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Hello once again everyone! We hit the Coke Zero Sugar 400 from Daytona International Speedway this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Matt DiBenedetto Over 29 Points. This was a pretty easy choice as the change in crew chiefs did DiBenedetto wonders. Many pundits have wondered what could have been. Honestly, the Wood Brothers Racing driver has produced enough points in the last 8-10 races to make the race if he had this pace all season. He just keeps racking up top-11 finishes of late. So, 11th-place is worth 30 points by the way. That is good for the over here. With a week where the props are way lower for everyone, it may be best to look at these middle-tiered drivers that have value. DiBenedetto is one to take the over on.
Denny Hamlin Under 34.5 Points. The waiting is at least over for Denny Hamlin. Despite no wins on the regular season so far, he is in "The Chase". Hamlin has a risky track record here finishing 17th or worst in four of his last five summer races at Daytona. Hamlin does start from the third position on Saturday night and might lead a few laps which adds a bit of risk to this prop pick. However, the expectation is that Hamlin struggles to a top-ten spot Saturday night as his car falls back a bit late. Take the under here as the No. 11 gets ready for the races that count next week.
Austin Dillon Over 31.5 Points. The idea is great given the build and that Dillon performs well in these packages and at Daytona in particular. Hey, Dillon did win the race in 2018. Dillon had persistent car issues last year but did lead 46 laps in 2019 before getting smacked from behind late in the race. The No. 3 car has had a shot at winning or doing very well in the last two races only to be thwarted by another car. Brad Keselowski has been a major thorn in his side. The idea is that Dillon needs to ride near the front and as far away from drivers like Keselowski, Bubba Wallace, and Michael McDowell. If he can do that, Dillon is worth taking the over.
Kyle Larson Over 32.5 Points. The good thing is the prop total is still solid. The likelihood that Larson ends up on the podium is low but watch him try to rack up some laps led points early and then try to win the race late. That is the No. 5 car in a nutshell. He wants to win no matter how little need there is to. That is just how Larson is wired. Normally, there is nothing wrong with that. However, tonight is different. Can he stay safe during the middle parts of the race to make that push late? If he can, then take the lowest prop total for Larson and go over with it.
Joey Logano. Over 32.5 Points. This one could end poorly or not. Logano has crashed three straight times at Daytona during the summer but did finish 12th at Daytona in February with pit issues causing him to drop. The No. 22 car finished second in the road race a week later. The Team Penske driver has the ability to win the whole damn thing as he did in 2015. Can he avoid the wrecks and there lies the risk? Maybe stacking from the back works here on Saturday night. Take the over here as most will take the under. Sometimes, the road less traveled works.
Some other drivers to look at:
Ross Chastain (over 25.5 points) -- Could very well finish around the top-ten again.
Kurt Busch (over 27 points) -- Will be quite close but could finish in the top-12.
Cole Custer (over 24.5 points) -- A long shot who finished 11th at Daytona in February.
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NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
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