David Johnson (RB, HOU) - 2021 Fantasy Football Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~80 Overall

CURRENT ADP: ~90

ANALYSIS: Not only did the Texans lose their starting QB with Deshaun Watson--not confirmed, but most probably--missing the whole 2021 season and probably getting traded, but they doubled down on that misery by signing two RBs to build a three-headed-monster backfield. To David Johnson, they added Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II, and while DaJo should still lead the pack, the other two will undoubtedly eat from the vet's opportunity pie.

All things considered, though, that's no reason for concern. What I mean is that Johnson's ADP is too low compared to his projection (via PFF) of an RB25 (virtually a borderline RB2). That distance in price and projection has Johnson as one of only four RBs (again, by PFF numbers) with a positive ROI projection along with Tevin Coleman, James White, and Devin Singletary.

Johnson, believe it or not, is entering just his seventh pro-season at age 30. For all of the crap that has been thrown his way during the past few years, it feels like he should be 40 years old. But it's far from that. Johnson had a rough 2019 season but came back to a respectable RB21 finish, averaging 15 FPPG for the Texans in 2020. He should be on that level at the very least, and that RB2 finish came while playing just 12 games last year. With no top-dog at the QB position and not precisely a bevy of pass-catching options, Houston will need to rush the ball often no matter the game script.

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