable To Face Bulls
Jakobi Meyers3 hours ago

Has Huge Day In Week 9
D'Angelo Russell3 hours ago

Listed As Probable On Monday
Austin Reaves3 hours ago

Deemed Probable On Monday
Drake London3 hours ago

Likely Dealing With Hip Pointer, Going For More Tests
Las Vegas Raiders3 hours ago

Antonio Pierce Hasn't Decided On Starting QB
De'Anthony Melton3 hours ago

Won't Suit Up On Monday
Caris LeVert3 hours ago

Questionable Against Bucks On Monday
A.J. Brown3 hours ago

Going For MRI Exam On Monday
Kyle Kuzma3 hours ago

Ruled Out Again With Groin Strain
Bucky Irving3 hours ago

Expected To Play On Monday Night
Andrew Wiggins4 hours ago

Probable On Monday Against Wizards
San Antonio Spurs4 hours ago

Spurs Head Coach Gregg Popovich Out With Health Issue
Keon Coleman5 hours ago

Undergoing Tests On His Wrist Monday
New Orleans Saints6 hours ago

Saints Fire Head Coach Dennis Allen
Rose Namajunas6 hours ago

Drops Decision Matchup
Erin Blanchfield6 hours ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Dustin Stoltzfus6 hours ago

Gets First-Round Knockout At UFC Edmonton
Dak Prescott6 hours ago

Will Undergo MRI On His Hamstring
A.J. Brown6 hours ago

Avoids Major Injury On Sunday
DeVonta Smith7 hours ago

Makes A Case For Catch Of The Year On Touchdown Grab
Zach Hyman7 hours ago

Records Two Points In Battle Of Alberta Win
Saquon Barkley7 hours ago

Goes For Nearly 200 Total Yards, Scores Twice
Marc-Andre Barriault7 hours ago

Knocked Out At UFC Edmonton
Matt Boldy7 hours ago

Hits Overtime Winner Versus Toronto
Jared Spurgeon7 hours ago

Delivers Two Assists In Sunday's Win
Trevin Giles7 hours ago

Losses Third Fight In A Row
Alex Ovechkin7 hours ago

Extends Goal Streak To Four Games
Dmitry Orlov7 hours ago

Nets Two Goals Against Capitals
Jeremy Swayman7 hours ago

Collects First Shutout Of The Season
Connor Bedard8 hours ago

Records Three Assists In Sunday's Win
Mike Malott8 hours ago

Wins Decision At UFC Edmonton
Rome Odunze10 hours ago

Shines With Impressive Performance Against Cardinals
Jamal Murray16 hours ago

Listed As Out On Monday Against Toronto
Bradley Beal16 hours ago

Questionable Going Into Monday Night's Matchup Against Philadelphia
Rudy Gobert16 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday Night
Zach LaVine17 hours ago

Listed As Questionable On Monday
NASCAR17 hours ago

Speeding Penalty Foils Martin Truex Jr.'s Last Realistic Shot At Winning
Denny Hamlin17 hours ago

Fails To Advance To Championship 4 But Runs Well
Shane Van Gisbergen17 hours ago

Shane van Gisbergen Earns Best Oval Finish at Martinsville
William Byron17 hours ago

Tentatively In Championship 4 Pending Ruling On Manufacturer Orders
Anthony Davis17 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Monday
Stephen Curry17 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday Night
Jaylen Brown17 hours ago

Listed As Out For Monday Night's Matchup In Atlanta
Joel Embiid17 hours ago

Listed As Out For Monday Night's Game
Giannis Antetokounmpo17 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday Night
MMA20 hours ago

Ariane Lipski Submitted At UFC Edmonton
Jasmine Jasudavicius20 hours ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC Edmonton
Caio Machado20 hours ago

Still Winless In The UFC
Brendson Ribeiro20 hours ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Edmonton
Amir Albazi20 hours ago

Falls Short At UFC Edmonton
Brandon Moreno20 hours ago

Dominates At UFC Edmonton
Artturi Lehkonen22 hours ago

Activated From Injured Reserve
NJ22 hours ago

Nathan Bastian To Miss "Several Weeks"
Brayden Point22 hours ago

Exits With Injury Sunday
Dan Vladar23 hours ago

Set For Second Consecutive Start Sunday
Nicholas Robertson23 hours ago

Re-Enters Maple Leafs Lineup Sunday
Jakub Vrana23 hours ago

Scratched On Sunday
Austin Barnes1 day ago

Returning To Los Angeles
1 day ago

David Robertson To Test Free Agency
Wilmer Flores1 day ago

Giants Exercise Club Option On Wilmer Flores
Owen Miller1 day ago

Shipped To Colorado
Merrill Kelly1 day ago

Staying In Arizona
1 day ago

Eloy Jimenez Headed To Free Agency
Daniel Suarez1 day ago

Will Start 20th At Martinsville
Zane Smith1 day ago

Might Be An Underrated Value Play For Martinsville
Tyler Reddick1 day ago

Is A Top DFS Recommendation For Martinsville Lineups
Joey Logano1 day ago

Will Be One To Watch At Martinsville
Brad Keselowski1 day ago

Should DFS Players Rely On Brad Keselowski For Martinsville Lineups?
Carson Hocevar1 day ago

