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NASCAR DFS Prop Picks: Ally 400 - Monkey Knife Fight

Sunday afternoon features the Ally 400 from Nashville Superspeedway just outside of Nashville. Monkey Knife Fight has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).

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We'll be helping you along every day and night where there's a race, by providing you with expert prop picks all NASCAR season long here at RotoBaller.

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Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)

Recommended Prop Pick: William Byron MORE 16.5 Fantasy Points and Kyle Busch MORE 16.5 Fantasy Points

Byron and Busch are expected to be two of the better fantasy point producers at Texas on Sunday and we are fortunate to have both leading off here but...

Kyle Busch has become a monster that few tracks can contain. He nearly has won the last couple of races. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has improved again over the last month or so. He could thrive on a track like this as the younger Busch just keeps improving. He has shown an ability to at times keep up with the Hendricks Racing juggernaut. His ability to keep his grip and air pressure has been vital. This will be a close and dicey prop but take the over here on Sunday as again, if anyone could sneak into the top-four, it may just be Kyle Busch.

For a driver like William Byron, this may be more of a challenge. He has been good in these types of races and quite consistent but lately, the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver has been a bit sluggish at times. Will it come back to bite him on Sunday? The answer is probably no. Byron, on race day, has managed to keep his car together and has finished fourth at beth Dover and Charlotte. That should bode somewhat well for Nashville. Again, finishing fourth is 17 points which are just enough to get the prop done on Sunday. Tire wear was made to be more of an issue than it actually is. The Hendrick speed still should be superior enough to equal a top four or five finish. Again, take the over.

This all boils down to who adjust bests to the hybrid set up with the 750 hp package.

 

Pick 2/2 Correctly to 3x Your Buy-in

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

 

Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)

Recommended Prop Pick: Kyle Larson MORE 18.5 Fantasy Points, Martin Truex Jr. LESS 17.5 Fantasy Points

This prop is rough because of how Truex Jr. has been racing of late. He can win on a superspeedway but just has not shown quite enough lately to even hit his prop. Larson, on the other hand, just keeps rolling along as he eeked out a win at the All-Star Race last Sunday.

Kyle Larson looks to be the easiest pick in the world here and he is. The expectation is that the No. 5 will either win the pole or be awfully close to it on Sunday. From there, the Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver will at some point lead enough laps to hit his reasonable prop total. Ever since his pit crew had that untimely issue with leaving a piece of metal under the hood, Larson has been incredible. Winning three races in a row has been some run. Larson has a good chance of making it four at Nashville on Sunday. Take the MORE.

These point totals are interesting with Martin Truex Jr. He could wind up in the top three or wind up outside the top six or seven again. It just depends a lot on how he qualifies and how he carries speed later in runs. This track is more set up for the Hendricks cars. Kyle Busch may just finish better than Truex Jr. on Sunday as Busch seems to have the better car the past few weeks. With this 750 hp setup, the thought process was that the tire wear may be higher which would have favored the No. 19. Two subsequent tire tests at Nashville refuted this assertion. Truex Jr. will come close but the LESS is our pick as laps led are likely to be low or zero on Sunday.

Pick 2/2 Correctly to 3x Your Buy-in

Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight

NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks

More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis



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Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! In 2022 DFS contests, Jordan had a +33.92% profit margin good for +$10,467.06 profit and qualified for the Fantasy Racing World Championship.

Four-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team.

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