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Sunday afternoon features the Drydene 400 from Dover International Speedway. Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin, William Byron, Kyle Larson, and Kevin Harvick will make up the top five to start the race. Monkey Knife Fight has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).
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Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Chase Elliott LESS 16.5 Fantasy Points and Kevin Harvick MORE 15.5 Fantasy Points
Elliott and Harvick are projected to be two of the better fantasy point producers at Dover on Sunday and we are fortunate to have both leading off here but...
Chase Elliott just cannot get into that top five lately and worse, he just seems off again. The Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver does start off in eighth but at some point, one has to wonder if Elliott is just pressing too much on the race track. He does have seven top ten results in ten races at Dover but he likely needs to lead some laps to get to that 16.5 point projection. That could be an issue on Sunday. The other problem is he could win but also could crack. Elliott has had several brushes with the wall and an engine issue or two along the way. The safe bet is to take the LESS here until the No. 9 shows some more consistent results.
For a driver like Kevin Harvick, his consistency at Dover makes him a threat. He strings along top-five finishes and has won three times on the track in his career. The "Monster Mile" is a track he excels at. Also, the Stewart-Haas Racing driver had that dominant run in the second installment last year. He led 223 of 311 laps en route to the victory. Harvick has finished in the top-six at Dover in six consecutive races which include three fourth-place results. Fourth place is good for 17 points by the way. That is why we are leaning to the MORE here.
This all boils down to wrecks mostly (do watch for some warm conditions) for the Drydene 400.
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Pick 2: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Denny Hamlin LESS 17.5 Fantasy Points, Kyle Busch LESS 16.5 Fantasy Points
This prop is rough because of where the drivers start on Sunday at Dover. Denny Hamlin starts from the second position on Sunday and Kyle Busch starts sixth. That is not so good news.
Denny Hamlin has nine top-five finishes in 12 races in 2021 but has not cracked into the win column yet. Does he press too hard again or does the leader of the Cup Series just race his race? If he plays it smart, the Joe Gibbs Racing driver will likely hit the over with some laps led and a top-five finish. If he takes too many risks, that LESS looks more and more likely by the lap. For as good as Hamlin has looked, it comes down to that early holeshot. If Hamlin nails it then our prop is likely dashed. However, if he does not and cannot stay right near the front, the prop has potential.
These point totals are rough when it comes to Kyle Busch too. Busch could win the race or not lead a lot of laps and just lurk in the top ten. The latter is the hope here with Busch having just an okay car for Sunday. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver can get a lot out of that car, however. He drafts very well at Dover too which has to be kept in mind. The younger Busch often can lurk then strike suddenly as he did in 2017. Again, he has only led a few laps here and there of late. If that trend continues, Busch will need to finish in the top five at the "Monster Mile" on Sunday. Take the LESS but it will be quite the sweat.
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