BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 170
CURRENT ADP: ~186 overall
ANALYSIS: Donaldson is going to be hitting in the middle of a great lineup every day. We have even less to go off of from his past season than most since he only saw 81 at-bats thanks to a calf injury. He struggled in the weird year but has underlying numbers that should make managers confident in a bounce-back.
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For Donaldson the launch-angle suffered thanks to a career-high 55.2 ground-ball rate. And yet: the walk rate was a career-best 17.6; the K-rate was identical to 2019; hard-hit percentage was also a career-best, at 53.4. All the numbers are from a small sample, which is exactly the point. If Donaldson is recovered from his calf injury, there is no reason to think he won't be a great hitter again. And no one should be surprised that it could have been hard to recover, adjust, and overcome an injury during the pandemic season.
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