On Sunday, the NASCAR Xfinity Series will head to Nashville for the Tennessee Lottery 250. It's the first Xfinity race at Nashville Superspeedway since 2011, a race won by Carl Edwards. Only one driver who finished top 10 in that race is still an Xfinity regular. Things change.
This week, we have qualifying, which means that there's some incomplete information in this column, since we don't yet know the starting order. That also means we'll have just 36 cars, so with 42 attempting to qualify, there's a chance that if you make a lineup early, it might include a driver who misses the race. Make sure to recheck your lineup before lock.
Here at RotoBaller, we want to help you make informed decisions about your DFS lineups, which is why I'll be breaking down the slates for the Xfinity Series. Let's look at some NASCAR Xfinity DFS lineup picks for the Tennessee Lottery 250 on DraftKings. Be sure to also check out our NASCAR Premium Tools for Xfinity Series including our DFS Lineup Optimizer and powerful Research Station.
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Xfinity DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings
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Kyle Busch #54 ($14,500)
You should play Kyle Busch this week because he's Kyle Busch.
Do I have to say more than that?
Fine. Busch has run four Xfinity races this year. His average finish is 1.5 and he's led 203 laps.
Also of note is that Busch has 10 Xfinity starts at this track, dating back to 2004. His finishes haven't been great, with two finishes worse than 30th, but he hit his stride just before the Xfinity Series left this track, with four consecutive finishes of third or better in his last four races here, including a win where he led 173 of 225 laps.
If someone is going to run away with this race, it's Busch. And qualifying will give him a great chance to start on the front row and start racking up those laps led immediately.
Justin Allgaier #7 ($10,400)
The last time this track host an Xfinity race was 2011. Only one current Xfinity regular had a strong run in that race, as Justin Allgaier -- then racing for Steve Turner's team -- finished fourth.
That experience here should be really useful this weekend. Add in that Allgaier already has two wins this season and has three top fives in the past four non-road course races and the result is that we should see Allgaier running up front on Saturday.
I have some concern about place differential here considering the price, so qualifying could lead me to pivot off Allgaier if he starts too high, especially considering the possibility that all the laps led stuff goes to Busch, leading to you really, really needing to fill the rest of your lineup with place differential guys. We'll see.
Michael Annett #1 ($8,100)
Speaking of experience here, Michael Annett ran six Xfinity races here back in the day.
Annett has never been a great driver. Like, Annett's never going to consistently challenge for wins or anything.
But he is a solid driver, and he has experience here, and he finished in the top 20 in five of his six starts here while driving for Germain Racing and Rusty Wallace Racing.
JRM is a better team than those two, and Annett's only Xfinity win came while driving for this team in 2019. He's had a top 10 in half of the races this year, but hasn't recorded a top five yet.
So much depends here on qualifying. I can't play Annett if he starts in the top 10. I can play him if he starts outside the top 15 or so, because his prior experience at the track gives him upside that a lot of other drivers don't have.
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Jeremy Clements #51 ($6,900)
Clements has already matched his career-high in top fives this season with an average finish of 14.7, which is also the best mark of his Xfinity career.
This was a tough spot to predict drivers. I thought about JJ Yeley, but he's in the 07 this week, a car that has struggled all season with Joe Graf Jr. behind the wheel. I thought about Graf himself, who has been bad but is in the 17 this week, which is a better car. Brandon Brown was in play too.
So much will depend upon qualifying. If Clements has too good of a run, I'll pivot off of him for someone like Brown if Brown has a poor qualifying run. Consider this spot less about Clements and more about mid-priced guys with place differential upside.
Jade Buford #48 ($5,500)
Buford has finished in the top 20 in four consecutive races, posting 30-plus DraftKings points in three of those.
This is another that depends on qualifying. If Buford qualifies top 20, I'm not sure I'll play him. But get him outside of there and factor in the top 15 upside and this incredibly low price? In that case, I'm going to be all over getting Buford into as many lineups as I can. His improved performance lately doesn't seem like something DraftKings is accounting for -- I mean heck, he was only $4,600 last race after getting up to $6,800 at one point.
Ryan Vargas #6 ($4,500)
Vargas is back in the 6 this weekend, probably because of owner points and the team wanting their best driver, Landon Cassill, in a car with a better chance to make the race.
But provided Vargas gets into the field, I love this value. The cheapest play on this entire slate, Vargas will need to start near the back to maximize his value. A top 25 qualifying run probably keeps me from playing him. But Vargas has placed in the top 20 in two of the last three races, so if place differential points are at play here, I'll have some interest. If they end up not being at play or if Vargas misses the race, I'll make some adjustments.
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