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The 2021 MLB is underway and there is a ton of excitement surrounding it! It was a long offseason, but we have finally reached the beginning of the MLB season. We will be here week in and week out offering up advice for some of the best prop picks in the industry with Monkey Knife Fight.
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A couple of games we can look at today include the Rangers at Angels and Brewers at Padres.
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Rangers @ Angels
More or Less Contest
Dylan Bundy more than 6.5 strikeouts and Kohei Arihara less than 3.5 strikeouts
Bundy has 22 strikeouts across his first 19 innings pitched to begin the season. He will be facing a Texas Rangers' team that is currently striking out at a rate of 31.1% vs. right-handers over the previous 10 days, which ranks last in the league. They are also posting a dismal wRC+ mark of 47 over the same span. which ranks second-worst in the league. Quite frankly, this offense has struggled mightily over the last 10 days vs. righties and looks like a great spot for Bundy.
Arihara has only managed to strike out seven across his first 14 2/3 innings pitched in 2021. He has games of one, one, and five strikeouts, respectively. He has a tough task against the Angels as they are only striking out at a rate of 22.9% vs. right-handed pitching over the previous 10 days, which ranks ninth-best in the league. They also are posting a wRC+ mark of 124, which ranks fourth-best over that same span. They should be able to get to him and keep him under four strikeouts.
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Brewers @ Padres
More or Less Contest
Joe Musgrove more than 6.5 strikeouts and Brandon Woodruff more than 5.5 strikeouts
Musgrove has looked sharp to begin 2021 as he has 24 strikeouts through his first three starts to go along with the season's first no-hitter. He will be going up against the Brewers tonight who have a strikeout rate of 23.1% vs. right-handers over the previous 10 days and also have a rate of 25.5% on the season. Musgrove has also gone over this total in two of his three starts to begin the season with him also just missing the total (6) in his third start.
Brandon Woodruff has 19 strikeouts in his first 17 innings to begin 2021. 5.5 is a low number for him, but it comes with good reason tonight as the Padres currently rank first in baseball on the season with a K rate of just 18.1% vs. right-handed pitching. That being said, Woodruff has great stuff and is a high strikeout pitcher as he went over this total nine times in 2020. I will side with the pitcher in this one and he gets over 5.5.
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