Is A Great DFS Option For All Martinsville DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs1 day ago

Is Ty Gibbs Worth Rostering At Martinsville This Week For DFS?
Austin Cindric1 day ago

Could Have A Top-20 Performance At Martinsville
William Byron1 day ago

Might Be Usable Only In DFS Tournaments At Martinsville
Chris Buescher1 day ago

Should DFS Players Roster Chris Buescher At Martinsville?
Alex Bowman1 day ago

Expect A Solid Top-10 Performance From Alex Bowman At Martinsville
Josh Berry1 day ago

May Be Set For Long-Run Struggles At Martinsville
Dylan Larkin1 day ago

Scores Twice On Saturday
Cam Talbot1 day ago

Stops 31 Shots In Saturday's Victory
Cale Makar1 day ago

Tallies Goal, Assist On Saturday
Anton Forsberg1 day ago

Records Shutout Victory On Saturday
Philip Broberg1 day ago

Leaves Saturday Early With Lower-Body Injury
Sidney Crosby1 day ago

Nets Two More Goals In Saturday's Victory
Chase Elliott1 day ago

Will Be Tough To Beat At Martinsville
2 days ago

Joc Pederson To Test Free Agency
2 days ago

Anthony Rizzo Headed To Free Agency
Freddy Peralta2 days ago

Milwaukee Picking Up Option On Freddy Peralta
2 days ago

Ha-Seong Kim Headed To Free Agency
Adam Pelech2 days ago

To Miss At Least Four Weeks
Robbie Ray2 days ago

Doesn't Opt Out Of Contract, Stays With Giants
2 days ago

Yankees Could Make Play For Pete Alonso This Offseason
2 days ago

Sean Manaea Opts Out Of Contract, Becomes Free Agent
Cody Bellinger2 days ago

Picks Up $27.5 Million Player Option With Cubs
Gerrit Cole2 days ago

Opts Out Of Contract With Yankees
Rhys Hoskins2 days ago

Staying In Milwaukee
2 days ago

Seattle Declines Club Option On Jorge Polanco
Rose Namajunas3 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Edmonton
Erin Blanchfield3 days ago

Returns At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault3 days ago

Dustin Stoltzfus Set To Face Marc-Andre Barriault At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault3 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Edmonton
Trevin Giles3 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mike Malott3 days ago

Opens Up UFC Edmonton Main Card
Brendson Ribeiro4 days ago

Searching For 1st UFC Win At UFC Edmonton
Caio Machado4 days ago

Drops Down To Light Heavyweight At UFC Edmonton
Jhonata Diniz4 days ago

Gets Big Step-Up At UFC Edmonton

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

Video: MUST ADD Waiver Wire Pickups For Week 10! Fantasy Football 2024

Our top 2024 fantasy football Week 10 waiver wire pickups for RB, WR, TE, and QB. This week's must-add fantasy football free agents -- potential waiver wire winners heading into Week 9 for running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks. Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) - every […]


Rachaad White - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Who Should I Start for Fantasy Football Week 9 MNF? Bucky Irving, Rachaad White, Baker Mayfield, Jalen McMillan, Kareem Hunt, Xavier Worthy, Patrick Mahomes, DeAndre Hopkins, Sterling Shepard, more

Who Should I Start for MNF? Who Should I Sit for MNF? Some of the most common Week 9 fantasy football lineup decisions for Monday Night Football are regarding players like Bucky Irving, Rachaad White, Baker Mayfield, Jalen McMillan, Kareem Hunt, Xavier Worthy, Patrick Mahomes, DeAndre Hopkins, Sterling Shepard, more. But not to worry, we […]


Marvin Harrison Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, WR, Waiver Wire, NFL DFS, Rookies

Biggest Fantasy Football Busts Of The Week - Fantasy Outlooks For C.J. Stroud, Tank Bigsby, Marvin Harrison, Brian Thomas, Kyle Pitts, Nick Chubb, more

The ninth Sunday of the 2024 NFL season has come and gone. Hopefully, you woke up on Monday morning feeling very good about how your matchup went. However, this week's slate of games was certainly stress-inducing for many fantasy football managers. Part of that stress was caused by a group of players who drastically underachieved […]


