It's time for the Truck Series Round of 8. Three races to decide which five drivers will vie for the title.
Will one of the playoff drivers win? Will we get a surprise winner? We find out Friday night at Las Vegas Motor Spedway.
Here at RotoBaller, we want to help you make informed decisions about your DFS lineups, which is why I'll be breaking down the slates for the Truck Series. Let's look at some NASCAR Truck Series DFS lineup picks for the Victoria's Voice Foundation 200 on DraftKings. Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Truck Series including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station.
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John Hunter Nemechek #4 ($10,400)
Starting 1st
When we were at Vegas earlier this year, JHN was dominant. In a race that featured Kyle Busch, Nemechek led 94 of the 134 laps and just put a hurting on the field.
Now, he's back, this time without on of the best drivers in the world breathing down his neck.
Let's be clear: I expect Nemechek to win this race. There's one guy who could give him trouble -- more on that next -- but barring some disaster, Nemechek will spend most of this race pacing the field. Yeah, there's always place differential downside when you play the polesitter, but he'll wrack up enough laps led and fastest laps to make up for that.
Austin Hill #16 ($9,800)
Starting 10th
Hill's playoff run is over, but there's still time for the eight-time Truck Series winner to play spoiler.
Especially here! Two of those eight wins have come here, with Hill winning the 2019 and 2020 runnings of this race. He wasn't Nemechek-level dominant in those races, but he did lead 39 laps last year on his way to the win, and in the spring he finished third behind Nemechek and Busch.
Plus, the playoffs are over for Hill! He's out there looking to win some trophies, so I don't expect to see him play it safe. He's going to go all-out to try winning this race.
Brett Moffitt #25 ($9,100)
Starting 22nd
Moffitt intrigues me a lot this week. He's in the 25 truck, which was been decent with Josh Berry behind the wheel but not great. Moffitt was 11th here in the spring while driving the 45 for Niece Motorsports though, and while Niece definitely has more speed than Rackley, Timothy Peters put this truck in 16th in that race ahead of Sheldon Creed and Chandler Smith. Moffitt also led 13 laps in that race.
The 25 should have decent speed on Friday night. Moffitt has two top fives here, including a runner-up finish in 2019. He's led double-digit laps at this track in four of his seven starts. The finishes haven't always been there, but this is a solid track for Moffitt, whose worst Vegas finish is 16th.
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Tanner Gray #15 ($7,700)
Starting 29th
Here's a strong place differential play.
This 15 team has regressed this ear, with an average finish of 22.0 after an average finish last year of 16.1. Yikes.
But Gray was 12th here in the spring. Ninth at Texas, another 1.5-mile track. Top 2 at Atlanta and Kansas.
I think the DGR intermediate program is still fine. Not great, but fine enough for me to play Gray and expect a top 20, with the upside for a top 15.
Christian Eckes #98 ($7,300)
Starting 15th
Getting a truck with a clear top 10 upside at this salary is a steal.
Eckes has run eight races this season, all in the 98. He has a pair of DNFs, and then a worst finish of 13th in the other six races.
That includes a ninth in the spring Vegas race and a fourth at Kansas, another intermediate track.
At $7,300, you've got to play some Eckes. A top 10 run for likely your fifth salary spot is just too good to pass on.
Bret Holmes #32 ($5,700)
Starting 35th
This week's deep punt play is Bret Holmes. I'd rather take a risk on Tate Fogleman in most lineups, but he's at $6,300 and I want to get someone under 6k in here, just because.
Holmes has run four races, with an average finish of 33.0. He's got two DNFs, then was 32nd at Atlanta and 27th at Kansas.
All of his races in this truck coming at intermediate tracks and him struggling each time is definitely a concern, but as a punt play, I still lie this 32. We've seen the truck run well with a different driver. We saw Holmes win the ARCA title last year, including getting a victory at Kansas. I still have some trust in a top 25 or better run out of him, which would pay off well at this salary.
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