Hello everybody and welcome! The 2021 NFL season is finally alive and well and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NFL, Single Stat consists of quarterback passing yards, running back rushing yards, and wide receiver receiving yards in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some props for Week 10's Monday night contest between the Los Angeles Rams and San Francisco 49ers.
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NFL Single-Stat and Fantasy Score Totals
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for point per reception, meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
Jimmy Garoppolo over 14.0 fantasy score - This number should hold up as long as the Niners do not decide to suddenly switch to Trey Lance at some point in this game. Jimmy G has gone over this fantasy score in three of his last five games and one of the games he failed to hit was in a monsoon against the Colts on October 24th. He will not have the best of matchups in this one, but the Rams are allowing an average of 216 passing yards and over a passing touchdown per game to quarterbacks over their previous four games. The Niners are also underdogs in this one, so Garoppolo could have some extra passing attempts.
Elijah Mitchell over 12.0 fantasy score - Mitchell has seen a solid role recently as he has 44 carries over his previous three games and just had a five-reception game last week against the Arizona Cardinals. The Rams have allowed an average of over 23 fantasy points per game to backs over the previous four weeks. They have been a bit susceptible to pass-catching backs as they have allowed nearly six receptions per game over the previous four weeks. Mitchell should be involved in the passing game once again in this one and that is why he has a solid shot to go over this fantasy score.
Darrell Henderson over 67.5 rushing yards - Henderson has seen nearly 16 carries per game and is averaging 70 rushing yards per game over that span. He gets a matchup vs. a 49ers defense that has allowed an average of 112 rushing yards per game to backs over the previous four weeks, which ranks eighth-worst in the league over that span. The Rams are 4.5-point favorites in this as well, which could lead to some extra carries for Henderson late in the game to salt away the clock.
Other Recommendations: George Kittle over 55.5 receiving yards, Darrell Henderson over .5 touchdowns
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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