Quentin Johnston - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 10 Waiver Wire Pickups (QB, RB, WR, TE): Free Agent Adds Include Justin Herbert, Isaac Guerendo, Quentin Johnston, Demarcus Robinson, Taysom Hill

RotoBaller's Week 10 fantasy football waiver wire pickups article for 2024 will cover everyone you need to know that could help your team find replacements for injured players, fill in for players you want to drop, or even help you win a championship. Every week, new players are breaking out. From bench stashes in the […]


Ray Davis - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Waiver Wire Express - Week 10 Lightning Round Including Quentin Johnston, Xavier Legette, Ray-Ray McCloud III, Ray Davis, Jauan Jennings, Cedric Tillman, Bo Nix

October is in the past and many of you are here with shifted clocks, seeking help at wide receiver. Amidst the usual chaos of Sunday's football, we absorbed several high-profile losses at wideout. We're all doing our best to stay hot in November with our fantasy football waiver wire pickups lightning round heading into Week […]


Tyler Allgeier - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Week 10 Waiver Wire Rankings - Fantasy Football Pickups Include Quentin Johnston, Jalen Tolbert, Ricky Pearsall, Ray Davis, Tyler Allgeier, Mike Gesicki

Week 10 will be here in a few days, and it's time to start bolstering those rosters for the fantasy football playoff push. At RotoBaller HQ, we are back with more waiver wire advice to help build those fantasy rosters with our Week 10 fantasy football waiver wire rankings for 2024. There were more crucial […]


Justin Herbert - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Top Week 10 Quarterback Pickups - Best Fantasy QB Adds, Streamers Include Russell Wilson, Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Herbert, and more

It was not a banner week for the quarterback position in fantasy football. There wasn’t a single quarterback that surpassed 300 passing yards between Thursday and the main Sunday slate. We did get a five passing touchdown performance (Joe Burrow) and three quarterbacks with three passing touchdowns, but that was it. Four teams have a […]


DeVon Achane - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Injury News

Top 10 Running Back Studs - Best Fantasy Football RB Performances Including Saquon Barkley, De'Von Achane, Alvin Kamara And More

The running back renaissance is truly upon us in 2024. While rushing touchdowns were down this week, matching the lowest number of the season thus far (23), the top-10 RBs had their best week yet. Week 9 was the first time all season that each athlete to be featured on this list all hit 21 […]


Mike Gesicki - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Unexpected Boom Performances: Fantasy Football Risers Include Mike Gesicki, Quentin Johnston, Ray Davis, Demarcus Robinson, Josh Oliver

Week 9 of the NFL regular season provided fans with some exciting action. The Bills defeated the Dolphins in an AFC East clash thanks to Tyler Bass' game-winning 61-yard FG in the final moments. The Titans and Rams also contributed a pair of overtime victories that enthralled audiences. Many big names showed out for fantasy […]


Ray Davis - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Running Back Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 10: Top Free Agent Adds Include Ray Davis, Jaylen Warren, Tyler Allgeier, Justice Hill

As you read this week’s recommendations from the waiver wire, the planning process for Week 10 roster construction has begun. You have already navigated a collection of obstacles that have emerged through the first nine weeks of the regular season, and should now sustain your efforts to minimize the impact of additional injuries, underwhelming production, […]


AJ Brown - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Top Fantasy Football Injuries From Sunday's Games: Chris Olave, Drake London, Dak Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, More

The Week 9 injury report was pretty light compared to the rest of the season. Even still, some big names went down, and they will definitely affect fantasy rosters everywhere. We saw several wide receivers leave games early and had another injury to a starting quarterback. Let’s get into the injury report from yesterday's games […]


Patrick Mahomes - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Buccaneers vs. Chiefs MNF Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Patrick Mahomes, Baker Mayfield, DeAndre Hopkins, Kareem Hunt, Rachaad White, Jalen McMillan, Cade Otton

Week 9 is already here, and setting optimal lineups has never been more crucial as the fantasy football playoffs near. Read our Monday Night Football matchups analysis article for the Buccaneers vs. Chiefs game to help make any fantasy football lineup decisions for both season-long and DFS. This week's MNF contest sees the undefeated Kansas […]


Travis Kelce - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL DFS Lineup Picks For FanDuel, DraftKings - Buccaneers vs. Chiefs MNF Showdown (Week 9)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! We have a matchup between a pair of banged-up teams in this one, as Baker Mayfield and the shorthanded Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4) head up to Kansas City to take on the final remaining undefeated team in the league in the Chiefs (7-0). Both teams are missing key offensive pieces, and let's […]