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NFL wide receiver Michael Pittman Jr. is a potential 2021 fantasy football sleeper and ADP draft value. Target him as an undervalued WR in fantasy football drafts.
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~85 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~115
ANALYSIS: At 6'4", 220 lbs, running a 4.5 40-yard dash, Pittman brings a rare combination of size and speed to the wide receiver room in Indianapolis. Per PlayerProfiler, Pittman has a size-adjusted speed score of 111.2, which is in the 93rd percentile of all wide receivers in the NFL.
At a minimum, he's an extraordinary athlete. At his peak, he's the Colts' new alpha WR1. T.Y. Hilton has been that guy for Indianapolis since 2013, but he's on the wrong side of 30 and saw his lowest snap share and target share last season. Parris Campbell is apparently 100% healthy, but he's missed a total of 23 games his first two seasons. And Zach Pascal, while he's never missed a game in his three-year career, has never seen more than 4.5 targets per game in any one season.
Pittman averaged 5.8 targets per game in the 11 games he played over 70% of the snaps. That includes the lone postseason game where he played on 90% of the snaps and saw a career-high 10 targets from Philip Rivers. He got better as the season progressed and the coaching staff found ways to scheme him the ball. That won't be any different in 2021. Furthermore, new Colts QB Carson Wentz brings a skill-set much different than Rivers, and one that more closely resembles Andrew Luck. In Luck's final season with the Colts in 2018, WR1 T.Y. Hilton caught 76 passes for 1,270 yards and six touchdowns on 120 targets despite missing two games. Wentz just underwent foot surgery, but if he returns on the earlier side of his recovery timeline (five weeks) which is a distinct possibility, we could see Pittman start to break out in his second season sooner rather than later. Get him the ball in space, and let the YAC monster go to work.
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